CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA (user search)
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  CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA (search mode)
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA  (Read 105654 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: June 05, 2018, 09:16:45 AM »
Quote from: RubioRepublican on June 05, 2018, 08:54:16 AM
Quote from: KingSweden on June 05, 2018, 08:53:11 AM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 05, 2018, 08:09:13 AM
Sincere request for tonight: since California results will trickle in for days or weeks and the final results may be very different from tonight's returns, can we please avoid any hot takes based on tonight's returns?

There is a -200 percent chance of that


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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2018, 02:36:48 PM »
I have a total of 22 tabs open of New York Times Election results.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2018, 02:40:32 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 05, 2018, 02:38:01 PM
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 05, 2018, 02:36:48 PM
I have a total of 22 tabs open of New York Times Election results.

Lol.

Unfortunately, There is nothing in New York Times for the critical Missouri special election. Otherwise, it would be 23.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2018, 03:07:13 PM »
Actually:

NJ-S
NJ-02
NJ-07
NJ-11
AL-G
MS-S
SD-G
NM-G
IA-G
IA-01
IA-03
MT-S
MT-01
CA-S
CA-G
CA-10
CA-21
CA-25
CA-39
CA-45
CA-48
CA-49
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: June 05, 2018, 03:10:27 PM »
Quote from: Rep. Sestak on June 05, 2018, 03:07:56 PM
I'm going to go out on a limb and say the Persky recall fails today. I could be entirely wrong about that, but i know a lot of liberal people around here who oppose it - generally most people who are informed do.

That would be very sad if it failed.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: June 05, 2018, 03:14:14 PM »
I do not see how anyone who is not racist could possibly oppose Persky being recalled.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: June 05, 2018, 03:22:26 PM »
Does anyone know if Lisa McCormick has a serious chance at winning the primary?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: June 05, 2018, 07:25:10 PM »
I am surprised that Menendez is under 60%.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #8 on: June 05, 2018, 07:28:15 PM »
It appears that New Jersey is the slowest state so far.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #9 on: June 05, 2018, 07:35:44 PM »
Quote from: 136or142 on June 05, 2018, 07:31:48 PM
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 05, 2018, 07:28:15 PM
It appears that New Jersey is the slowest state so far.

According to the Politico Website, Mississippi and Alabama are reporting even slower.

When I posted that, New Jersey had 0 precincts reporting, while Alabama and Mississippi had 4 and 5 each. No longer like that.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #10 on: June 05, 2018, 07:39:02 PM »
Lauren Arthur   D   772   63%
Kevin Corlew    R   455   37%

There is this (1/61 Precincts reporting)
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #11 on: June 05, 2018, 07:47:34 PM »
Here is Missouri results
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #12 on: June 05, 2018, 08:13:02 PM »
Quote from: 136or142 on June 05, 2018, 08:12:21 PM
Polls have closed in Montana, South Dakota and New Mexico.
Montana is still open for another hour.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #13 on: June 05, 2018, 08:38:05 PM »
Menendez lost 2 Counties so far.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #14 on: June 05, 2018, 09:14:50 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on June 05, 2018, 09:12:20 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION - AL:

U.S. House District 4
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Lee Auman
4,383   59.6%   
Rick Neighbors
2,968   40.4   
7,351 votes, 38% reporting (164 of 427 precincts)

@Badger: If you want sluggish, absolutely-every-check applied projections, then use NYT.  My projections are based on sophisticated analysis of county and district/statewide results, and have been correct on all but 3 occasions over the course of 2016, 2017, and 2018.

There were the 2 recent cases with WV-03 and PA-05. What was the 3rd?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #15 on: June 05, 2018, 09:57:00 PM »
California about to close!
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #16 on: June 05, 2018, 09:58:55 PM »
South Dakota has been reporting super fast now.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #17 on: June 05, 2018, 10:04:33 PM »
Only 2 candidates in CA-21, so both make it to the runoff.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #18 on: June 05, 2018, 10:04:59 PM »
Since Neal Tapio lost the nomination, SD-01 moves from Likely R to Safe R.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #19 on: June 05, 2018, 10:09:28 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on June 05, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
WULFRIC PROJECTION - IA:

U.S. House District 4
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
J.D. Scholten
7,232   54.5%   
Leann Jacobsen
3,448   26.0   
John Paschen
2,601   19.6   
13,281 votes, 27% reporting (131 of 489 precincts)

Please take Steve King down.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #20 on: June 05, 2018, 10:28:02 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on June 05, 2018, 10:27:05 PM
So John Cox is winning first place in California. How much do you want the bet there will be "DEATH OF DEMOCRATS IN CA" headlines tomorrow morning, if he pulls it off?

This is a reporting bias.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #21 on: June 05, 2018, 10:35:54 PM »
Has Persky been recalled?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #22 on: June 06, 2018, 07:38:14 AM »
Nate Boulton still won Louisa County.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #23 on: June 06, 2018, 07:50:55 PM »
Hopefully it is not an exact tie. Under California law, a tie for 2nd place means that both make it to the runoff, which would mean that there would be vote splitting in the general.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #24 on: June 09, 2018, 11:54:52 AM »
Quote from: nerd73 on June 09, 2018, 11:40:58 AM
So the district with the only real danger of lockout is one they wouldn't win anyway (CA-08).


CA-08 would have been potentially winnable if the Wave turned into a Tsunami, and we had D vs D runoffs for both the Senate and Gubernatorial Race.
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