Interesting how Cruz +11 equals Safe Republican, but Manchin +12 is a fake poll and it's a tossup race.
WV and TX are both incredibly overhyped races, especially by the so-called “experts”. I think Manchin is actually the safest Romney state Democrat at this point, even safer than you-know-who.
Is TX overhyped by experts though? It seems to be overhyped mostly by the base than by anyone else. Most ''experts'' I've read seem to be a bit on the ''meh'' side and not very convinced that this race will be anywhere close.
