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Author Topic: OH-Quinnipiac: Cordray +2  (Read 1567 times)
heatcharger
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« on: June 13, 2018, 01:01:49 pm »

Link.

Cordray 42%
DeWine 40%

Starting to look like a landslide folks. Nice!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2018, 01:06:16 pm »

Brown is the best thing to happen to Cordray.
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« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2018, 01:09:03 pm »

Not the best result for Cordray, since he's underperforming Brown by 15, but Brown might just win by enough to drag him over the top. Still a Toss-Up.
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« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2018, 01:09:26 pm »

Great to see that Cordray's leading, slim the margin may be, but this is definitely the best part of the survey:

Quote
Ohio Gov. John Kasich gets a 52 - 36 percent job approval rating, doing better with Democrats than he does with his fellow Republicans, Democrats approve of Kasich 57 - 33 percent. Republicans are divided as 46 percent approve and 44 percent disapprove.

The reverse party split continues as Ohio voters say 51 - 41 percent they do not want Kasich to run for president in 2020. Democrats say yes 52 - 39 percent as Republicans say no 73 - 21 percent.

Seems that many Ohio Democrats have short memories.
« Last Edit: June 13, 2018, 01:14:08 pm by Jeff Jackson 2024 »Logged

Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2018, 01:10:35 pm »

I donít think Brown will win by 17, but I also have a hard time believing that Cordray will underperform him by 15. Tossup seems fair.
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« Reply #5 on: June 13, 2018, 01:13:21 pm »

I donít think Brown will win by 17, but I also have a hard time believing that Cordray will underperform him by 15. Tossup seems fair.
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« Reply #6 on: June 13, 2018, 01:13:33 pm »

This basically confirms it's a tossup. Nice to see Brown's blowout on the top of the ticket could help Cordray too.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: June 13, 2018, 01:17:57 pm »

Mr. Ohio agrees:

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« Reply #8 on: June 13, 2018, 01:25:53 pm »

President Brown depends on Cordray winning here.
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« Reply #9 on: June 13, 2018, 01:30:47 pm »

Mr. Ohio agrees:



I wonder if he'll finally move WI-GOV to Toss-Up as well, especially since Democrats won another special election in a district Trump won massively.
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« Reply #10 on: June 13, 2018, 01:33:28 pm »

Mr. Ohio agrees:



I wonder if he'll finally move WI-GOV to Toss-Up as well, especially since Democrats won another special election in a district Trump won massively.

I think I read he wants to see who the Democratic nominee is first.
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« Reply #11 on: June 13, 2018, 01:34:52 pm »

This is definitely going the way of the Democrats ... just look at his favourable ratings.

The only reasons why it is still close at this point:

Only 50% have an opinion of Cordray, but he`s 2:1 ahead in favourables.

There's no R-fatigue in OH, because outgoing governor Kasich has also high approvals.
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« Reply #12 on: June 13, 2018, 01:36:23 pm »

Solid R --> Lean R due to Brown coattails paired with GOP regaining strength in the Cincy and Columbus suburbs due to the tax bill for the wealthy. We need to remember the lessons of Bayh, Evan.
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« Reply #13 on: June 13, 2018, 01:36:58 pm »

Iím pretty sure OH will flip before IA in 2020 if this trend continues, though.
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« Reply #14 on: June 13, 2018, 02:12:58 pm »

Ohio is one of the states that trends against the ruling party in midterm elections.
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« Reply #15 on: June 13, 2018, 02:14:47 pm »

GOP regaining strength in the Cincy and Columbus suburbs due to the tax bill for the wealthy. We need to remember the lessons of Bayh, Evan.

Source?
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« Reply #16 on: June 13, 2018, 02:15:39 pm »

Lean Republican -> Toss-up.

I'm changing my rating. I think the odds are nearly 50/50 now and Cordray has a good chance to pull this off, especially if the polls haven't moved in DeWine's favor by late October.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #17 on: June 13, 2018, 02:36:20 pm »

I still would bet on Republicans winning this race in the end, but Atlas and the punditry have long been overly skeptical of Cordray's chances. Nobody cares about flawless beautiful DeWine or the laundry list of petty reasons why Cordray is hated by the pundits and posters here. If Brown is winning a mega landslide (also skeptical of that), then Cordray definitely has a strong chance of winning as well.
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« Reply #18 on: June 13, 2018, 02:38:21 pm »

Solid R --> Lean R due to Brown coattails paired with GOP regaining strength in the Cincy and Columbus suburbs due to the tax bill for the wealthy. We need to remember the lessons of Bayh, Evan.

Indiana is not Ohio.
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« Reply #19 on: June 13, 2018, 02:49:51 pm »

Fantastic for Democrats, Cordray is a really strong candidate. This race is a Tossup.
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #20 on: June 13, 2018, 03:10:05 pm »

Strong Lean R. DeWine would be a much better Governor, but I'd still vote for Cordray.
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« Reply #21 on: June 13, 2018, 05:45:43 pm »

President Brown depends on Cordray winning here.

Cordray needs Brown to be Govorner, Brown needs Cordray to be president.
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« Reply #22 on: June 13, 2018, 05:47:50 pm »

Mr. Ohio agrees:



I wonder if he'll finally move WI-GOV to Toss-Up as well, especially since Democrats won another special election in a district Trump won massively.

Does anybody here actually think that Walker wins before DeWine?
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olowakandi
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« Reply #23 on: June 13, 2018, 05:56:02 pm »

Mr. Ohio agrees:



I wonder if he'll finally move WI-GOV to Toss-Up as well, especially since Democrats won another special election in a district Trump won massively.

Does anybody here actually think that Walker wins before DeWine?

No, and last night, Dems sealed another win in the State Senate.
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The Inevitable Kevin Stitt
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« Reply #24 on: June 13, 2018, 08:54:14 pm »

President Brown depends on Cordray winning here.

Partly why Ohio is arguably the most important gubernatorial race
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