Four consecutive 20+ point PV swings from 1964-1976 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 09:07:54 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Four consecutive 20+ point PV swings from 1964-1976 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Four consecutive 20+ point PV swings from 1964-1976  (Read 944 times)
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,863
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

« on: June 08, 2018, 08:26:56 AM »

I wonder what those swings look like if you remove the Southern states
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,863
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2018, 12:48:50 PM »

1964–D+22.4
1968–R+23.3
1972–R+22.5
1976–D+25.2

What I find interesting/ironic about this is that the 1960s-70s are often considered a high point of tumult and controversy in American history, yet numbers show it was also arguably the low point of political polarization. There was still a very large swing vote despite the incessant violence and depression of the era. It provides an interesting contrast with the 2000s-10s, where political views remain highly polarized and baked in despite facing a lot of the same cultural issues we were facing two generations ago.

Also utterly remarkable is that the NPV swung 38 points from 1956 to 1964 and then 46 points from 1964 to 1972. Almost makes you wonder if any true partisans even existed during those 16 years.


Because polarization in those days wasn't along political party lines, and the Democrats and Republicans each still had Conservative, Moderate, and Liberal factions. Up until the 1980s or so, American Political Parties were coalitions of interest groups that only very vaguely had a unifying ideology.

We've changed how we look at ideology.  Today, we see a "liberal" Republican from Vermont because he was pro-choice and a "conservative" Democrat from Arkansas because he was pro-life, but the interest that unified them arguably WAS the ideology, or at least the one that mattered.  A more natural political alignment if you ask me.

Hmmm....I might be missing something, but what ideology was that?  Both Republicans and Democrats had very healthy, robust conservative and liberal wings that feuded openly throughout most of the 20th Century. 
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 12 queries.