Rem. Research - KS GOP Governor Primary (Colyer +2)
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  Rem. Research - KS GOP Governor Primary (Colyer +2)
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Author Topic: Rem. Research - KS GOP Governor Primary (Colyer +2)  (Read 1788 times)
Predictor
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« on: May 18, 2018, 05:11:09 PM »

Colyer - 29% (+2)
Kobach - 27%
Barnett - 9%
Selzer - 5%
Undecided - 30%

(MOE - 2.6%)
(1441 LV)
(Trump Approval - 65%)
http://media.kansascity.com/livegraphics/2018/pdf/Poll-gov-race1.pdf
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2018, 05:12:19 PM »

Praying for Kansasian Kris Kobach
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scutosaurus
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2018, 05:32:10 PM »

Pretty surprising that Trump only has a 65% approval rating among Kansas Republicans. I would have expected it to be much higher. Looks like Kobach still has a chance to defeat Colyer here; I would root for him, but chances are Greg Orman is just going to screw it up for the Democrat anyway.
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« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2018, 06:23:56 PM »

Pretty surprising that Trump only has a 65% approval rating among Kansas Republicans. I would have expected it to be much higher. Looks like Kobach still has a chance to defeat Colyer here; I would root for him, but chances are Greg Orman is just going to screw it up for the Democrat anyway.

Kobach has a higher favorable rating. Then again, Colyer has only been governor for a few months since Brownback resigned (accounting for the 49% no opinion).
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« Reply #4 on: May 18, 2018, 06:49:39 PM »

Pretty surprising that Trump only has a 65% approval rating among Kansas Republicans. I would have expected it to be much higher. Looks like Kobach still has a chance to defeat Colyer here; I would root for him, but chances are Greg Orman is just going to screw it up for the Democrat anyway.
Sam Brownback is the reason. Also, Orman's impact on this race will be low.
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2018, 07:42:26 PM »

The fact that Kobach might actually win the primary shows how underrated of a pick-up opportunity this is for Democrats.
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« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2018, 07:46:44 PM »

The fact that Kobach might actually win the primary shows how underrated of a pick-up opportunity this is for Democrats.
Agreed. He would be an absolute joke. Orman's spoiler wouldn't be enough.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2018, 10:11:06 AM »

Not sure why some “experts” still think KS is less likely to flip than CT.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2018, 10:27:53 AM »

Praying for Kansasian Kris Kobach

What the heck is a Kanasian?
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2018, 10:31:49 AM »

Poll the general election already damnit Tongue

Great news though for the primary
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2018, 01:59:01 PM »

Pretty surprising that Trump only has a 65% approval rating among Kansas Republicans. I would have expected it to be much higher. Looks like Kobach still has a chance to defeat Colyer here; I would root for him, but chances are Greg Orman is just going to screw it up for the Democrat anyway.
Sam Brownback is the reason. Also, Orman's impact on this race will be low.
Wrong again - Brownback definitely has hurt the Republican brand in Kansas but I don't think people would base their approval on the president based on a governor who has been out of office for over three months. There are a lot of moderates in Kansas, look at the 2016 Kansas primaries for example. I'd guess Trump probably only got around 75-80% of Republican in Kansas yet still won the state by over 20 points. Crosstabs support this.

Ken Selzer should drop out - these are embarrassing numbers for a statewide officeholder. I bet he's regretting not running for a second term and maybe trying again in 2022 or 2026. Glad to see Colyer is ahead but not great numbers - it is scary that Kobach's approval is so terrible among Republicans yet he still has a good shot at winning this. His nomination would provide a huge opening for Orman.
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brand_allen
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« Reply #11 on: May 20, 2018, 03:59:22 PM »

Does Trump's 65/26% favorable rating strike anyone as a bit low for a Republican primary electorate? That's roughly the favorable rating one would expect for a generic Republican president among *ALL* Kansas residents, much less just Republican primary voters.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #12 on: May 20, 2018, 04:03:04 PM »


hell if I know
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