Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 14, 2019, 04:41:41 pm
News: 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  PA (Franklin & Marshall): Casey +17
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: PA (Franklin & Marshall): Casey +17  (Read 1468 times)
Gass3268
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,377
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 13, 2018, 10:51:54 pm »

Casey 44%
Barletta 27%

Source
Logged
superbudgie1582
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,683


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2018, 10:53:57 pm »

Thats a very large percentage of "dont know".
Logged
darthpi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.91

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2018, 11:00:10 pm »

Thats a very large percentage of "dont know".

Franklin & Marshall *always* have a very high percentage of "don't know" until right before the election.

For example, their 2016 PA Senate polling: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?type=src&source_id=70

And their 2010 PA Senate polling: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2010/polls.php?type=src&source_id=70
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,771
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2018, 11:01:48 pm »

#CaseyUnder45, but yeah, no way are that many voters undecided.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2018, 11:02:56 pm »

F&M used to be a good pollster, I'm not sure what happened.

Anyway, remember when the real battlegrounds would be in the Obama/Trump states, as they would decide whether or not the GOP got a filibuster proof majority? lol
Logged
KingSweden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,256
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 13, 2018, 11:05:50 pm »

Trash, garbage, etc.

Tooooooooooo many undecideds
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 13, 2018, 11:21:35 pm »

Anyway, remember when the real battlegrounds would be in the Obama/Trump states, as they would decide whether or not the GOP got a filibuster proof majority? lol

I remember when some Very Serious PeopleTM thought Debbie Stabenow was going to lose to Kid Rock and OH-Sen was Lean R.

LOL, I almost forgot about the inevitable Sen. Rock.
Logged
Lean Branson
Doctor Imperialism
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,036


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2018, 12:53:45 am »

F&M used to be a good pollster, I'm not sure what happened.

Anyway, remember when the real battlegrounds would be in the Obama/Trump states, as they would decide whether or not the GOP got a filibuster proof majority? lol

I mean, they would've been if Clinton had won. The people still beating that drum after Trump's election were/are delusional morons.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,592
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 14, 2018, 01:14:48 am »

TOSS-UP!
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,771
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 14, 2018, 01:29:30 am »

Anyway, remember when the real battlegrounds would be in the Obama/Trump states, as they would decide whether or not the GOP got a filibuster proof majority? lol

I remember when some Very Serious PeopleTM thought Debbie Stabenow was going to lose to Kid Rock and OH-Sen was Lean R.

LOL, I almost forgot about the inevitable Sen. Rock.

Yeah, I remember when people were predicting a filibuster-proof majority with Sen. Mandel, Sen. Rock, Sen. Duffy, and Sen. LePage.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,246
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 14, 2018, 01:33:35 am »

Safe D, nothing to see here.
Logged
fridgeking
Rookie
*
Posts: 31


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 14, 2018, 06:40:07 am »

Logged
Landslide Warren
Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,804
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 14, 2018, 06:49:40 am »

Prepare your butts libtards for Senators Mandel, Duffy, Rock, Comstock, and LePage!
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,695
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 14, 2018, 08:32:17 am »

Casey and Brown are golden to Democrats chances, just like Toomey and Portman were assets to the GOP.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,002
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 14, 2018, 08:52:17 pm »

Anyway, remember when the real battlegrounds would be in the Obama/Trump states, as they would decide whether or not the GOP got a filibuster proof majority? lol

Not really, no. MT has been considered Lean/Likely D ever since Zinke (lol) and Fox declined to run, and I donít recall anyone predicting that Manchin couldnít possibly win reelection. Itís true that most people underestimated Brown, Donnelly, and McCaskill, but letís not act as if Republicans or pundits were confidently predicting a GOP filibuster proof majority at any point. My initial Senate ratings were too R-friendly, but even I never bought Heitkamp being DOA because of polarization or Native Americans or whatever ridiculous argument people will come up with to "prove" that sheís vulnerable even in a massive D wave year.

Yeah, I remember when people were predicting a filibuster-proof majority with Sen. Mandel, Sen. Rock, Sen. Duffy, and Sen. LePage.

I donít. Rating those states Tossups or saying that they could become competitive under the right circumstances ≠ predicting that they will flip. I might be wrong, but I donít recall many people rating ME, MI, and WI Tossups, even in 2016 and 2017. With the benefit of hindsight, itís always easy to mock Republicans for making overconfident predictions, but even many Democrats on this site underestimated how pronounced the enthusiasm gap and how Democratic-leaning this election cycle in general would be (in part because most of us gave way too much weight to factors like the state of the economy and foreign policy issues). If you think itís only Republicans who are being "delusional" or "overconfident", you donít seem to remember 2014 and 2016 very well. Itís probably more accurate to say that many people have some sort of recency bias, underestimating how rapidly the political environment can change in a year or less. When Republicans lose badly this fall, Iím sure many Democrats and pundits will predict a D wave year in 2020 or 2022 (even under a Democratic president) and declare the GOP dead. These things happen after every election.

I remember when some Very Serious PeopleTM thought Debbie Stabenow was going to lose to Kid Rock and OH-Sen was Lean R.

One or two posters ≠ "people".
Logged
Bagel23
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,872
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 14, 2018, 11:33:35 pm »

Casey and Brown are golden to Democrats chances, just like Toomey and Portman were assets to the GOP.

Anyone Brown/Casey p/vp 2020?
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,695
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 15, 2018, 08:33:49 am »

Casey and Brown are golden to Democrats chances, just like Toomey and Portman were assets to the GOP.

Anyone Brown/Casey p/vp 2020?
Kamala Harris , Tim Ryan-4-Prez, Brown says he doesn't want to run for natl office
Logged
Speaker YE
YE
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,811


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 15, 2018, 08:42:53 am »

Casey and Brown are golden to Democrats chances, just like Toomey and Portman were assets to the GOP.

Anyone Brown/Casey p/vp 2020?
Kamala Harris , Tim Ryan-4-Prez, Brown says he doesn't want to run for natl office

Like that means so much this far out.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 16, 2018, 12:36:15 am »

Barletta's entire campaign so far seems to be based on how far he can get Trump's schlong down his throat.

Probably not the best strategy for a state he won by <1 point. It would be like Brad Ellsworth and Elaine Marshall doing nothing but talking about Hope and Change and how much they love Obama in 2010 and expecting that to rocket them to victory, lol.
Logged
Thunder98
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,522
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 17, 2018, 05:24:15 pm »

Safe D
Logged
PA is Lean D
PittsburghSteel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,451
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 18, 2018, 12:04:35 pm »

Is somebody going to enter this poll into the database?
Logged
Landslide Warren
Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,804
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: June 18, 2018, 12:05:44 pm »

Is somebody going to enter this poll into the database?
Maybe MT Treasurer, but mds only ever inputs R-friendly polls.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: June 19, 2018, 07:48:03 pm »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Franklin and Marshall College on 2018-06-10

Summary: D: 44%, R: 27%, U: 28%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC