CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

One of few sour notes tonight, David Trone after two tries and $23 Million dollars has successfully bought a congressional seat.

how is spending your own money any different than raising money from other people/organizations?

These guys hate people that are well off.

[Adam Griffin]

John Warren actually ended up being pretty competitive in SC.    McMaster only ahead 22k votes.

If there was ever an example of just how powerful and influential Greenville is in SC elections, this was it:

This is a McMaster victory?

Yellow is Warren and he got about 46% with just those counties.

And it was essentially 50/50 in Charleston, so it's not even a case of two metros driving up the margins for Warren.

Of course, Greenville is the largest city in the state (and Republicans tend to be a bigger presence in urban and metro areas in SC compared to many other states), but still - it can be easy for many to forget about Greenville in the context of Charleston and Columbia.

[MycroftCZ]

Crowley has been pretty classy in defeat:

https://twitter.com/jdavidgoodman/status/1011795408383856645

Credit where credit is due.

[Adam Griffin]

MS Dem Senate runoff map (Green = Baria, Yellow = Sherman)

Is Hancock County a NYT typo?

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

First time using GIMP

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - FINISHING UP MD:

District 7
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Richmond Davis
3,393   31.3%   
Michael Pearson
3,243   29.9   
William Newton
2,419   22.3   
Ray Bly
1,802   16.6   
10,857 votes, 98% reporting (308 of 313 precincts)

[wesmoorenerd]

One of few sour notes tonight, David Trone after two tries and $23 Million dollars has successfully bought a congressional seat.

Yes, Delaney ally, great guy, will be a wonderful congressman! Also, the traitor got beaten so bad lol!

The more of your bizarre centrist ramblings I read, the less I pay attention to them.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Anyone mind trying to explain to her what a Democratic primary is?

https://twitter.com/kayleighmcenany/status/1011810093782978563

[wesmoorenerd]

Anyone mind trying to explain to her what a Democratic primary is?

https://twitter.com/kayleighmcenany/status/1011810093782978563

This idiot was able to transfer into Harvard Law School

It's called the "White Blonde Rich Conservative Political Commentator Effect"

See also: Tomi Lahren

[Tintrlvr]

We got maps!





Race didn't really play much of a factor in how people voted, from the looks of it.

Well, it did, but not in the ways you might think.

Most notably, Crowley clearly dominated the black vote. His strongest area was East Elmhurst, which is a traditionally black neighborhood that has had a lot of Latino in-migration recently, whose turnout is likely much, much lower than the black population as the black population is mostly elderly, well established and, unlike in most of the rest of NYC, almost all citizens/not immigrants. The Parkchester result also points to Crowley doing relatively well with black voters. He also seems to have done well with Asian voters, as you can see in (the Asian parts of) Jackson Heights and again in Parkchester.

Crowley also did well in the remaining "ethnic white" areas in the Bronx, such as Country Club, and in the Albanian enclave in the Bronx. But he got demolished in Astoria, which these days is more hipster-y and Arab-American (and perhaps Greek-Americans never felt the same connection to him that Italian-Americans or Irish-Americans did -- though note he did well in/won the most traditional and least hipster parts of Astoria in the far northeast, abutting on LaGuardia - furthest from the subway lines).

Overall, it is clear that Ocasio-Cortez's base was young, white hipsters rather than Latino voters, and this was primarily a generational and transplants vs. locals election rather than an election on racial lines.

[Sestak]

Well, RIP Abby Finkenauer.

[wesmoorenerd]

Well, RIP Abby Finkenauer.

To be fair, chances are both AOC and Finkenauer are are in Congress by this time next year.

[Calthrina950]

First time using GIMP

Jeb Bush superimposed over a map of Colorado? Is that supposed to be a reference to Walker Stapleton winning the Republican gubernatorial primary?

[Antonio the Sixth]

Definitely meh night overall, but at least we kicked Crowley out and made Clarke sweat. Better than nothing.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Anyone mind trying to explain to her what a Democratic primary is?

https://twitter.com/kayleighmcenany/status/1011810093782978563

The real question is who is going to explain to HIM?

[Brittain33]

The arrogance and gall of these machine bozos:

https://www.twitter.com/jdavidgoodman/status/1011788333465382912

Fortunately Ocasio-Cortez will be in Congress for the next sixty years.

[UncleSam]

The arrogance and gall of these machine bozos:

https://www.twitter.com/jdavidgoodman/status/1011788333465382912

Fortunately Ocasio-Cortez will be in Congress for the next sixty years.

Ya, but in the meantime the seniority Crowley has will be lost to the people of his district, resulting in less effective representation due to the party committee system. I think that this is an underrated reason that incumbents get ousted so infrequently.

[riceowl]

Can't wait to see the hot takes about how Dems are going to have a harder time winning the House because of a primary in a D+29 PVI and Clinton+57 district.

Did someone say foxnews.com?

[Politician]

Bye bye Crowley! Prefer if Crow didn't win in CO-6 though.

[Politician]

Ocasio is exactly who DEMs need in progressive cities like New York.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

OK-GOV R will go to a runoff, but I have no idea who will be in it.

100% of the vote is in. It's Cornett and Stitt.

[Virginiá]

This idiot was able to transfer into Harvard Law School

I would bet dollars to doughnuts that half these people know they are spewing bs, but they are doing it anyway because no one wants to be the naysayer on their side. People like cheerleaders, and to reaffirm their hopes. It's the same deal for every side in an election. In 2016, the easiest way to get downvoted on reddit was to say anything that went against their cheering or was insufficiently positive for whatever candidate they were pulling for.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - CO:

Attorney General
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Phil Weiser
279,482   50.8%
Joe Salazar
270,860   49.2
550,342 votes, 92% reporting (1,470 of 1,600 precincts)

CO Treas. R is still TCTC.

[Virginiá]

New thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=295241.0