PA 2018: Wolf vs Wagner
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2024, 10:28:46 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  PA 2018: Wolf vs Wagner		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 [7] 8
Author Topic: PA 2018: Wolf vs Wagner  (Read 18461 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #150 on: October 27, 2018, 03:21:09 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on October 27, 2018, 07:22:44 AM
Scott Wagner's new deplorable sign to smear Wolf and Fetterman (Fetterman recently posted this in Instagram). Wagner is running neck-in-neck with Mr. DeSantis of Florida for the most screwed up Republican candidate this cycle.



At least DeSantis still has a chance, Wagner does not.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,979
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #151 on: October 27, 2018, 03:25:25 PM »
My hardcore Republican Soft-Trump supporter father just called me today and said he can't support Wagner. He wants to write-in Fetterman.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #152 on: October 27, 2018, 03:25:54 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 27, 2018, 03:21:09 PM
Quote from: President Johnson on October 27, 2018, 07:22:44 AM
Scott Wagner's new deplorable sign to smear Wolf and Fetterman (Fetterman recently posted this in Instagram). Wagner is running neck-in-neck with Mr. DeSantis of Florida for the most screwed up Republican candidate this cycle.



At least DeSantis still has a chance, Wagner does not.


Red baiting is rich coming from the party who are assets of a ex KGB agent.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,073
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #153 on: October 28, 2018, 02:56:40 AM »
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on October 27, 2018, 03:25:25 PM
My hardcore Republican Soft-Trump supporter father just called me today and said he can't support Wagner. He wants to write-in Fetterman.

FF!
Logged
Continential
The Op
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,566
Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -5.30

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #154 on: October 28, 2018, 08:15:11 AM »
Most PA Republicans are Moderate Conservatives and Wagner isn't doing well with his base
Logged
ctherainbow
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 428
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #155 on: October 28, 2018, 12:16:56 PM »
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on October 27, 2018, 03:25:25 PM
My hardcore Republican Soft-Trump supporter father just called me today and said he can't support Wagner. He wants to write-in Fetterman.

Same with my angry old white guy dad.  He’s disgusted with Wagner and is going to either write-in or vote Libertarian.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #156 on: October 28, 2018, 02:54:26 PM »
Can confirm the trend. My very Republican grandmother said she thought Wagner's job (waste management) was very in line with how he talks ("Spikes" comment) and that he's horrible. She said she still likes Tom Wolf too, surprisingly.

If Wagner is even turning off hard R's then this is going to be a disaster for him.
Logged
ctherainbow
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 428
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #157 on: October 28, 2018, 05:15:01 PM »
Quote from: Vega on October 16, 2018, 11:11:27 AM
Wagner winning the special election for his Senate seat was a fluke, and he barely even won the primary this year against some unknown named "Paul Mango".

If you were part of the LGBTQ+ community in Pennsylvania, Paul Mango was VERY well known for his disgusting views about trans* people.  As much as I dislike Wagner, Mango would have been worse, so I'm glad I was able to vote to take him out on the primary, even though it meant Wagner winning.    Cry
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #158 on: October 29, 2018, 06:08:10 AM »
Quote from: ctherainbow on October 28, 2018, 05:15:01 PM
Quote from: Vega on October 16, 2018, 11:11:27 AM
Wagner winning the special election for his Senate seat was a fluke, and he barely even won the primary this year against some unknown named "Paul Mango".

If you were part of the LGBTQ+ community in Pennsylvania, Paul Mango was VERY well known for his disgusting views about trans* people.  As much as I dislike Wagner, Mango would have been worse, so I'm glad I was able to vote to take him out on the primary, even though it meant Wagner winning.    Cry

As an R in PA, do you expect a lot of your fellow Rs to vote Wolf? It would appear, anecdotally, that a lot of Rs are so put off with Wagner that they're either voting Wolf or leaving it blank.
Logged
ctherainbow
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 428
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #159 on: October 29, 2018, 12:01:51 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 29, 2018, 06:08:10 AM
As an R in PA, do you expect a lot of your fellow Rs to vote Wolf? It would appear, anecdotally, that a lot of Rs are so put off with Wagner that they're either voting Wolf or leaving it blank.

I expect a lot of them to think about it, but I also expect most non-swing Republicans to step into the voting booth and vote Wagner anyway.  However, I do think, if the polling we have of PA bears out, that the small amount of Rs who cross over+energized Dem turnout will push Wolf close to 60%.
Logged
TheMiddlePolitical
themiddlepolitical
Newbie
*
Posts: 4
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.34, S: -2.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #160 on: October 29, 2018, 02:28:40 PM »
I've been keeping month by month predictions for my states (and districts ratings) since the primaries.

Here's what I have for Gov. if the numbers don't add to 100 that is for other parties

May:Wagner 51.4 Wolf 48
June:Wagner 50.4 Wolf 48.9
July:Wolf 52.5 Wagner 46
August:Wolf 53.8 Wagner 46
September:Wolf 55 Wagner 40
October(FINAL):Wolf 56 Wagner 41
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #161 on: October 29, 2018, 06:05:30 PM »
Hoping we get a last Franklin and Marshall + Muhelenberg poll. Frustrated that we haven't gotten a new poll in a MONTH.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,971
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #162 on: October 29, 2018, 07:08:43 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on October 27, 2018, 07:22:44 AM
Scott Wagner's new deplorable sign to smear Wolf and Fetterman (Fetterman recently posted this in Instagram). Wagner is running neck-in-neck with Mr. DeSantis of Florida for the most screwed up Republican candidate this cycle.



That doesn't even make sense. Wolf has already been Governor for four years and Pennsylvania doesn't look much like Venezuela to me. Wagner is pathetically desperate.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,073
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #163 on: October 29, 2018, 09:48:44 PM »
Quote from: TheMiddlePolitical on October 29, 2018, 02:28:40 PM
I've been keeping month by month predictions for my states (and districts ratings) since the primaries.

Here's what I have for Gov. if the numbers don't add to 100 that is for other parties

May:Wagner 51.4 Wolf 48
June:Wagner 50.4 Wolf 48.9
July:Wolf 52.5 Wagner 46
August:Wolf 53.8 Wagner 46
September:Wolf 55 Wagner 40
October(FINAL):Wolf 56 Wagner 41

>decimals
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,979
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #164 on: October 29, 2018, 10:01:49 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 29, 2018, 06:05:30 PM
Hoping we get a last Franklin and Marshall + Muhelenberg poll. Frustrated that we haven't gotten a new poll in a MONTH.

I'd imagine Wolf's handling of Pittsburgh would prop him up.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #165 on: October 30, 2018, 05:59:58 AM »
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on October 29, 2018, 10:01:49 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 29, 2018, 06:05:30 PM
Hoping we get a last Franklin and Marshall + Muhelenberg poll. Frustrated that we haven't gotten a new poll in a MONTH.

I'd imagine Wolf's handling of Pittsburgh would prop him up.

Not to mention we haven't gotten a poll since "golf spikes"-gate either.
Logged
Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,480


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #166 on: October 30, 2018, 08:00:48 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 30, 2018, 05:59:58 AM
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on October 29, 2018, 10:01:49 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 29, 2018, 06:05:30 PM
Hoping we get a last Franklin and Marshall + Muhelenberg poll. Frustrated that we haven't gotten a new poll in a MONTH.

I'd imagine Wolf's handling of Pittsburgh would prop him up.

Not to mention we haven't gotten a poll since "golf spikes"-gate either.
I wouldn't be surprised if Wolf cleared 60%.
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,634
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #167 on: November 03, 2018, 11:46:24 AM »
My hardcore Trumpist father despises Wagner and was beyond relieved to learn Wolf is way ahead. Seems others here have had the same experience. I find it surprising so many conservatives/right leaners hate Wagner. Steve Bannon talked about him as if he were the new Trump.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,817
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #168 on: November 03, 2018, 12:34:41 PM »
Wagner is so screwed up, that's beyond belief...

I wonder whether John Fetterman will dress differently once in office?
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #169 on: November 03, 2018, 05:41:07 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on November 03, 2018, 12:34:41 PM
Wagner is so screwed up, that's beyond belief...

I wonder whether John Fetterman will dress differently once in office?

Hopefully not, he's a man of the people.
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #170 on: November 03, 2018, 05:48:02 PM »
Anybody have a resource/list of the key PA State House districts that indicate a wave there?
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,782


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #171 on: November 03, 2018, 05:54:21 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on November 03, 2018, 05:48:02 PM
Anybody have a resource/list of the key PA State House districts that indicate a wave there?

Separate thread, a ways down the page.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=300810.0
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #172 on: November 07, 2018, 05:47:33 AM »
Early swing map. A true burbstomping! Beautiful map!
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,171
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #173 on: November 07, 2018, 09:54:23 AM »
Quote from: Senator Rosen on November 07, 2018, 05:47:33 AM
Early swing map. A true burbstomping! Beautiful map!




This is why I'm optimistic about PA.
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,171
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #174 on: November 07, 2018, 11:56:51 AM »
Wolf won more than 2014, but you wouldn't know from looking at the map.

2014 (55%-45%):


2018 (58%-41%):
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 [7] 8  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.064 seconds with 11 queries.