CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[I’m not Stu]

Rouda's lead over Keirstead shrinks from 69 to 62 votes.

[Bidenworth2020]

how many more votes need to be counted

[ON Progressive]

Rouda's lead over Keirstead shrinks from 456 to 62 votes.

What? Keirstead initially lead by 456 and now trails by 62.

[ON Progressive]

Rouda's lead over Keirstead shrinks from 456 to 62 votes.

What? Keirstead initially lead by 456 and now trails by 62.

No. Rouda's lead went from 456 to 62.

Rouda never lead by anywhere near that much. The most Rouda was ever ahead was 69 (nice) votes, and that was yesterday.

Keirstead had the 456 vote lead initially when it was just VBM ballots, and the e-day provisional votes let Rouda take the lead.

[I’m not Stu]

Rouda's lead over Keirstead shrinks from 456 to 62 votes.

What? Keirstead initially lead by 456 and now trails by 62.

My mistake. Rouda's lead was about 70. It's now shrunk to 62.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

What about ME-Gov?

Mills won. Full results are on the main thread for that race.

[Antonio the Sixth]

how many more votes need to be counted

700K according to this, but it might be outdated.

[I’m not Stu]

19,397 votes in Orange County still need to be counted. It's still unknown who faces Rohrabacher.

[GeorgiaModerate]

19,397 votes in Orange County still need to be counted. It's still unknown who faces Rohrabacher.

However, it was reported that OC had focused on finishing the ballots from CA-48 first, so the current count for the district is, if not final, very close to it.

[Landslide Lyndon]

19,397 votes in Orange County still need to be counted. It's still unknown who faces Rohrabacher.

Only a portion of them will be for CA-48.

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

19,397 votes in Orange County still need to be counted. It's still unknown who faces Rohrabacher.

Where do you find that info about how many votes are still being counted

[Nyvin]

19,397 votes in Orange County still need to be counted. It's still unknown who faces Rohrabacher.

Where do you find that info about how manu votes are still being counted

The CA SoS website.

[Bidenworth2020]

who will the votes favor?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Apparently some CA-48 ballots are still being counted.  Tonight's update showed Rouda gaining 92 and Keirstead 57, so Rouda is now +97:

* DANA ROHRABACHER (REP)   52,674   30.3%
HARLEY ROUDA (DEM)   30,016   17.3%
HANS KEIRSTEAD (DEM)   29,919   17.2%
SCOTT BAUGH (REP)   27,483   15.8%

[DINGO Joe]

Apparently some CA-48 ballots are still being counted.  Tonight's update showed Rouda gaining 92 and Keirstead 57, so Rouda is now +97:

* DANA ROHRABACHER (REP)   52,674   30.3%
HARLEY ROUDA (DEM)   30,016   17.3%
HANS KEIRSTEAD (DEM)   29,919   17.2%
SCOTT BAUGH (REP)   27,483   15.8%

It's like watching paint dry

[136or142]

Are any of these primary challengers to incumbents likely to be close?
1.Colorado 1, Diana DeGette vs Saira Rao
2.Colorado 5, Doug Lamborn vs Darryl Glen/Owen Hill
3.New York 9, Yvette Clarke vs Adem Bunkeddeko
4.New York 11, Dan Donovan vs Michael Grimm
5.New York 12, Carolyn Maloney vs. Suraj Patel
6.New York 14, Joe Crowley vs. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
7.Utah 3, John Curtis vs Chris Herrod

[wesmoorenerd]

Are any of these primary challengers to incumbents likely to be close?
1.Colorado 1, Diana DeGette vs Saira Rao
2.Colorado 5, Doug Lamborn vs Darryl Glen/Owen Hill
3.New York 9, Yvette Clarke vs Adem Bunkeddeko
4.New York 11, Dan Donovan vs Michael Grimm
5.New York 12, Carolyn Maloney vs. Suraj Patel
6.New York 14, Joe Crowley vs. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
7.Utah 3, John Curtis vs Chris Herrod

NY-11 might actually favor Grimm right now. There's been a lot of buzz about NY-14 but it remains to be seen whether that'll amount to anything.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Votes continue to trickle in for CA-48.  Tonight's update:

* DANA ROHRABACHER (REP)   52,722   30.3%
HARLEY ROUDA (DEM)   30,089   17.3%
HANS KEIRSTEAD (DEM)   29,964   17.2%
SCOTT BAUGH (REP)   27,504   15.8%

Rouda gained 73 while Keirstead gained 45.  Rouda is now up by 125.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Guess they were right about the remaining vote to be strongly pro-Rouda.

I am going to chalk it up as a lucky guess because they failed to provide a reason as to their prediction.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Mimi Walters is down to 51.7% of the vote

[136or142]

Mimi Walters is down to 51.7% of the vote

Hopefully this is below the Mimimum she needs to win the general election.

[Oryxslayer]

Guess they were right about the remaining vote to be strongly pro-Rouda.

I am going to chalk it up as a lucky guess because they failed to provide a reason as to their prediction.

No the reason was that Kierstead got hit with his scandal in the middle of the early voting period, which caused the DNC-types to push hard for him. It makes sense that Pre-Scandal, Kierstead will do better, but the votes cast after the scandal would be more favorable to Rouda.

[Tintrlvr]

Mimi Walters is down to 51.7% of the vote

Hopefully this is below the Mimimum she needs to win the general election.

I believe someone recently pointed out that Republicans have lost 9/10 of the Congressional elections in California where the R total was >50% but <55% in the primary since the top-two system was implemented, and the one they didn't lose was the Dem shutout in CA-25 in 2014. So the Dems should feel very good about gaining CA-10, CA-25, CA-45, CA-48 and CA-49 this year (though CA-21 is probably going to remain elusive).

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Mimi Walters is down to 51.7% of the vote

Hopefully this is below the Mimimum she needs to win the general election.

I believe someone recently pointed out that Republicans have lost 9/10 of the Congressional elections in California where the R total was >50% but <55% in the primary since the top-two system was implemented, and the one they didn't lose was the Dem shutout in CA-25 in 2014. So the Dems should feel very good about gaining CA-10, CA-25, CA-45, CA-48 and CA-49 this year (though CA-21 is probably going to remain elusive).

In that case, the Democrats should also feel good about CA-39 since the Republicans currently have a combined total of 53.3% there.

[Holmes]

Issa got 51% in the 2016 primary and won the general by 1.6k votes.