CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA (user search)
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  CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA (search mode)
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA  (Read 105670 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,718
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: May 25, 2018, 01:43:07 AM »

One possible explanation for the apparent republican surge is that Dems hit their absolute ceiling in the state in 2016 and so Republicans have nowhere to go but up. This wouldn't necessarily preclude dems from picking up some of the Clinton-Republican Seats, but it would mean that despite democratic dreams, CA-4, CA-22, and CA-50 are completely safe.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2018, 12:01:15 PM »

For purposes of Sanity and Time, along with the fact that CA takes forever to count, WULFRIC PROJECTIONS (TM) on June 5 will NOT include California U.S. House races. I will still project the CA Senate and Gov Races.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: May 31, 2018, 05:30:22 PM »

Meh, not like it really matters, Ivey has already locked up the GE win^^
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2018, 06:40:11 PM »

For reference: List of Non-CA contested races by state:

AL: D and R Gov, R Lt Gov, CD 1 D, CD 2 D and R, CD 3 D, CD 4 D and R, CD 5 R, Sec. State D and R, Att. Gen. D and R, Treas. R, Auditor R, Ag. Commissioner R

IA: D and L Gov, CD 1 D, CD 3 D, CD 4 D and R, Sec. State D, Ag. Sec. R

MS: D and R Sen, CD 3 D and R, CD 4 R

MT: R and G Sen, CD 1 D

NJ: D and R Sen, CD 1 D, CD 2 D and R, CD 4 D, CD 5 R, CD 6 D, CD 7 D and R, CD 9 D, CD 10 D, CD 11 D and R

NM: D Gov, D Lt. Gov, CD 1 D, CD 2 D and R, Auditor D, Commissioner of Public Lands D

SD: R Gov, CD 1 R, Att. Gen. R
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #4 on: June 04, 2018, 10:34:58 PM »

Poll Closing Map for tomorrow (ET):

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #5 on: June 05, 2018, 11:48:09 AM »

BTW, I'm looking at CNN right now, they appear to have a countdown clock till 10pm est, so I guess we will have national coverage tonight. They also appear to be unhealthy hyping up the potential for lockouts, both DvD and RvR.

MSNBC will also have coverage.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #6 on: June 05, 2018, 01:58:48 PM »

Results pages are up!

Politico (Free): https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/new-jersey/
NYT (Paywalled): https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/06/05/us/elections/results-alabama-primary-elections.html

As usual, links to the other states are clearly visible on these pages.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #7 on: June 05, 2018, 02:06:44 PM »

Sad My ballot took too long to arrive in DC, I don't get to vote Sad

Mitch McConnell, Paul Ryan, and Donald Trump made a joint decision to exclude you from the election. I believe it was for insufficent loyalty to the republican party.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #8 on: June 05, 2018, 07:16:51 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - NJ:

U.S. House District 1
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Donald Norcross*
2,189   81.4%
   
Robert Carlson
362   13.5   
Scot Tomaszewski
138   5.1   
2,689 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 530 precincts)

District 7
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Leonard Lance*
479   76.3%
   
Lindsay Brown
85   13.5   
Raafat Barsoom
64   10.2   
628 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 639 precincts)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #9 on: June 05, 2018, 07:22:30 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - NJ:

U.S. House District 1
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Donald Norcross*
2,189   81.4%
   
Robert Carlson
362   13.5   
Scot Tomaszewski
138   5.1   
2,689 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 530 precincts)

District 7
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Leonard Lance*
479   76.3%
   
Lindsay Brown
85   13.5   
Raafat Barsoom
64   10.2   
628 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 639 precincts)
Please don't jump the gun again.

I didn't do any gun-jumping during the May 22nd primaries, and I don't plan to do any tonight.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #10 on: June 05, 2018, 07:23:13 PM »


Yes
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #11 on: June 05, 2018, 07:28:02 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Frank Pallone Jr.*
875   86.7%
   
Javahn Walker
134   13.3   
1,009 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 529 precincts)

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #12 on: June 05, 2018, 07:29:55 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

U.S. House District 9
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Bill Pascrell Jr.*
799   87.8%
   
William Henry
111   12.2   
910 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 423 precincts)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #13 on: June 05, 2018, 07:35:37 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

U.S. House District 10
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Donald M. Payne Jr.*
112   77.8%
   
Aaron Fraser
32   22.2   
144 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 551 precincts)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #14 on: June 05, 2018, 07:38:56 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - AL:

District 4
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Robert B. Aderholt*
156   91.8%   

Anthony Blackmon
14   8.2   
170 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 427 precincts)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #15 on: June 05, 2018, 07:42:46 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

Senate
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Bob Hugin
17,314   78.9%
   
Brian Goldberg
4,628   21.1   
21,942 votes, 8% reporting (538 of 6,346 precincts)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #16 on: June 05, 2018, 07:44:50 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MS:

Senate
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Roger Wicker*
2,761   74.2%
   
Richard Boyanton
960   25.8   
3,721 votes, 2% reporting (34 of 1,811 precincts)

Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #17 on: June 05, 2018, 07:52:56 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

District 7
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Tom Malinowski
1,366   68.2%
   
Peter Jacob
394   19.7   
Goutam Jois
243   12.1   
2,003 votes, 5% reporting (29 of 639 precincts)

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #18 on: June 05, 2018, 07:59:22 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

District 11
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Mikie Sherrill
3,302   80.4%
   
Tamara Harris
548   13.3   
Alison Heslin
101   2.5   
Mitchell Cobert
94   2.3   
Mark Washburne
64   1.6   
4,109 votes, 2% reporting (12 of 576 precincts)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #19 on: June 05, 2018, 08:02:44 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

U.S. Senate
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Robert Menendez*
65,577   59.3%
   
Lisa McCormick
44,967   40.7   
110,544 votes, 27% reporting (1,718 of 6,346 precincts)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #20 on: June 05, 2018, 08:07:50 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

U.S. House District 4
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Joshua Welle
13,072   57.5%
   
Jim Keady
9,680   42.5   
22,752 votes, 75% reporting (386 of 517 precincts)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #21 on: June 05, 2018, 08:11:56 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - AL:

U.S. House District 1
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Robert Kennedy
873   86.4%
   
Lizzetta McConnell
137   13.6   
1,010 votes, 3% reporting (6 of 240 precincts)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #22 on: June 05, 2018, 08:14:57 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - AL:

Sec. State
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
John Merrill*
4,648   72.0%   

Michael Johnson
1,812   28.0   
6,460 votes, 2% reporting (48 of 2,169 precincts)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #23 on: June 05, 2018, 08:17:44 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NM:

District 2
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Xochitl Torres Small
3,953   83.5%
   
Madeline Hildebrandt
779   16.5   
4,732 votes, 8% reporting (41 of 501 precincts)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #24 on: June 05, 2018, 08:19:46 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NJ:

District 2
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Jeff Van Drew
6,429   56.8%
   
Tanzie Youngblood
2,355   20.8   
William Cunningham
1,520   13.4   
Nate Kleinman
1,023   9.0   
11,327 votes, 41% reporting (212 of 523 precincts)
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