CA-Gov. Megathread: Newsom versus Cox

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

I suspect he'll end up with about 37% or 38%, and Newsom 62% or 63%. The bigger question is how popular Newsom will be? Sometimes I believe he may have popular start and then become Gray Davis 2.0. But it's just a feeling, not evidence based.

I went to one of his speeches a few weeks back and one of my friends asked him about the budget. Newsom said that he supported a balanced budget (and pointed to his record in SF), but noted that he thought that he might have to deal with a recession as opposed to Brown, who has had a booming economy for most of his second stint.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

With the latest vote dump, Newsom has cracked 60% of the vote share on CNN. He's also close to 5 million votes now. According to CNN, 72% are in, but that number hasn't changed since Friday or so.

That's good to hear. Prior to this, David Ige in Hawaii was the only Democratic Governor to breach 60%. Three Republicans did so last Tuesday-Charlie Baker, Asa Hutchinson, and Mark Gordon. Newsom cracking 60% makes the map more aesthetically pleasing.

Too bad Andrew Cuomo "only" got 59% in New York, although he broke Nelson Rockefeller's record from 1970 for the most votes cast (3.3 million) in any New York gubernatorial election. Tom Wolf also made it close to 58% in his election.

Gavin Newsom should also break the record for the most votes ever cast in the gubernatorial election California. And therefore the most votes ever cast in any gubernatorial election in America.

That's interesting. I've noted elsewhere how Hirono in Hawaii was the only Senatorial victor from either party to clear 70%; she ran ahead of Ige by ~8 percentage points. Barrasso, Cardin, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, Romney, Sanders, Whitehouse, and Warren were the only other Senators to break 60%. Barrasso ran slightly behind Gordon in Wyoming (by about 0.14% or so). Cardin of course, ran ahead of Hogan by 8%, Gillibrand outperformed Cuomo by ~7%, Klobuchar ran ahead of Walz by ~6%, Sanders ran ahead of Scott by 12%, and Whitehouse ran ahead of Raimondo by 9%. There was no gubernatorial race in Utah this year, and Warren of course ran behind Charlie Baker by 7%. It is always interesting to compare how Senators and Governors do when they are on the same ticket. Texas, in particular, was something: Greg Abbott ran ahead of Ted Cruz by 5%, and won by 14 percentage points, while Cruz won by only 3.

Feinstein would’ve had a good shot at breaking 60% against a Republican.