CA-SEN county predictions

[I’m not Stu]

Anyone have any county predictions for Feinstein (D) vs. de Leon (D)?

[Thunder98]

I'm being very GENEROUS to Kevin De Leon. He wins Imperial County by 50 votes or less in this map. Dianne Feinstein crushes De Leon regardless.

[I’m not Stu]

What will be de Leon's second best county, maybe Humboldt or Merced?

[Holmes]

What will be de Leon's second best county, maybe Humboldt or Merced?

It could be a random Republican county in which a lot of people decide to protest vote for de Leon.

[libertpaulian]

A clean Feinstein sweep. 

If a n00b like Kamala Harris can win all but four counties in the 2016 US Senate election, surely the Grande Dame of California's congressional delegation can win every county in the state.

[I’m not Stu]

A clean Feinstein sweep.  

If a n00b like Kamala Harris can win all but four counties in the 2016 US Senate election, surely the Grande Dame of California's congressional delegation can win every county in the state.

Is Feinstein able to do it like Thomas Kuchel in 1962? De Leon did worse in the primary than Republican Elizabeth Emken in 2012.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

At least a 57 county run for Feinstein. Imperial is the only question. As I've said before, the fact that Imperial is even a question shows how badly de Leon is doing.

[Politician]

Feinstein wins all except Imperial and Modoc.

[I’m not Stu]

Feinstein wins all except Imperial and Modoc.

Why would Modoc vote for de Leon? Will Republicans stay home? Are Modoc Democrats extremely liberal?

[Politician]

Feinstein wins all except Imperial and Modoc.

Why would Modoc vote for de Leon? Will Republicans stay home? Are Modoc Democrats extremely liberal?

Protest R votes. Modoc is also a Tea Party type county not a business conservative type county so they really hate Feinstein.

[I’m not Stu]

Feinstein wins all except Imperial and Modoc.

Why would Modoc vote for de Leon? Will Republicans stay home? Are Modoc Democrats extremely liberal?

Protest R votes. Modoc is also a Tea Party type county not a business conservative type county so they really hate Feinstein.

Would Modoc Republicans really turn out for a D vs. D race?

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Feinstein wins all except Imperial and Modoc.

Why would Modoc vote for de Leon? Will Republicans stay home? Are Modoc Democrats extremely liberal?

Protest R votes. Modoc is also a Tea Party type county not a business conservative type county so they really hate Feinstein.

Would Modoc Republicans really turn out for a D vs. D race?

Look at CA Sen 2016 for that answer the turnout in that race was garbage but in the presidential there were plenty of votes cast

This.

There were something like 30% fewer votes cast for senate than prez in 2016 for Modoc and Lassen Counties.

[Technocracy Timmy]

Modoc Republicans probably aren’t siding with a Guatemalan who has illegal immigrants in his family and has said notoriously stupid sh*t like this.

[Mr. Smith]

All counties besides Imperial...maybe Lake and Mendocino, if De Leon can conjure up a good appearance and call for action regarding all the wildfires.

[pops]

Take this with some knowledge that California is one of the states I'm least politically informed on:

edit: holy hell this is massive how do i contain that

edit 2: boom there it is

[Politician]

Feinstein won't break 90% in the Bay Area.

[I’m not Stu]

Feinstein won't break 90% in the Bay Area.

Feinstein is hated in much of the Bay Area.

[Sumner 1868]

I'd be astonished if Feinstein won Mendocino.

[I’m not Stu]

I think de Leon wins Humboldt and Mendocino even though they're heavily white and rural because they're so liberal.

[Politician]

Wow. Nobody could have seen De Leon's blowout in Trump country.

[Mr. Smith]

Wow. Nobody could have seen De Leon's blowout in Trump country.

In fairness, these predictions [mine included] were all done before Kavanaugh and DiFi's role in that. Actually this is a good thread topic in and of itself.