SC-GOV: Who wins GOP primary runoff?

[I’m not Stu]

Who wins GOP primary runoff?

[Maxwell]

McMaster, probably by mid-to-high single digits.

I would not ignore this race - Smith seems like a strong candidate, Dem turnout was up 45,000 votes from 2010, when Democrats actually did pretty friggin good in the SC Gubernatorial race, while the GOP primary turnout is 55-60k down despite it clearly being competitive.

I wouldn't quite call it Lean R but it seems a bit more likely to flip than Likely R.

[Adam Griffin]

McMaster, probably by mid-to-high single digits.

I would not ignore this race - Smith seems like a strong candidate, Dem turnout was up 45,000 votes from 2010, when Democrats actually did pretty friggin good in the SC Gubernatorial race, while the GOP primary turnout is 55-60k down despite it clearly being competitive.

I wouldn't quite call it Lean R but it seems a bit more likely to flip than Likely R.

Looking back, it's actually (still) amazing to think that Sheheen might have won in 2010 had it been merely a neutral year.

[I’m not Stu]

What is John Warren like compared to McMaster?

[Consciously Unconscious]

People will pull through for McMaster, most likely.

[IceSpear]

McMaster, probably by mid-to-high single digits.

I would not ignore this race - Smith seems like a strong candidate, Dem turnout was up 45,000 votes from 2010, when Democrats actually did pretty friggin good in the SC Gubernatorial race, while the GOP primary turnout is 55-60k down despite it clearly being competitive.

I wouldn't quite call it Lean R but it seems a bit more likely to flip than Likely R.

Looking back, it's actually (still) amazing to think that Sheheen might have won in 2010 had it been merely a neutral year.

You can thank Nimrata Randhawa for that.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Being honest, I think Warren has a damn good chance. Most of Templeton's voters are likely to flock to him, considering he's "Templeton-lite". McMaster is a boring and uncharismatic guy. However, despite all that, I say McMaster has about 60/40 odds of winning.


Also, as others have said, do not underestimate this race. If 2010 wasn't an R year, Shaheen easily could have won. Democrats turned out higher now than then, and this is very likely a D year. McMaster may be the easier one to beat, saying he is a bland ass candidate, and that some Templeton and Warren voters may not even bother showing up to vote if they feel compelled (Granted, that's like, maybe 5% of those voters, R voters will probably show up, but it's a decent amount of people).

[IceSpear]

Also, as others have said, do not underestimate this race. If 2010 wasn't an R year, Shaheen easily could have won.

Again...Nimrata Randhawa...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McMaster