TN-Vanderbilt Poll: Bredesen far ahead of Blackburn in favorability
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  TN-Vanderbilt Poll: Bredesen far ahead of Blackburn in favorability
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Author Topic: TN-Vanderbilt Poll: Bredesen far ahead of Blackburn in favorability  (Read 4366 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 19, 2018, 04:50:47 AM »
« edited: May 19, 2018, 09:02:47 AM by Brittain33 »

... in terms of favorability.

Favourable ratings:

Bredesen (D): 67-25 favourable
Blackburn (R): 49-38 favourable

Among Republicans, 72% see Blackburn favourable and 52% (!) Bredesen.

Among Democrats, it's 85% favourable for Bredesen and 23% for Blackburn.

Among Indys, Bredesen is at 69% and Blackburn at 44% favourable.

Blackburn has a 85% name recognition, Bredesen a 84% name recognition.

Trump's approval is 53-44.

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https://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/spring2018slides.pdf

https://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/spring2018topline.pdf
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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2018, 05:21:59 AM »

Clickbait.
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Lachi
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« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2018, 05:49:43 AM »

Is it typical of pollsters to ask specifically for the youngest adult in the household?
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UWS
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2018, 06:37:33 AM »

Maybe it's time to start launching attack ads against Bredesen in order to hammer his positive ratings. After all, the attack ads against Bob Dole in the 1996 Republican primaries decreased his positive ratings from 80 % to approximately 54 %.
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« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2018, 07:01:38 AM »

Not bad, only Bredesen could make this competitive.
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« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2018, 08:12:14 AM »

Is it typical of pollsters to ask specifically for the youngest adult in the household?

If they are using random digit dialing to reach a completely random sample of respondents, yes. Most will have half of the sample be asked for the youngest male/female and the other half the oldest male/female.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2018, 09:30:04 AM »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2018, 09:32:24 AM »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.

Yeah, this race proves to me that Tennessee hates women to the point they'll vote for a liberal man over one.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2018, 10:23:19 AM »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.

Yeah, this race proves to me that Tennessee hates women to the point they'll vote for a liberal man over one.

Which wouldn’t bode well for Diane Black, though there’s a decent chance she loses her primary
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2018, 10:37:46 AM »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.

Yeah, this race proves to me that Tennessee hates women to the point they'll vote for a liberal man over one.

He is not a liberal you ninny.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2018, 10:45:23 AM »

I should note that Blackburn/GOP is currently spending nothing right now in Tennessee, while Bredesen is spending millions. This is allowing Bredesen to further define himself and establish his positives before the inevitable GOP spending juggernaut comes.
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cvparty
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« Reply #11 on: May 19, 2018, 11:11:21 AM »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.

Yeah, this race proves to me that Tennessee hates women to the point they'll vote for a liberal man over one.
UMMM
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Lamda
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« Reply #12 on: May 19, 2018, 11:18:40 AM »
« Edited: May 19, 2018, 11:26:01 AM by Lamda »

If Bredesen wins this year Tim McGraw might run for Alexander's open seat.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2018, 11:34:24 AM »

I should note that Blackburn/GOP is currently spending nothing right now in Tennessee, while Bredesen is spending millions. This is allowing Bredesen to further define himself and establish his positives before the inevitable GOP spending juggernaut comes.

So basically the Rick Scott strategy, no?

Anyway, the fact that there are so many competitive Senate races/Democratic Senators in Republican states is a serious problem for the GOP, especially in the long run. If the situation were reversed and Charlie Baker or Phil Scott were running for Senate, they’d lose by 15+ points even in a GOP wave year.
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Xing
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« Reply #14 on: May 19, 2018, 11:46:26 AM »

You could certainly argue that Bredesen's favorability could take a hit over the next few months. It's ridiculous to suggest that Scott's favorability could go down, though.
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UWS
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« Reply #15 on: May 19, 2018, 12:44:16 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2018, 01:03:51 PM by UWS »

If Bredesen wins this year Tim McGraw might run for Alexander's open seat.

What else makes you certain that Alexander won’t run himself in 2020 except his age (80 years old in 2020)?

Personally, I hope Alexander runs for Senate again in 2020 but even if he doesn’t I could see Bill Haslam running for this seat.
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UWS
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« Reply #16 on: May 19, 2018, 01:01:12 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2018, 01:18:58 PM by UWS »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.

Yeah, this race proves to me that Tennessee hates women to the point they'll vote for a liberal man over one.

He is not a liberal you ninny.

If Bredesen is not a liberal, why is this that he raised taxes close to $1 billion during his time as Governor?

http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/news/story/2009/aug/16/taxes-millions-under-bredesen/231046/

http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/news/story/2010/dec/28/bredesen-tax-legacy-may-be-tough-act-to-follow/37946/

How is this that he proposed coal mining limits?

http://archive.knoxnews.com/business/bredesen-proposes-coal-mining-limits-ep-410234349-359501841.html/

And how is it that the Cato Institute, a fiscally conservative institute, rated him only 53 % on overall fiscal policy score, 57 % on spending and 56 % on taxes?

https://votesmart.org/candidate/evaluations/22392/phil-bredesen#.Ws-4oH_A_IU

And if you look at the ISidewith website, Bredesen is pro-choice.

https://www.isidewith.com/candidate-guide/phil-bredesen/social/abortion

All of this falls more within the parameters of a liberal.
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« Reply #17 on: May 19, 2018, 01:14:18 PM »

I should note that Blackburn/GOP is currently spending nothing right now in Tennessee, while Bredesen is spending millions. This is allowing Bredesen to further define himself and establish his positives before the inevitable GOP spending juggernaut comes.

So basically the Rick Scott strategy, no?

Anyway, the fact that there are so many competitive Senate races/Democratic Senators in Republican states is a serious problem for the GOP, especially in the long run. If the situation were reversed and Charlie Baker or Phil Scott were running for Senate, they’d lose by 15+ points even in a GOP wave year.

They'd probably win if their opponent was a rape apologist or a pedophile. Unfortunately for the GOP the Democrats don't tend to nominate these people as candidates.
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UWS
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« Reply #18 on: May 19, 2018, 01:23:56 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2018, 01:27:07 PM by UWS »

I should note that Blackburn/GOP is currently spending nothing right now in Tennessee, while Bredesen is spending millions. This is allowing Bredesen to further define himself and establish his positives before the inevitable GOP spending juggernaut comes.

So basically the Rick Scott strategy, no?

Anyway, the fact that there are so many competitive Senate races/Democratic Senators in Republican states is a serious problem for the GOP, especially in the long run. If the situation were reversed and Charlie Baker or Phil Scott were running for Senate, they’d lose by 15+ points even in a GOP wave year.

They'd probably win if their opponent was a rape apologist or a pedophile. Unfortunately for the GOP the Democrats don't tend to nominate these people as candidates.

Think again.

https://www.nbcnews.com/card/how-nashville-mayor-s-resignation-could-hurt-phil-bredesen-n854111
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PoliticalShelter
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« Reply #19 on: May 19, 2018, 01:30:22 PM »

I should note that Blackburn/GOP is currently spending nothing right now in Tennessee, while Bredesen is spending millions. This is allowing Bredesen to further define himself and establish his positives before the inevitable GOP spending juggernaut comes.

So basically the Rick Scott strategy, no?

Anyway, the fact that there are so many competitive Senate races/Democratic Senators in Republican states is a serious problem for the GOP, especially in the long run. If the situation were reversed and Charlie Baker or Phil Scott were running for Senate, they’d lose by 15+ points even in a GOP wave year.

They'd probably win if their opponent was a rape apologist or a pedophile. Unfortunately for the GOP the Democrats don't tend to nominate these people as candidates.

Think again.

https://www.nbcnews.com/card/how-nashville-mayor-s-resignation-could-hurt-phil-bredesen-n854111

Okay so some relatively unknown mayor versus the numerous times the GOP has nominated insane senate candidates that have blown winnable senate races and became national punchlines. Maybe the GOP should try to get a grip on their primary voters.
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« Reply #20 on: May 19, 2018, 02:04:24 PM »

I should note that Blackburn/GOP is currently spending nothing right now in Tennessee, while Bredesen is spending millions. This is allowing Bredesen to further define himself and establish his positives before the inevitable GOP spending juggernaut comes.

So basically the Rick Scott strategy, no?

Anyway, the fact that there are so many competitive Senate races/Democratic Senators in Republican states is a serious problem for the GOP, especially in the long run. If the situation were reversed and Charlie Baker or Phil Scott were running for Senate, they’d lose by 15+ points even in a GOP wave year.

They'd probably win if their opponent was a rape apologist or a pedophile. Unfortunately for the GOP the Democrats don't tend to nominate these people as candidates.

Think again.

https://www.nbcnews.com/card/how-nashville-mayor-s-resignation-could-hurt-phil-bredesen-n854111

Okay so some relatively unknown mayor versus the numerous times the GOP has nominated insane senate candidates that have blown winnable senate races and became national punchlines. Maybe the GOP should try to get a grip on their primary voters.
He's a troll.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: May 19, 2018, 04:09:41 PM »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.

Yeah, this race proves to me that Tennessee hates women to the point they'll vote for a liberal man over one.

Yeah guys, Andrew is totally a liberal. Because a liberal would clearly see Phil Bredesen as one of them. Haha.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #22 on: May 19, 2018, 04:12:22 PM »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.

Yeah, this race proves to me that Tennessee hates women to the point they'll vote for a liberal man over one.

Yeah guys, Andrew is totally a liberal. Because a liberal would clearly see Phil Bredesen as one of them. Haha.

How do people keep on falling for this? Phil Bredesen is clearly very moderate. He cut health care in TN. If LL is calling Bredi a liberal, it's clear he's coming from a conservative point of view.
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« Reply #23 on: May 19, 2018, 04:32:46 PM »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.

Yeah, this race proves to me that Tennessee hates women to the point they'll vote for a liberal man over one.

Yeah guys, Andrew is totally a liberal. Because a liberal would clearly see Phil Bredesen as one of them. Haha.

How do people keep on falling for this? Phil Bredesen is clearly very moderate. He cut health care in TN. If LL is calling Bredi a liberal, it's clear he's coming from a conservative point of view.
Well, he's just a troll.
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OneJ
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« Reply #24 on: May 19, 2018, 04:48:36 PM »

Surely Blackburn/national Republicans realize that they can’t win this race without giving Bredesen the Bayh/Strickland treatment, right? Not a surprise that TN voters (including a lot of so-called moderate “Republicans”) would prefer the good ol' boy over the shrill female any time.

Yeah, this race proves to me that Tennessee hates women to the point they'll vote for a liberal man over one.

He is not a liberal you ninny.

If Bredesen is not a liberal, why is this that he raised taxes close to $1 billion during his time as Governor?

http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/news/story/2009/aug/16/taxes-millions-under-bredesen/231046/

http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/news/story/2010/dec/28/bredesen-tax-legacy-may-be-tough-act-to-follow/37946/

How is this that he proposed coal mining limits?

http://archive.knoxnews.com/business/bredesen-proposes-coal-mining-limits-ep-410234349-359501841.html/

And how is it that the Cato Institute, a fiscally conservative institute, rated him only 53 % on overall fiscal policy score, 57 % on spending and 56 % on taxes?

https://votesmart.org/candidate/evaluations/22392/phil-bredesen#.Ws-4oH_A_IU

And if you look at the ISidewith website, Bredesen is pro-choice.

https://www.isidewith.com/candidate-guide/phil-bredesen/social/abortion

All of this falls more within the parameters of a liberal.

But you’re still ignoring the other things Bredesen did while governor. These few positions/actions that you listed does not make Bredesen “liberal.” That’s like me calling Trump a “moderate” because he was working with the Dems to repeal the debt ceiling.
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