OH-SEN (R-1984 Society/Fallon): Brown +14
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 07:24:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  OH-SEN (R-1984 Society/Fallon): Brown +14
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: OH-SEN (R-1984 Society/Fallon): Brown +14  (Read 2497 times)
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,528
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 01, 2018, 01:02:51 PM »
« edited: June 01, 2018, 04:27:35 PM by Gass3268 »

Brown (D) 48%
Renacci (R) 34%
Farley (G) 3%
Undecided 15%

Source
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2018, 01:03:56 PM »

Not surprised. This race is Likely D, and closer to Safe than Lean. Brown is a popular incumbent who has good support of working-class voters.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2018, 01:09:10 PM »

I've never heard of this pollster before.
Logged
junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2018, 01:09:50 PM »

Renacci never stood a chance
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2018, 01:12:59 PM »

I've never heard of this pollster before.
they also polled nd senate, cramer was ahead by 3
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 01, 2018, 01:13:37 PM »

Was this Limo's "high quality poll"?
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 01, 2018, 01:17:21 PM »

Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,649
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 01, 2018, 01:17:47 PM »

Good news.
Logged
Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 01, 2018, 02:42:22 PM »

>Brown under 50%

In all seriousness, this is music to my ears
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 01, 2018, 02:45:48 PM »

>Brown under 50%

In all seriousness, this is music to my ears
Limo: "Yeah. Not such a great poll for Democrats. Renacci could easily take all the undecideds"
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 01, 2018, 03:47:05 PM »


source for this? Heitkamp is definitely going down.
No she isn't.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 01, 2018, 04:03:57 PM »


source for this? Heitkamp is definitely going down.
no nvm was thinking of this-https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=275620.0\

yea, nd is safe d, any other view is a spicy hot take tbh
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 01, 2018, 04:45:48 PM »

source for this? Heitkamp is definitely going down.

Why are you so obsessed with Heitkamp losing? She’s definitely favored, and it’s not even close, lol.
Are you trying to reason with LimoLOLbral???
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,994
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 01, 2018, 09:10:00 PM »

RCP hasn't put this in yet. Rightwing bias. They're quick to jump on any Reuters poll when they get the chance.
Logged
_
Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 01, 2018, 09:10:55 PM »

RCP hasn't put this in yet. Rightwing bias. They're quick to jump on any Reuters poll when they get the chance.

They haven't put in the Gov numbers either Tongue
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,649
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 01, 2018, 09:16:16 PM »

These numbers are in line with what's expected.  Cordray hasn't sold himself yet and Renacci is a sacrificial lamb.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,936
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 01, 2018, 09:25:40 PM »

RCP hasn't put this in yet. Rightwing bias. They're quick to jump on any Reuters poll when they get the chance.

Sometimes I get the impression that you think that the midterm elections this year will see the biggest Democratic wave in decades, whereas, due to polarization, gerrymandering, and other factors, I don't think it will be a large one. RCP is reliable, in my opinion, and they display little bias in their reporting on the races. Their Senatorial and Congressional ratings are reasonable.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 01, 2018, 09:29:41 PM »

RCP hasn't put this in yet. Rightwing bias. They're quick to jump on any Reuters poll when they get the chance.

Sometimes I get the impression that you think that the midterm elections this year will see the biggest Democratic wave in decades, whereas, due to polarization, gerrymandering, and other factors, I don't think it will be a large one. RCP is reliable, in my opinion, and they display little bias in their reporting on the races. Their Senatorial and Congressional ratings are reasonable.
The guy from RCP literally went on Fox and talked about how "the Blue Wave is dead".
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 01, 2018, 10:05:32 PM »

These numbers are in line with what's expected.  Cordray hasn't sold himself yet and Renacci is a sacrificial lamb.
a sacrificial lamb has a good performance, but ultimately loses. I bet someone else could have won this
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,994
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 01, 2018, 10:37:29 PM »

RCP hasn't put this in yet. Rightwing bias. They're quick to jump on any Reuters poll when they get the chance.

Sometimes I get the impression that you think that the midterm elections this year will see the biggest Democratic wave in decades, whereas, due to polarization, gerrymandering, and other factors, I don't think it will be a large one. RCP is reliable, in my opinion, and they display little bias in their reporting on the races. Their Senatorial and Congressional ratings are reasonable.

I know I may appear to be over optimistic for the Democrats sometimes, but the head election analyst at RCP, Sean Trende, is a known Republican and RCP skewers right. They moved 11 seats to the Republicans after the Reuters R+6 blip and haven't spoken a word ever since it receded back to D+8.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,936
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 01, 2018, 10:46:55 PM »

RCP hasn't put this in yet. Rightwing bias. They're quick to jump on any Reuters poll when they get the chance.

Sometimes I get the impression that you think that the midterm elections this year will see the biggest Democratic wave in decades, whereas, due to polarization, gerrymandering, and other factors, I don't think it will be a large one. RCP is reliable, in my opinion, and they display little bias in their reporting on the races. Their Senatorial and Congressional ratings are reasonable.

I know I may appear to be over optimistic for the Democrats sometimes, but the head election analyst at RCP, Sean Trende, is a known Republican and RCP skewers right. They moved 11 seats to the Republicans after the Reuters R+6 blip and haven't spoken a word ever since it receded back to D+8.

You are right, in that the crowd which is attracted to RCP is right-leaning. Many of the people who post comments there are Trump supporters, and believe that the Republicans are poised to gain seats this year, which is implausible. And Trende is definitely a Republican. But I still think that their overall ratings are reasonable, even if they are not as precise as we might want them to be.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,994
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: June 01, 2018, 11:16:42 PM »

RCP hasn't put this in yet. Rightwing bias. They're quick to jump on any Reuters poll when they get the chance.

Sometimes I get the impression that you think that the midterm elections this year will see the biggest Democratic wave in decades, whereas, due to polarization, gerrymandering, and other factors, I don't think it will be a large one. RCP is reliable, in my opinion, and they display little bias in their reporting on the races. Their Senatorial and Congressional ratings are reasonable.

I know I may appear to be over optimistic for the Democrats sometimes, but the head election analyst at RCP, Sean Trende, is a known Republican and RCP skewers right. They moved 11 seats to the Republicans after the Reuters R+6 blip and haven't spoken a word ever since it receded back to D+8.

You are right, in that the crowd which is attracted to RCP is right-leaning. Many of the people who post comments there are Trump supporters, and believe that the Republicans are poised to gain seats this year, which is implausible. And Trende is definitely a Republican. But I still think that their overall ratings are reasonable, even if they are not as precise as we might want them to be.

I'm not saying that their ratings, overall, AREN'T reasonable, I just think that their motives behind making certain race changes can be questionable.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: June 01, 2018, 11:38:52 PM »

These numbers are in line with what's expected.  Cordray hasn't sold himself yet and Renacci is a sacrificial lamb.
a sacrificial lamb has a good performance, but ultimately loses. I bet someone else could have won this

Yeah, Tim Ryan probably could have won.
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,740


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: June 01, 2018, 11:41:46 PM »

These numbers are in line with what's expected.  Cordray hasn't sold himself yet and Renacci is a sacrificial lamb.
a sacrificial lamb has a good performance, but ultimately loses. I bet someone else could have won this

Yeah, Tim Ryan probably could have won.

Tim Ryan is a Democrat.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: June 01, 2018, 11:47:02 PM »

These numbers are in line with what's expected.  Cordray hasn't sold himself yet and Renacci is a sacrificial lamb.
a sacrificial lamb has a good performance, but ultimately loses. I bet someone else could have won this

Yeah, Tim Ryan probably could have won.

Tim Ryan is a Democrat.

IK, if he was the nominee for the dems he could have won the gubnaship against DeWine, oh well.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.065 seconds with 13 queries.