N U T part 2: The Presidency of Bernie Sanders and the 2022 midterms
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  N U T part 2: The Presidency of Bernie Sanders and the 2022 midterms
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Author Topic: N U T part 2: The Presidency of Bernie Sanders and the 2022 midterms  (Read 23402 times)
GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #125 on: April 07, 2019, 10:36:33 AM »

Kentucky:



01: Safe R, 90.0% WVAP
02: Safe R, 90.7% WVAP
03: Safe R, 92.5% WVAP
04: Safe D, 73.5% WVAP
05: Tossup, 84.6% WVAP
06: Safe R, 96.6% WVAP


(non atlas colors)

All HOLDs 4R-2D

67 D
27 R

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« Reply #126 on: April 18, 2019, 05:11:55 PM »

Can somebody link part 1? I can't find it.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #127 on: April 18, 2019, 08:44:16 PM »

Can somebody link part 1? I can't find it.

Here you go
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #128 on: May 23, 2019, 09:55:48 AM »

Decided to just continue on, but I will continue to post maps at regular intervals.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #129 on: June 02, 2019, 04:14:57 PM »
« Edited: October 08, 2019, 08:10:04 PM by WB said Trans Rights »

Louisiana:


01: Safe D, 52.7% BVAP, 37.1% WVAP
02: Safe R, 78.5% WVAP, 11.7% BVAP
03: Tossup, 59.0% WVAP, 35.3% BVAP
04: Safe R, 70.5% WVAP, 21.4% BVAP
05: Safe R, 73.1% WVAP, 21.9% BVAP
06: Lean R, 59.5% WVAP, 35.9% BVAP



(Non atlas color)
03: D GAIN

3D-3R

70 D
30 R

Massachusetts:


01: Safe D, 79.5% WVAP
02: Safe D, 84.6% WVAP
03: Safe D, 79.8% WVAP
04: Safe D, 79.0% WVAP
05: Safe D, 76.5% WVAP
06: Safe D, 53.7% WVAP, 17.8% BVAP, 15.7% HVAP
07: Safe D, 81.6% WVAP
08: Likely D, 84.6% WVAP
09: Safe D, 89.4% WVAP

ALL D HOLDS

9D-0R

79 D
30 R

Maryland:
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/414578330151550976/584849402548453377/Screenshot_48.png

01: Safe R, 85.9% WVAP
02: Safe R, 79.4% WVAP
03: Safe D, 54.0% BVAP, 37.8% WVAP
04: Safe D, 62.7% WVAP
05: Likely D, 69.7% WVAP
06: Safe D, 54.9% BVAP, 36.4% WVAP
07: Safe D, 40.8% BVAP, 29.5% WVAP, 19.7% HVAP
08: Safe D, 55.7% WVAP, 15.3% AVAP, 15.1% HVAP, 11.7% BVAP

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/414578330151550976/584851781251629159/Screenshot_57.png

01: R GAIN

6D-2R

85 D
32 R
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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #130 on: June 02, 2019, 07:38:08 PM »

Maine:


01: Safe D, 94.9% WVAP
02: Lean D, 96.3% WVAP

Both D Holds, 2D-0R

87 D
32 R


Michigan:


01: Likely R, 93.5% WVAP
02: Lean R, 90.6% WVAP
03: Likely D, 78.3% WVAP
04: Lean R, 82.4% WVAP
05: Tossup, 84.2% WVAP
06: Lean D, 84.3% WVAP
07: Lean D, 87.0% WVAP
08: Likely D, 80.0% WVAP
09: Safe D, 49.3% WVAP, 44.7% BVAP
10: Safe D, 54.1% BVAP, 35.0% WVAP
11: Lean D, 85.3% WVAP
12: Safe R, 92.1% WVAP
13: Tossup, 83.0% WVAP



Notable Races:
01: D HOLD (After Recount)
02: D GAIN

12D-1R

99 D
33 R

Minnesota


01: Tossup, 92.9% WVAP
02: Safe R, 94.1% WVAP
03: Likely R, 93.1% WVAP
04: Lean D, 86.5% WVAP
05: Lean D, 88.3% WVAP
06: Safe D, 78.1% WVAP
07: Safe D, 70.4% WVAP




01: D HOLD
03: R GAIN (after recount)

5D-2R

104 D
35 R
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #131 on: June 06, 2019, 10:06:58 PM »

Thought southern Minnesota was Missouri for a hot minute.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #132 on: June 09, 2019, 07:58:41 PM »

Missouri:


01: Safe D, 47.6% WVAP, 45.3% BVAP

02: Lean D, 89.7% WVAP
03: Likely R, 90.3% WVAP
04: Safe R, 93.0% WVAP
05: Safe R, 92.5% WVAP
06: Safe R, 91.6% WVAP
07: Safe D, 68.6% WVAP
08: Likely R, 91.5% WVAP



Notable Races:
08: R GAIN

7R-3D

107 D

42 R


Mississippi:



01: Safe D, 56.1% BVAP, 40.3% WVAP

02: Likely R, 71.4% WVAP
03:Tossup, 58.9% WVAP
04: Safe R, 73.0% WVAP



Notable Races:
03: D HOLD

2R-2D


109 D

44 R

Montana:




01: Lean D, 91.2% WVAP
02: Safe R, 88.7% WVAP



Notable Races:
02: (Technical) R GAIN

1D-1R


110 D

45 R

Nebraska:


01: Likely R, 88.7% WVAP
02: Lean D, 76.9% WVAP
03: Safe R, 90.3% WVAP



Notable Races:
01: R HOLD (After Recount)
02: D HOLD

2R-1D


111 D

47 R
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #133 on: June 23, 2019, 04:47:20 PM »

Senate Recounts:

North Dakota
Pre-Recount:
Faith Spotted Eagle (D): 156,681
John Hoeven (R): 156,370
Kevin Cramer (IR): 67,216
Richard Shelatz (L): 7,313
Others, mostly write-in: 1,401

Post-Recount:
Faith Spotted Eagle (D): 156,698
John Hoeven (R): 156,398
Kevin Cramer (IR): 68,101
Richard Shelatz (L): 7,321
Others, mostly write-in: 1,099


Idaho:
Pre-Recount:
Mike Crapo (R): 238,597
Michelle Stennett (D): 234,110
Raul Labrador (IR): 154,180
Ray Writz (C): 59,887
W. Scott Howard (L): 10,938
Others, mostly write-in: 1,476

Post-Recount:
Mike Crapo (R): 239,700
Michelle Stennett (D): 237,666
Raul Labrador (IR): 154,988
Ray Writz (C): 60,091
W. Scott Howard (L): 10,991
Others, mostly write-in: 1,488

A large number of ballots were found in boxes hidden in Julia Davis park after a 6 year old boy happened upon them in some bushes near the Friendship Bridge. Exactly how they got there and why was unknown. Eventually it was found one of the local officials was attempting to rig the race in favor of Crapo, although he had no connection to his campaign at all. The votes were all counted and it was found that in the end his efforts did not matter. The official was arrested, and there's still a lot of controversy around the election, as some believe that there were more ballots hidden, but a search found no evidence of them, at least within Boise.

Alaska
Pre-Recount:
Lisa Murkowski (R): 163,902
Dennis Egan (D): 163,770
William Toien (L): 5,917
Others, mostly write-in: 702

Post-Recount:
Lisa Murkowski (R): 163,933
Dennis Egan (D): 163,791
William Toien (L): 5,922
Others, mostly write-in: 656
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #134 on: July 20, 2019, 11:59:18 AM »

Ok so my cpu is being a piece of garbage and not letting me load the congressional maps I spent hours and hours making. Great...

As such I'm just going to move on. I will continue with the maps when I can, but as of now I am just going to move on. Just know that Democrats have something like 340-350 seats in the house.
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« Reply #135 on: October 04, 2019, 07:46:00 PM »

US Senate (as of Jan. 21, 2023) [some senators have been changed to make things a bit more realistic]
AL:
Doug Jones and Terri Sewell
AK:
Lisa Murkowski and Ethan Berkowitz
AR:
Mike Beebe and Mark Stodola
AZ:
Kyrsten Sinema and Ruben Gallego
CA:
Dianne Feinstein and Kamala Harris
CO:
Michael Bennet and John Hickenlooper
CT:
Richard Blumenthal and Chris Murphy
DE:
Tom Carper and Chris Coons
DC:
Mike Brown and Paul Strauss
FL:
Bill Nelson and Darren Soto
GA:
Lucy McBath and Jason Carter
HI:
Mazie Hirono and Brian Schatz
ID:
Mike Crapo and Jim Risch
IL:
Dick Durbin and Tammy Duckworth
IN:
Mike Braun and Tim Lanane
IA:
Cathy Glasson and J.D. Scholten
KS:
Roger Marshall and James Thompson
KY:
Amy McGrath and Rocky Adkins
LA:
Mitch Landrieu and John Bel Edwards
MA:
Ed Markey and Elizabeth Warren
MD:
Ben Cardin and Chris Van Hollen
ME:
Angus King and Sara Gideon
MI:
Debbie Stabenow and Gary Peters
MO:
Claire McCaskill and Jay Nixon
MS:
Roger Wicker and Cindy Hyde-Smith
MT:
Jon Tester and Steve Bullock
NC:
Anthony Foxx and Esther Manheimer
MN:
Tina Smith and Peggy Flanagan
ND:
Heidi Heitkamp and Faith Spotted Eagle
NE:
Deb Fischer and Kara Eastman
NH:
Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan
NJ:
Bob Menendez and Cory Booker
NM:
Tom Udall and Martin Heinrich
NV:
Catherine Cortez-Masto and Jacky Rosen
NY:
Kirsten Gillibrand and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
OH:
Sherrod Brown and Nina Turner
OK:
Jim Inhofe and James Lankford
OR:
Ron Wyden and Jeff Merkley
PA:
Bob Casey Jr. and Tom Wolf
PR:
Carmen Yulín Cruz and Rafael Riefkohl
RI:
Jack Reed and Sheldon Whitehouse
SC:
Jaime Harrison and Joe Cunningham
SD:
John Thune and Mike Rounds
TN:
Lamar Alexander and Phil Bredesen
TX:
Ted Cruz and Julian Castro
UT:
Mitt Romney and Jenny Wilson
VA:
Mark Warner and Tim Kaine
VT:
Patrick Leahy and Tim Ashe
WA:
Maria Cantwell and Pramila Jayapal
WI:
Tammy Baldwin and Russ Feingold
WV:
Joe Manchin and Richard Ojeda
WY:
Mike Enzi and John Barrasso

Map:


Key:
Red: 2 D Senators
Pink: 1 D Senator, 1 other caucusing D
Light Green: 1 R Senator, 1 other aucusing D
Green: 1 D Senator, 1 R Senator
Blue: 2 R Senators

(Puerto Rico not shown. Both Senators caucus with Ds)
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« Reply #136 on: December 28, 2019, 10:27:04 PM »

Finally got DRA to work again so I'm posting the rest of the maps.

NV: (no way I was coloring in the mess that's Reno)


01: Lean R, 73.7% WVAP
02: Safe D, 40.6% HVAP, 35.3% WVAP, 14.8% BVAP
03: Likely D, 53.7% WVAP
04: Lean R, 71.3% WVAP

ALL D HOLDS, 4D-0R

115 D
47 R

NH

01: Likely D, 93.9% WVAP
02: Lean D, 93.2% WVAP

ALL D HOLDS, 2D-0R

117 D
47 R

NJ

01: Lean D, 69.7% WVAP
02: Safe D, 69.8% WVAP
03: Safe D, 63.8% WVAP
04: Safe R, 86.4% WVAP
05: Lean D, 73.5% WVAP
06: Safe D, 47.5% WVAP, 20.5% HVAP, 17.0% AVAP, 13.2% BVAP
07: Safe D, 47.6% HVAP, 30.7% WVAP, 10.8% AVAP
08: Safe D, 42.3% WVAP, 32.5% HVAP, 11.9% AVAP, 11.8% BVAP
09: Safe D, 48.6% BVAP, 27.3% WVAP, 16.7% HVAP
10: Lean D, 77.0% WVAP
11: Lean D, 74.4% WVAP
12: Tossup, 78.6% WVAP


ALL HOLDS, 11D-1R

128 D
48 R


Image sources: own work. Made with DRA 2.5 http://gardow.com/davebradlee/redistricting/launchappOld.html
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« Reply #137 on: April 03, 2020, 06:02:00 PM »

Jan 3 2023: New Senators are sworn in.

Jan 5 2023: Supreme Court announces they will hear a challenge to the AGHCA.

Jan 7 2023: President Sanders announces that the Supreme Court will be expanded to 11, his rationale for the number is to have it equal to the # of District Courts. The Judicial Procedures Reform Bill of 2023 is introduced by Senators Jayapal and Ocasio-Cortez in the Senate. Sanders also leaves open a possibility of pushing for staggered election of Justices.

Jan 8 2023: New Senate Minority Leader Cindy Hyde-Smith announces Republicans will filibuster any Sanders nominee. With only 17 senators, they aren't seen as a threat

Jan 28 2023: Leaked list of potential Supreme Court picks includes Sri Srinivasan, Goodwin Liu, Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar. Hyde-Smith calls the JPRB a "blatant power grab"

Feb 1 2023: Date for oral arguments in Wyoming v. United States set to April 5.

Feb 3 2023: JPRB advanced by the Judiciary Committee narrowly. Moderate dissension makes supporters of the bill worried.

Feb 4 2023: Republican Sens and a roughly equal number of Democrats (mostly southern moderates) begin to filibuster the JPRB.

Feb 6 2023: Senate Maj. Leader Merkley presents Cloture on the JPRB.

Feb 7 2023: Cloture fails by one vote, 59-45.

Feb 10 2023: A second Cloture vote passes 60-44. Senator Sewell switched between the two votes. Final vote is called and the JPRB passes 60-44.

Feb 10 2023: Observers say that an 11 person court would be roughly split in the Wyoming V United States case, with 5 likely to be in favor of US and 5 in favor of Wyoming, with Breyer being the swing vote.

Feb 15 2023: Despite difficulties in the House Judiciary Committee, the JPRB passes it.

Feb 17 2023: Cloture invoked on the JPRB in the House and is passed without edits. President Sanders signs the bill and immediately announces his two nominees: Goodwin Liu and Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar, two young CA Supreme Court Justices.

Feb 20 2023: Gallup poll finds that 55% want the AGHCA to continue unabated.

Mar 6 2023: Nomination hearings for Liu begin.

Mar 9 2023: Nomination hearings for Cuellar begin.

Mar 10 2023: Nomination hearings or Liu end.

Mar 14 2023: Nomination hearings for Cuellar end.

Mar 25 2023: Final vote for Liu: 65-38, 1 Present.

Mar 27 2023: Final vote for Cuellar: 64-40.

Mar 28 2023: Liu and Cuellar sworn in just over a week before the beginning of oral arguments in Wyoming v. United States.

Presidential Approval Rating
Approve: 54%
Disapprove: 43%

Apr 5 2023: Arguments begin in the Wyoming v. United States case. Wyoming asserts that the requirement to provide a public insurance plan is unconstitutional.

Apr 10 2023: Education Secretary Chomsky announces his retirement. Sanders nominates Randi Weingarten, President of the AFT, to replace him.

Apr 18 2023: Weingarten is confirmed as Education Secretary by a vote of 83-21.
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« Reply #138 on: April 06, 2020, 07:49:27 PM »

remember, the ratings are for the 2022 races, not necessarily what they'd be in a neutral environment.

NM:


01: Safe D, 47.2% WVAP, 43% HVAP, 5% NVAP 3.4% BVAP
02: Safe D, 41.6% WVAP, 36.3% HVAP, 21.1% NVAP
03: Tossup, 47.6% HVAP, 47.4% WVAP, 2.9% NVAP


ALL D holds.

131 D
48 R

NY:


NYC inset:


01: Tossup, 80.1% WVAP
02: Lean D, 67.7% WVAP
03: Likely D, 61.3% WVAP
04: Lean D, 72.1% WVAP
05: Safe D, 42.6% AVAP, 28.2% WVAP, 20.6% BVAP
06: Safe D, 43.6% BVAP, 22% WVAP, 20.4% HVAP
07: Safe D, 66.7% BVAP
08: Likely D, 55.6% WVAP
09: Lean D, 63.8% WVAP
10: Safe D, 40.2% BVAP, 29.1% HVAP, 28.4% WVAP
11: Safe D, 41.4% HVAP, 33.4% WVAP, 15.8% AVAP
12: Safe D, 65.5% WVAP
13: Safe D, 36.8% HVAP, 34.5% WVAP, 27.5% BVAP
14: Safe D, 52.8% HVAP
15: Safe D, 45% HVAP, 38.7% BVAP

16: Safe D, 64.4% WVAP
17: Lean D, 71% WVAP
18: Lean D, 78.8% WVAP
19: Likely D, 83.8% WVAP
20: Tossup, 91.6% WVAP
21: Lean D, 90.7% WVAP
22: Likely D, 84.7% WVAP
23: Likely R, 93.7% WVAP
24: Safe D, 76.6% WVAP
25: Safe R, 91.6% WVAP
26: Safe D, 77.2% WVAP

Results:


NY-23: R GAIN

155 D
50 R

NC:


01: Tossup, 89.1% WVAP
02: Safe R, 81.5% WVAP
03: Safe D, 45.8% WVAP, 37.2% BVAP, 12.1% HVAP
04: Likely R, 77.7% WVAP
05: Safe R, 88.2% WVAP
06: Safe D, 59.3% WVAP
07: Safe R, 76.5% WVAP
08: Safe D, 47.2% WVAP, 42.9% BVAP, 6.7% HVAP
09: Lean D, 71% WVAP
10: Safe D, 64.6% WVAP
11: Tossup, 64.6% WVAP
12: Lean D, 49.1% WVAP, 32.5% BVAP, 10.4% NVAP, 7% HVAP, 2.1% AVAP
13: Lean R, 73.7% WVAP
14: Tossup, 67.7% WVAP

Results:

NC-01: D GAIN
NC-02: R GAIN
NC-04: R GAIN
NC-07: R GAIN
NC-09: D GAIN
NC-13: D GAIN (after recount)
NC-14: D GAIN
(all images are my own work made with https://davesredistricting.org/pages/index.html)

165 D
54 R
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« Reply #139 on: April 22, 2020, 07:30:23 PM »

Early 2023

President Sanders, with an increased mandate and high approvals, pushed for more progressive legislation. First was the Basic Income Trial Act, almost entirely crafted during a day-long meeting with NYC Mayor Andrew Yang. In all 50 states, 3 areas of 1000 people or less would receive $1000 a month for 5 years. The areas were selected for their diversity, both racially and in income (for example, in Nevada: an area of Hidden Springs (a Reno Suburb), a 10 block area between Fremont St and Interstate 515 in Las Vegas, and rural White Pine County (Precincts outside of McGill and Ely city limits)) President Sanders had warmed up to the idea more and more during and after the 2020 campaign, especially after meeting with Yang (who was runner up to Weisbrot to become Sec. of Commerce) during the cabinet formation process.

The administration narrowly missed a huge blow when the Supreme Court ruled 6-5 in favor of the US in Wyoming v. United States. Had Breyer sided with Wyoming, the AGHCA would be defanged in states with R governors, due to the fact that a public plan wouldn't be mandated for each state. Breyer also announced his retirement after the ruling, and was soon replaced with Sri Srinivasan.

Supreme Court of the United States
Chief Justice John Roberts (Conservative Swing) [Appointed by G.W. Bush]
Associate Justice Clarence Thomas (Conservative) [Appointed by G.H.W. Bush]
Associate Justice Samuel Alito (Conservative) [Appointed by G.W. Bush]
Associate Justice Sonia Sotomayor (Liberal) [Appointed by Obama]
Associate Justice Elena Kagan (Liberal) [Appointed by Obama]
Associate Justice Neil Gorsuch (Conservative) [Appointed by Trump]
Associate Justice Amy Coney Barrett (Conservative) [Appointed by Trump]
Associate Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson (Liberal) [Appointed by Sanders]
Associate Justice Goodwin Liu (Liberal) [Appointed by Sanders]
Associate Justice Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar (Liberal) [Appointed by Sanders]
Associate Justice Sri Srinivasan (Liberal) [Appointed by Sanders]

While this happened, Rep. Elizabeth Webster (D-SC03) introduced the "Fair Elections Amendment". This modified version of the Bayh-Celler amendment would have the election determined by the popular vote, where if no candidate received 50%+1 of the votes or higher, a second round between the top 2 candidates would occur on the first Tuesday of December. The proposal was met with widespread support, with many conservative southern Democrats rumbling about a potential new party should the amendment be ratified. Republican attempts to filibuster failed as the prominent moderate Dems announced their support for the amendment, as well as Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. The Amendment passed, and went to the states for ratification in mid-May.



Ratification of the Fair Elections Amendment
Ratified in May (Inc. PR)
Ratified in June Pre-Enactment
Kentucky, the state pushing the Amendment over the 3/4 needed.
Ratified in June Post-Enactment
Ratified after June

In early July, Sanders was getting ready to announce a run for re-election in the coming weeks when he suffered a heart attack. Amy Klobuchar became acting President for a little under a day while Sanders underwent emergency surgery. He recovered well, but the heart attack was enough to not only scare the public on the prospects of his health, but also himself. After talking with his wife, members of the Cabinet, and VP Klobuchar, he made his decision. On July 18th, Sanders announced he would not seek re-election, leaving the field wide open for who would carry on his legacy.

Democratic Primary Field
Fmr. Rep. Dan Lipinski (Announced Jan 29 2023 Dropped out Jul 20 2023)
Pres. Bernie Sanders (Declined Jul. 18 2023)


Republican Primary Field
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (Announced Feb 5 2023)
Sen. Mike Crapo (Announced Mar 1 2023)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (Announced Mar 3 2023)
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« Reply #140 on: April 22, 2020, 09:08:29 PM »

In-Depth Elections
South Carolina's 3rd District



South Carolina's Congressional Districts, starting in 2022.
Own work.

On paper, the election in South Carolina's 3rd congressional district should not have been competitive. It was the only district in the state to give Trump over 60% of the vote (albeit narrowly) in 2020, and was composed of mainly rural areas that were continuing to redden.

And it wasn't really competitive early on. The Democratic Primary was only contested by a former County Council candidate, a former mayor, and a current mayor.



However, everything changed when the coverup was found. Many within the district cared less about the immigrants than the coverup, and when it became clear that Duncan was one of the ringleaders of the coverup, the race became more competitive. However, many still didn't think it would flip. Duncan's campaign, considered safe before and allocated little funds from the RCCC, was unable to really campaign in the last week. Meanwhile, Webster saw an influx of donations after her response to a question on healthcare during the only debate became viral. A massive GOTV operation was organized by her campaign, mainly targeting the urban white and majority-minority areas of the district.

On October 30th, the ultimate blow to the Duncan campaign came when popular Clemson College Football coach Dabo Swinney announced a write in campaign. Swinney, a conservative with higher name recognition than Duncan and Webster combined, was likely to pull many voters away from Duncan that were squeamish as Webster's progressive policies became more known.

On election day, Duncan declared victory before the returns even began, stating that "The Upstate will reject socialism for as long as America exists". As the results poured in, however, aides could see the confidence drain from him.




Own work made with Wikipedia sandbox. Jeff Duncan, Official Portrait, 112th Congress
US House of Representatives / Public domain
Coach Dabo Swinney
LambeauLeap80 / CC BY-SA (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0)
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« Reply #141 on: April 24, 2020, 08:37:41 PM »

The New System and the end of 2023

With the passage of the Fair Elections Act, the southern moderates took their chance. Calling themselves the Moderate Bloc, or simply the Moderates, they formed a group about half the size of the Republicans in the Senate.  However, with little time before the next election to set up party infrastructure, it seemed unlikely that another party would form, unless Trump's movement split away.


Moderate Senate Map, dark green is both senators

Potential Moderate defectors in the future:
Doug Jones (D-AL)
Joe Cunningham (D-SC)
Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ)
Dianne Feinstein (D-CA)

There were, of course, multiple small parties forming, such as disgraced Fmr. Navy SEAL Eddie Gallagher's "American Liberation Front".

President Sanders, now solely focused on leaving behind a strongly progressive agenda, would encourage the Progressives in the house and senate to draft legislation, including Senator Ocasio-Cortez's Fair Taxation Reform Act, essentially rewriting the current brackets.

For example, for single filers:

0%- 0$-10,000$
10%- 10,001$-40,000$
20%- 40,001$-80,000$
30%- 80,001$-150,000$
40%- 150,001$-500,000$
50%- 500,001$-1,000,000$
60%- 1,000,001$-10,000,000%
70%- 10,000,001$+

This would be a rate cut for those making under 80,000$, approximately 2% for those making anywhere from 10,000-80,000 and a 10% cut for those making under 10k. Meanwhile the rate was increased harshly on those making over 80k. 6% for 80k-150k, 8 to 16% for 150k to 200k, 5% for 200k to 500k, and anywhere from 13% to 33% for those making above 500k.

Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez marketed the bill as a "tax cut for normal people, a tax hike on the wealthy". Republicans were extremely opposed to the bill. The Moderates were also opposed, but a handful in the house were supportive. A handful of Democratic reps defected to the Moderates, as well as Feinstein in the Senate. The bill was also reasonably popular, garnering 58% support in a FOX News poll.


As far as 2024 went, Senator Ocasio-Cortez announced her candidacy as the face of the left-wing of the party. VP Klobuchar also announced in late July, trying to tie herself to Sanders while remaining a moderate within the party, a mainstream liberal. NYC Mayor Andrew Yang also announced his run, looking to push UBI forward further. HUD Secretary Pete Buttigieg announced a second Presidential Run, looking to be the standard bearer for moderates in the party. Other potential candidates include UN Ambassador Tulsi Gabbard, Texas Governor Beto O'Rourke, and Senator Kyrsten Sinema.

For the Republicans, the party was split between the mainsteam wing with Fmr. Ambassador Nikki Haley, moderates with Fmr. Governor Charlie Baker, Christian Conservatives with Fmr. VP Mike Pence, hardcore Trumpists with Trump Jr., and "Anti-Socialist Conservatives" with Senator Crapo, who had gained major traction after his win and firey speeches on the Senate floor.

Meanwhile, the Moderates only had one candidate, Former Rep. Dan Lipinski, who had originally declared as a "Common sense challenger to President Sanders' socialist ideals". However, Fmr. Mayor Michael Bloomberg and Fmr. CEO Howard Schultz seemed to be milling runs. However, Schultz was not exactly welcomed in the party, for most of the members were fiscally moderate-to-liberal and socially conservative while he was the opposite.

Oct 2 2023: Do you approve of President Sanders?
Yes: 55%
No: 42%
Unsure: 3%

Oct 3 2023: Who do you support in the Democratic Primary?
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 20%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar: 18%
Sec. Pete Buttigieg: 10%
Mayor Andrew Yang: 9%
Gov. Beto O'Rourke: 5%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 3%

Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1%
Undecided: 34%

Oct 3 2023: Who do you support in the Republican Primary?
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley: 20%
Fmr. VP Mike Pence: 19%
Mr. Donald Trump Jr.: 17%
Sen. Mike Crapo: 8%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker: 6%
Undecided: 30%

Oct 3 2023: Who do you support in the Moderate Primary?
Fmr. Rep. Dan Lipinski: 32%
Fmr. Mayor Michael Bloomberg: 30%
Fmr. CEO Howard Schultz: 8%
Undecided: 30%
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« Reply #142 on: April 24, 2020, 09:05:28 PM »

I'm going with Ocasio, especially since she's our best shot at beating Klobuchar.
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« Reply #143 on: April 28, 2020, 03:38:47 PM »

The End of 2023

President Sanders continued his "Progressive Crusade", as some detractors and supporters called it, with a national ban on right-to-work legislation. The Labor Re-Empowerment Act, was championed by Senator Ojeda and a handful of Representatives, most notably Lee Carter (D-VA09). It also repealed the Taft-Hartley Act. The law was immediately challenged by Mississippi, stating the law was in violation of the 10th amendment. The law would be upheld 6-5 by the Supreme Court.

Most of the rest of the year was spent either constructing smaller bills (such as a bill seeking to construct low-cost housing to ease the homelessness issue that had continued), or for many of the Presidential hopefuls, on the Campaign trail.

THE DEMOCRATIC HOPEFULS
Senator Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY)
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY)
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)
UN Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA)
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ)

THE REPUBLICAN HOPEFULS
Fmr. UN Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY)
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID)
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX)

THE MODERATE HOPEFULS
Fmr. Rep. Dan Lipinski (M-IL)
Fmr. CEO Howard Schultz (M-WA)
Rep. Ben McAdams (M-UT)

Dec. 20 2023: Do you approve of President Sanders?
Yes: 57%
No: 39%
Unsure: 4%

Dec 18 2023: Who do you support in the Democratic Primary?
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 23% (+3)
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar: 20% (+2)
Mayor Andrew Yang: 9% (+/- 0)
Sec. Pete Buttigieg: 8% (-2)
Gov. Gavin Newsom: 6% (+6)
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 4% (+1)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1% (+/- 0)
Undecided: 29%

Dec. 17 2023: Who do you support in the Republican Primary?
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley: 18% (-2)
Fmr. VP Mike Pence: 18% (-1)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr.: 18% (+1)
Sen. Mike Crapo: 13% (+5)
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker: 5% (-1)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw: 2% (+2)
Undecided: 26%

Dec. 16 2023: Who do you support in the Moderate Primary?
Rep. Ben McAdams: 30% (+30)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Lipinski: 27% (-5)
Fmr. CEO Howard Schultz: 14% (+6)
Undecided: 29%
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« Reply #144 on: May 02, 2020, 07:37:49 PM »

I like writing about the elections more anyway, but I also can't think of much to say for further legislation. With such a large majority though, I see Bernie getting anything else through that he wants.

THE PRIMARIES

With each candidate trying to carve their niche, the race was looking interesting coming into 2024. President Sanders elected to stay out of the primary, saying he would "support whoever the people choose". The last Democratic President, Barack Obama, was undecided, but was reportedly leaning towards Klobuchar to try and stop AOC. Bill and Hillary Clinton had both rallied behind Buttigieg, trying to promote a more moderate image of the party. This was a big blow to Sinema, who was the most moderate candidate in the race and looked to gain their support.

Governor Newsom was the only candidate not digging out a concrete base of support, or a position at all. His record was spotty, and as the campaign went on he began to fall further. In mid-January, he became the first major candidate to drop out.

Although Ocasio-Cortez had been known as a firebrand, her rhetoric had softened over the years, looking to be on the left edge of what was considered reasonable. It was a good strategy, especially with President Sanders being popular policy-wise. Her debate performances were considered good, especially when she was the target of almost all attacks.


Notable Democratic Primary Endorsements
Ocasio-Cortez
Speaker Ro Khanna (D-CA)
Sen. Carmen Yulín Cruz (PDP-PR)
Sen. Rafael Riefkohl (WP-PR)
Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ)
Sen. James Thompson (D-KS)
Sen. Nina Turner (D-OH)
Sen. Russ Feingold (D-WI)
Sen. Tim Ashe (P-VT)
Gov. David Zuckerman (P-VT)
Gov. Jumaane Williams (D-NY)
Fmr. Sec. of Education Noam Chomsky (I-AZ)
Sec. of Transportation Chokwe Antar Lumumba (D-MS)
Sec. of Homeland Security Raul Grijalva (D-AZ)


Klobuchar
Sen. Tina Smith (D-MN)
Sen. Peggy Flanagan (D-MN)
Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN)
Sen. J.D. Scholten (D-IA)
OMB Director Brian Schweitzer (D-MT)
Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT)
Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)
Gov. Steve Sisolak (D-NV)


Yang
2024 Senate Candidate Elon Musk (D-CA)
Gov. Steve Marchand (D-NH)


Buttigieg
Fmr. Pres. Bill Clinton (D-NY)
Fmr. Sec. of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)
Amb. Chelsea Clinton (D-NY)
Gov. Karen Freeman-Wilson (D-IN)
Sen. Tim Lanane (D-IN)


Newsom
Fmr. Mayor Eric Garcetti (D-CA)


Sinema
Sen. Joe Cunningham (D-SC)
Sen. Doug Jones (D-AL)
Gov. James Smith (D-SC)
Fmr. Mayor Mike Bloomberg (M-NY)


Gabbard
Fmr. Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)
Cenk Uygur (D-CA)



Notable Republican Primary Endorsements
Haley
Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT)
Sen. John Thune (R-SD)
Gov. Doug Burgum (R-ND)


Pence
Sen. Mike Braun (R-IN)
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)
Gov. Bill Lee (R-TN)
Gov. Kay Ivey (R-AL)
Gov. Mark Gordon (R-WY)


Trump Jr.
Fmr. Pres. Donald Trump (R-NY)
Fmr. Gov. Casey Cagle (R-GA)


Crapo
Fmr. Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT)
Fmr. Sen. John Hoeven (R-ND)
Fmr. Rep. Jeff Duncan (R-SC)
Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK)


Baker
Fmr. Gov. Phil Scott (R-VT)
Fmr. Gov. Larry Hogan (R-MD)
Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)


Crenshaw
None as of yet
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« Reply #145 on: May 03, 2020, 02:52:29 PM »



Florida!

01: Safe R, 76.7% WVAP
02: Safe R, 78.6% WVAP
03: Safe D, 48.6% WVAP, 42.6% BVAP, 5.9% HVAP, 2.8% AVAP
04: Safe R, 77.3% WVAP
05: Likely R, 80.9% WVAP
06: Tossup, 73.0% WVAP
07: Lean D, 72.6% WVAP
08: Safe D, 47.6% WVAP, 37.4% HVAP, 11.4% BVAP
09: Safe D, 45.3% WVAP, 26.5% BVAP, 23.2% HVAP

10: Likely R, 74.1% WVAP
11: Likely R, 86.8% WVAP
12: Tossup, 75.6% WVAP
13: Likely D, 77.7% WVAP
14: Safe D, 48.6% WVAP, 26.8% HVAP, 22.2% BVAP, 3.6% AVAP
15: Lean R, 73.7% WVAP
16: Lean R, 85.1% WVAP
17: Tossup, 68.6% WVAP
18: Likely R, 75.7% WVAP
19: Likely R, 68.4% WVAP
20: Likely R, 80.4% WVAP
21: Lean D, 77.1% WVAP
22: Safe D, 49.4% WVAP, 24.7% BVAP, 23.6% HVAP, 2.8% AVAP, 1% NVAP
23: Likely D, 75% WVAP
24: Safe D, 40.9% BVAP, 37.3% WVAP, 19.1% HVAP
25: Safe D, 45.3% HVAP, 38.2% WVAP, 13.8% BVAP
26: Safe D, 56.7% BVAP
27: Safe D, 74.3% HVAP
28: Lean D, 71.1% HVAP
29: Likely D, 67.5% HVAP
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« Reply #146 on: May 03, 2020, 02:54:33 PM »

(btw we're just gonna pretend that pence wasn't charged with anything in that scandal even though I said he was, I kinda forgot about it until now)
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« Reply #147 on: May 05, 2020, 08:58:14 PM »

COUNTDOWN TO IOWA

By the beginning of the New Year, it became more obvious that the race in Iowa was more down to just Ocasio-Cortez and Klobuchar. Buttigieg remains in a strong 3rd in Iowa, but enthusiasm for him dampened after Fmr. President Obama endorsed Klobuchar. Sinema has placed her hopes in the South, looking to make a surge that Fmr. VP Joe Biden never materialized back in 2020.

Newsom has focused hard on bordering Nevada, looking to make inroads with hispanic voters. It's been unsuccessful so far.

What has been successful, however, is Yang's focus on New Hampshire. Campaigning with the relatively popular governor Marchand meant that he was giving both the frontrunners a run for their money in the crucial state.

Klobuchar suffered a bit of a scandal when a video of her throwing objects at a staffer was leaked online. Her response in the next debate was not particularly helpful either, but polls saw little movement, although that could make all the difference in this tight race.

Jan. 30 2024 National Polling: Democratic Primary
Sen. Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 26% (+3)
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 24% (+4)
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 11% (+2)
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 10% (+2)
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 5% (+1)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 3% (-3)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1% (+/- 0)
Undecided: 21%


Jan. 30 2024 Iowa Polling: Democratic Primary
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 30%
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 28%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 16%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 7%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 3%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0%
Undecided: 15%

Jan. 30 2024 New Hampshire Polling: Democratic Primary
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 22%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 21%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 19%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 11%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 3%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 2%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2%
Undecided: 20%

Jan 30. 2024 Nevada Polling: Democratic Primary
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 29%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 19%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 10%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 8%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 6%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 6%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0%
Undecided: 22%

Jan 30. 2024 South Carolina Polling: Democratic Primary
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 20%
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 17%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 16%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 14%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 6%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1%
Undecided: 25%


Meanwhile, on the Republican side, Crapo continued to gain steam, giving firey speeches at rallies all across the country, in one stating that the scandal he was involved in was a "political hitjob by communists, chief among them our illegitimate President." He racked up endorsements from figures such as returning Rep. Steve King (R-IA) who won his old House seat back thanks both to Scholten's move to the Senate and the slightly more Republican district.

Pence, although supported heavily by the Christian Right, was behind in the crucial early state of South Carolina, thanks to Haley's popularity.

Crenshaw, seeing the writing on the wall, and personally hoping to stop Crapo and the far-right, dropped out and endorsed Haley on the 20th of January, announcing that he'd run for the 4th congressional district, based in the Eastern Houston suburbs.

Trump Jr. was not the moving man his father was. His rallies were poorly attended and his speeches were bland. He was hemorrhaging support to Crapo hard, and he soon fell to 4th.

Baker had placed his hopes in New Hampshire, but even there he's in a distant 4rd place. It seems as if moderates are truly dead in the Republican party.

Jan. 30 2024 National Polling: Republican Primary
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 21% (+3)
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 20% (+7)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 19% (+1)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 10% (-8)
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 6% (+1)
Undecided: 24%

Jan. 30 2024 Iowa Polling: Republican Primary
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 24%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 24%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 19%
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 10%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 5%
Undecided: 18%

Jan. 30 2024 New Hampshire Polling: Republican Primary
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 24%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 18%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 18%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 13%
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 7%
Undecided: 21%

Jan. 30 2024 Nevada Polling: Republican Primary
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 28%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 19%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 17%
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 9%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 7%
Undecided: 20%

Jan. 30 2024 South Carolina Polling: Republican Primary
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 30%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 19%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 19%
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 11%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 3%
Undecided: 21%
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« Reply #148 on: May 06, 2020, 01:10:49 PM »

so any thoughts?
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« Reply #149 on: May 06, 2020, 10:41:34 PM »

ELECTION NIGHT: IOWA



Good Evening. Iowa's crucial Presidential Primaries are being held today, and polls close within the next ten minutes. Iowa Democrats scrapped the caucus after massive confusion in 2020, where now-president Sanders won a narrow victory, but results were unofficial for 2 weeks. Hopefully we don't have a situation like that tonight. Remember that there's 40 delegates at stake for Republicans, and 41 for Democrats.

While we wait for the first results to come in, let's take a look at the previous poll averages:

Feb. 4 2024 Iowa Polling: Democratic Primary
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 32% (+2)
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 31% (+3)
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 14% (-2)
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 8% (+1)
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 5% (+2)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1% (+/- 0)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1% (+1)
Undecided: 8%

Feb. 4 2024 Iowa Polling: Republican Primary
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 30% (+6)
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 27% (+3)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 20% (+1)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 7% (-3)
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 5% (+/- 0)
Undecided: 11%



10 PM EST

Right now we're at about 20% in, and it's looking close on both sides. Remember that for delegate counts, it's proportional for both sides.

Democratic Primary: 20% in
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 34.4%
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 33.8%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 13.8%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 8.5%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 6.9%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1.5%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.1%

Republican Primary: 21% in
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 32.8%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 32.5%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 21.2%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA):6.8%
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 6.6%


11 PM EST

We're a little more than halfway done counting at this point, and it's looking like the biggest loser tonight is Trump Jr. He had a promising lead that slowly faded as Crapo began to take more of his support. He hasn't said if he's dropping out tonight, but it seems like that might happen.

Democratic Primary: 52% in
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 34.5%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 34.0%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 14.7%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 8.8%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 5.7%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1.4%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0.9%

Republican Primary: 52% in
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 35.3%
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 31.1%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 19.9%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 7.2%
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 6.5%

12:08 AM EST
We're getting close to fully counted, and we can make a call in the Republican Primary: Mike Crapo has won the Iowa primaries. From an almost-defeated senator to a frontrunner in only a year and a half. We're also getting word that Donald Trump Jr. has dropped out, announcing his support for Crapo.

Democratic Primary: 94% in
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 34.7%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 33.7%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 14.4%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 8.1%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 6.3%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1.7%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.1%

Republican Primary: 95% in
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 35.1% ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 30.8%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 20.5%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 6.9%
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 6.7%


2:34 AM EST
We're now going to call the Iowa primary for Senator Ocasio-Cortez, narrowly taking the state. Only a few precincts are left now.

Democratic Primary: 99% in
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 34.3% ✔
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 34.1%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 14.1%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 8.3%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 6.4%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1.6%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.2%

Republican Primary: 99% in
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 35.4% ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 30.6%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 20.3%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 7.0%
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 6.7%


Democratic Primary: 100% in
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 34.4%, 14 Delegates ✔
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 34.0%, 14 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 14.2%, 6 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 8.3%, 3 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 6.4%, 3 Delegates
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1.6%, 1 Delegate
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.1%, 0 Delegates

Republican Primary: 100% in
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 35.4%, 14 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 30.7%, 12 Delegates
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 20.2%, 8 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 7.1%, 3 Delegates
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 6.6%, 3 Delegates



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