N U T part 2: The Presidency of Bernie Sanders and the 2022 midterms

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

I'm gonna make a change and have Gillum be the FL Governor. He wasn't on my radar when I made Levine Governor.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Polls have closed in the following states:

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

New York Senate Election: DEMOCRATIC/WORKING FAMILES HOLD
2% Reporting
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 74.23%
Fmr. Borough President James Oddo: 20.33%
Other: 5.44%

After Senator Schumer announced his retirement, Representative Ocasio-Cortez entered the race, and although she did have a large opposition in the Primary, she won. She goes on to be the next Senator from the state, over Fmr. Borough President James Oddo, criticised heavily for his reportedly islamophobic and xenophobic statements in the past.

Wisconsin Senate Race: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
5% Reporting
Fmr. Senator Russ Feingold: 54.98%
Fmr. State Senator Leah Vukmir: 39.89%
Other: 5.13%

Russ Feingold has finally returned to his old Senate seat.

North Dakota Senate Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
9% Reporting
Activist Faith Spotted Eagle: 40.31%
Senator John Hoeven: 39.16%
Write-in: Fmr. Rep. Kevin Cramer: 18.32%
Other: 2.21%

Senator Hoeven was heavily implicated in the scandals, and thanks to a write-in campaign from Former Rep. Cramer, Activist Faith Spotted Eagle may win.

South Dakota Senate Election: JOHN THUNE RE-ELECTED

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

New York Senate Election: DEMOCRATIC/WORKING FAMILES HOLD
2% Reporting
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 74.23%
Fmr. Borough President James Oddo: 20.33%
Other: 5.44%

After Senator Schumer announced his retirement, Representative Ocasio-Cortez entered the race, and although she did have a large opposition in the Primary, she won. She goes on to be the next Senator from the state, over Fmr. Borough President James Oddo, criticised heavily for his reportedly islamophobic and xenophobic statements in the past.

Wisconsin Senate Race: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
5% Reporting
Fmr. Senator Russ Feingold: 54.98%
Fmr. State Senator Leah Vukmir: 39.89%
Other: 5.13%

Russ Feingold has finally returned to his old Senate seat.

North Dakota Senate Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
9% Reporting
Activist Faith Spotted Eagle: 40.31%
Senator John Hoeven: 39.16%
Write-in: Fmr. Rep. Kevin Cramer: 18.32%
Other: 2.21%

Senator Hoeven was heavily implicated in the scandals, and thanks to a write-in campaign from Former Rep. Cramer, Activist Faith Spotted Eagle may win.

South Dakota Senate Election: JOHN THUNE RE-ELECTED

Why did Chuck Schumer retire?

He nearly lost the leadership, and was pressured by Sanders to do so. It still came as a bit of a shock.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Yeah I know

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Louisiana Senate Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
3% Reporting
Fmr. Governor John Bel Edwards: 49.98%
Senator John N. Kennedy: 28.85%
Fmr. State Rep. David Duke: 12.82%
Various others: 8.35%

The first round in Louisiana is looking bad for Republicans, as Former Governor Bel Edwards is looking close to getting a majority on the first round. David Duke is also getting a strong third place as of now.

Arizona Senate Election: Ruben Gallego ELECTED
Colorado Senate Election: Michael Bennett RE-ELECTED
Minnesota Special Senate Election: Peggy Flanagan ELECTED TO FULL TERM



Democratic Caucus: 72 (+11)
Democrat: 67
Independent: 2
Popular Democrat: 1
Progressive: 1
Worker's: 1

Republicans: 14

Too close to call: 5
Polls not closed: 10

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Current gubernatorial map

Be advised green >50% doesn't necessarily mean too close, as many races that are safe haven't been called.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Alright, we've been covering the Senate races, but there's still the Governor's races we need to look at.

New Hampshire Gubernatorial: Steve Marchand RE-ELECTED
New York Gubernatorial: Jumaane Williams ELECTED
Pennsylvania Gubernatorial: John Fetterman ELECTED
Ohio Gubernatorial: Richard Cordray RE-ELECTED
Michigan Gubernatorial: Gretchen Whitmer RE-ELECTED
Wisconsin Gubernatorial: Tony Evers RE-ELECTED
Minnesota Gubernatorial: Tim Walz RE-ELECTED
Tennessee Gubernatorial: Bill Lee RE-ELECTED
Kansas Gubernatorial: Laura Kelly RE-ELECTED
Colorado Gubernatorial: Jared Polis RE-ELECTED
New Mexico Gubernatorial: Michelle Lujan Grisham RE-ELECTED
Arizona Gubernatorial: Kate Gallego ELECTED

we'll be back with the competitive races.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Oh hold on, we have a call from the Pennsylvania Senate race:

Pennsylvania Senate Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
72% Reporting
Governor Tom Wolf: 56.01%
Senator Pat Toomey: 42.15%
Other: 2.04%

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

South Dakota Gubernatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
11% Reporting
Fmr. Mayor Mike Huether: 52.23%
Governor Kristi Noem: 45.78%
Other: 1.99%

Nebraska Gubernatorial Election:  TOO CLOSE TO CALL
17% Reporting
State Legislator Sue Crawford: 51.71%
Lt. Governor Mike Foley: 46.51%
Other: 1.78%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election:  TOO CLOSE TO CALL
16% Reporting
State Rep. Chuck Hoskin: 53.23%
Governor Kevin Stitt: 44.56%
Other: 2.21%

Looking bad for Republicans in the Great Plains, as Democrats lead in all three gubernatorial races here.
We can finally call Ohio's Senatorial election, as well as Missouri's:

Ohio Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
90% Reporting
Fmr. State Sen. Nina Turner: 51.51%
Senator Rob Portman: 46.61%
Other: 1.88%

Missouri Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
78% Reporting
Fmr. Governor Jay Nixon: 53.74%
Senator Roy Blunt: 43.98%
Other: 2.28%

Florida Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
72% Reporting
Rep. Darren Soto: 55.78%
Senator Marco Rubio: 42.44%
Other: 1.78%

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

It's 10 PM and polls have closed in these states:

Iowa Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
4% Reporting
State House Maj. Leader Mark Smith: 56.23%
Gov. Kim Reynolds: 41.44%
Other: 2.33%

Reynolds' approvals were getting abysmal, so I don't see it as much of a surprise we can call this one early.

Nevada Gubernatorial Election: Steve Sisolak RE-ELECTED

Nevada Senate Election: Catherine Cortez Masto RE-ELECTED

Utah Senate Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
4% Reporting
Fmr. County Councilwoman Jenny Wilson: 37.54%
Fmr. Representative Mia Love (write-in): 30.25%
Senator Mike Lee: 28.99%
Other: 3.22%

Another Senator in a very Republican state implicated in the immigration scandals. Mia Love is surprisingly in second right now. Wilson is running under the Democratic and Justice Party, as the Justice Party has risen to prominence in Utah recently after Rocky Anderson's election 2 years ago.

Iowa Senate Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
5% Reporting
Representative JD Scholten: 55.98%
Senator Chuck Grassley: 42.11%
Other: 1.91%



Democratic Caucus: 78 (+16)
Democrat: 73
Independent: 2
Popular Democrat: 1
Progressive: 1
Worker's: 1

Republican: 14

Too close to call: 5
Not closed: 7

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

meanwhile on the atlas election thread:

Weatherboy1102 YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 9,878

Re: 2022 Midterm Election Coverage Thread: Democratic Megatsunami 2 Electric Boogaloo « Reply #1032 on: November 8, 2022, 10:14:32 pm »Guys what is the scientifically hardest you can nut

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

For those wondering about Kavanaugh, in this TL he was voted down 51-49, with all D's plus Collins and Murkowski voting Nay. Amy C. Barrett would be the new nominee, and just after the election she was pushed through 51-49.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Arkansas Senatorial Election:DEMOCRATIC GAIN
56% Reporting
Mayor Mark Stodola: 52.81%
Senator John Boozman: 45.31%
Other: 1.88%

A surprisingly early call, but Stodola's home county, Pulaski, is only 5% reporting, and we believe that county will go heavily Democratic tonight.

Maryland Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
98% Reporting
Fmr. NAACP President Ben Jealous: 53.68%
Lt. Governor Boyd Rutherford: 44.78%
Other: 1.54%

Massachusetts Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
99% Reporting
Mr. Bob Massie: 49.48%
Lt. Governor Karyn Polito: 48.93%
Other: 1.59%

2 gains for Democrats in deeply Democratic territory. Massachusetts was extremely close here, but Baker's Lieutenant Governor couldn't hold this seat.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

It's 11 PM now, and we have poll closings in the following states:

Oregon Gubernatorial: Ted Wheeler ELECTED
California Gubernatorial: Gavin Newsom RE-ELECTED
Idaho Gubernatorial: Brad Little RE-ELECTED
Hawaii Gubernatorial: Josh Green ELECTED

idaho Senatorial: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Hawaii Senatorial: Brian Schatz RE-ELECTED
California Senatorial: Kamala Harris RE-ELECTED
Oregon Gubernatorial: Ron Wyden RE-ELECTED

Many safe calls from these states. Crapo, however, is not safe. We'll get to it after the break.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Idaho Senatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
3% Reporting
State Sen. Min. Leader Michelle Stennett: 33.72%
Senator Mike Crapo: 32.04%
Fmr. Rep. Raul Labrador: 23.32% (write-in)
Mr. Ray Writz: 8.88%
Other: 2.04%

Obviously, to those who haven't seen the pattern, Crapo was implicated in the scandals. He is quite close right now, don't expect this one to be called until late in the night.

Wyoming Gubernatorial: Mark Gordon RE-ELECTED

Washington Senatorial: Pramila Jayapal ELECTED



Democratic Caucus: 84 (+17)
Democrat: 73
Independent: 2
Popular Democrat: 1
Progressive: 1
Worker's: 1

Republican: 14

Too close to call: 5
Not closed: 1

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Kansas Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
92% Reporting
Representative James Thompson: 49.88%
Senator Jerry Moran: 43.86%
City Councilman Nich Schlossmacher: 4.92%
Other: 1.34%

Louisiana Senatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
56% Reporting
Fmr. Governor John Bel Edwards: 52.22%
Senator John N. Kennedy: 28.44%
Fmr. State Rep. David Duke: 11.35%
Other: 7.99%

Still too close here in Louisiana, remember that Edwards has to get over 50% to avoid a runoff. Meanwhile strong Sanders ally James Thompson has won in Kansas, in a race that's been going farther away for Republicans as the night progresses. Only some rural areas, and some scattered precincts in Kansas City, Topeka, Wichita, and some other cities have yet to report.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Arkansas Gubernatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
93% Reporting
Fmr. State Rep. Richard Carroll: 49.28%
Lt. Governor Tim Griffin: 49.11%
Other: 1.61%

This is an extremely close race here in Arkansas, but Carroll supporters have much to be hopeful about: the vast majority of remaining precincts are in Little Rock, which should give him a boost, but we aren't sure as of yet.

South Dakota Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
89% Reporting
Fmr. State Sen. Billie Sutton: 53.43%
Governor Kristi Noem: 44.93%
Other: 1.64%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
86% Reporting
State Rep. Chuck Hoskin: 54.88%
Governor Kevin Stitt: 43.59%
Other: 1.53%

Nebraska Gubernatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
78% Reporting
Lt. Governor Mike Foley: 49.36%
State Legislator Sue Crawford: 48.88%
Other: 1.76%

The Plains governors are falling one by one, but it is still too close in Nebraska, as their polls closed a bit later than the other two, so many areas are still at very little reporting.

And this is a big call we have right now:


Texas Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
98% Reporting
Fmr. Rep. Beto O'Rourke: 50.32%
Governor Greg Abbott: 48.07%
Other: 1.61%

The main areas left to report are mostly in El Paso and the most rural counties. These votes are likely to balance each other out, and we don't see Abbott making up the difference.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Well, it's midnight now, meaning all of Alaska has closed except the very small Aleutians East Borough, and the Aleutians West Census Area. that will be closing at 1 AM.


We don't have results from there quite yet, of course.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

well, we can finally call the Arkansas Gubernatorial Race:

Arkansas Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
96% Reporting
Fmr. State Rep. Richard Carroll: 51.24%
Lt. Governor Tim Griffin: 47.18%
Other: 1.58%

we're also getting our first reports from the Alaska races.

Alaska Gubernatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
2% Reporting
State Assemblyman Jim Sykes: 50.24%
Fmr. Representative Don Young: 47.53%
Other: 2.33%

Alaska Senatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
2% Reporting
State Sen. Dennis Egan: 49.25%
Senator Lisa Murkowski: 48.73%
Other: 2.02%

I'm quite surprised at how close the Senate race is. With the other results from tonight, you'd think Egan would be running away with it.

Yes, but Murkowski is still very popular. We'll have to see how it turns out in the end, only 2% of precincts are reporting right now, so these results could easily change.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

12:31 AM


Well, we have a projection to make in two races.

Nebraska Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
96% Reporting
State Legislator Sue Crawford: 50.63%
Lt. Governor Mike Foley: 47.61%
Other: 1.76%

Louisiana Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN (NO RUNOFF)
91% Reporting
Fmr. Governor John Bel Edwards: 53.23%
Senator John N. Kennedy: 23.69%
Fmr. State Rep. David Duke: 15.05%
Other: 8.03%

Bel Edwards looks like he's avoiding a runoff here. Meanwhile Duke has surged to his highest point tonight, right after all of LaSalle and Livingston parishes just reported. These areas were very strong for Duke back in 1991, and appear to still be so. In fact, he has narrowly taken a plurality in LaSalle parish by a margin of 12 votes.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

1:23 AM

We have a crucial race update in North Dakota, Utah, and Idaho.

North Dakota Senatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
98% Reporting
Activist Faith Spotted Eagle: 40.43%
Senator John Hoeven: 39.75%
Write-in: Fmr. Rep. Kevin Cramer: 17.45%
Other: 2.37%

An extremely close race here, Faith Spotted Eagle up by around 2000 here, but the remaining precincts are in extremely Republican areas.

Utah Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC/JUSTICE GAIN
97% Reporting
Fmr. County Councilwoman Jenny Wilson: 36.32%
Write-in: Fmr. Representative Mia Love: 33.22%
Senator Mike Lee: 27.59%
Other: 2.87%

At this point, it is mathematically impossible for Republicans to win. Just under 3%
 of precincts are left to report, and if all remaining votes were for Love, she would fall around .15%
 of the vote away from Wilson. That is highly unlikely to happen.

Idaho Senatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
82% Reporting
Senator Mike Crapo: 33.35%
State Sen. Min. Leader Michelle Stennett: 33.18%
Write in: Fmr. Representative Raul Labrador: 22.95%
Mr. Ray Writz: 8.54%
Other: 1.98%

This is extremely close here. The right wing is split tremendously between three candidates, but Crapo has pulled ahead. About a third of Boise has yet to report, but many precincts outside of the city are extremely Republican. This will come down to the wire.




Democratic Caucus: 87 (+19)
Democrat: 75
Independent: 2
Popular Democrat: 1
Justice: 1*
Progressive: 1
Worker's: 1
*Justice member is also part of Democratic party, but is labeled as Justice here to have more third parties

Republican: 14

Too close to call: 3
Not closed: 0

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

changed SD for Billie Sutton to run again and this time win.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

1:58 AM

The last precincts in North Dakota just reported, we can finally call the race.

North Dakota Senate Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN (RECOUNT)
100% Reporting
Activist Faith Spotted Eagle: 40.28%
Senator John Hoeven: 40.20%
Write-in:Fmr. Rep. Kevin Cramer: 17.28%
Other: 2.24%

By a razor thin margin of 311 votes, Native activist Faith Spotted Eagle, who was a key figure in the Dakota Access Pipeline protests and received an electoral vote in 2016, has won the Senate Election.

2:18 AM

Alaska Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC/GREEN GAIN
68% Reporting
State Assemblyman Jim Sykes: 53.18%
Fmr. Representative Don Young: 44.56%
Other: 2.26%


The founder of the Alaskan Green Party, Jim Sykes, has handily won the Alaska Gubernatorial Election. Much of Anchorage is still out, and that's generally good Democrat territory.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

And with that call in Alaska, we have our Gubernatorial map, barring any surprisingly strong margins in absentees.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

3:33 AM
We can call the race in Idaho...
Idaho Senate Election: REPUBLICAN HOLD(RECOUNT)
99% Reporting
Senator Mike Crapo: 34.03%
State Sen Min. Leader Michelle Stennett: 33.39%
Write-in:Fmr. Rep. Raul Labrador: 21.99%
Mr. Ray Writz: 8.54%
Other: 2.05%

Despite being heavily implicated in the scandals, Mike Crapo appears to have won the Idaho senate race. This is still in recount territory, but it is unlikely one would change anything.
4:43 AM

Alright, we have our final call in Alaska, and a disappointing one for Democrats in an otherwise great night, although a recount could flip this race.

Alaska Senate Election: REPUBLICAN HOLD (RECOUNT)
99% Reporting
Senator Lisa Murkowski: 49.04%
State Senator Dennis Egan: 48.98%
Other: 1.98%


There's only one precinct left to report, which is on the tiny island of Diomede. Even if the precinct went 100% for Egan he wouldn't pull ahead. We expect that to come in any minute now...

4:58 AM
We have that final precinct coming in now, and it seems to have narrowed the race slightly.

Alaska Senate Election: REPUBLICAN HOLD (RECOUNT)
100% Reporting
Senator Lisa Murkowski: 49.03%
State Senator Dennis Egan: 48.99%
Other: 1.98%

132 votes are deciding this race, we expect a lengthy recount battle here.