When will DC go republican?

[MR DARK BRANDON]

I have been wondering, When will DC go republican?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Never

[American_Aristocracy]

DC will go Republican when you bus fellow Republicans from the state of West Virginia and other heavily anti-democratic areas in the South that always go 20+ points toward the republicans.

Not like that is going to happen in my lifetime at all.

[AtorBoltox]

Idk, maybe the deep south is depopulated due to climate change and a lot move to DC?

[TML]

If at any given time the Republican party decides to actively support DC statehood, that's when they'll have a legitimate shot at winning DC's electoral votes.

[I’m not Stu]

They have a better shot at winning Manhattan

And West Covina, CA.

[wesmoorenerd]

Not until there's a major party realignment at the earliest. Impossible to predict when that'll be.

[Politician]

"When will Winston County go Democrat?"

[I’m not Stu]

"When will Winston County go Democrat?"

Before DC goes Republican.

[I’m not Stu]

When will Orange County vote Libertarian?

If it does, it will be before DC votes GOP.

[FalloutBoy97]

If this is a serious question, probably never in our lifetimes. It would take a *complete* realignment of the parties for republicans to win DC. As long as the GOP is associated with small government, white nativism, and fiscal conservatism a republican with never win DC.

[Person Man]

I can not only see DC, but several other states not flipping until and through the last election for President of the United States.

[catographer]

Maybe if Republicans start trying to appeal to black voters by understanding and reflecting their views on race, instead of endorsing only white views of race issues.

[I’m not Stu]

Maybe if Republicans start trying to appeal to black voters by understanding and reflecting their views on race, instead of endorsing only white views of race issues.

Wrong. That might slightly help Republicans, but DC's white population is extremely Democratic.

[Virginiá]

If DC is made a state by shrinking the actual district to just federal buildings, spinning off the former land as a state and assigning the new DC's electoral votes to the popular vote winner, then a Republican would win it by winning the PV.

Otherwise, it would either take a massive exodus of African Americans or a major realignment of African American political loyalties. I'd like to say, maybe if DC was expanded significantly, but the R:D ratio in the DC metro area is too low to help.

[mvd10]

It's going to be pretty hard to capture enough wealthy progressive white gentry and poorer black voters to carry DC without becoming like the Democratic party. I think this only happens when the issues that define the political debate dramatically change (not the current left/right, open/closed or prog/con divide but something entirely new). I guess DC might vote for the centre-right alliance if the Republicans die and Democrats split in 2 (white gentry vs minorities?) but that's also not going to happen.

[twenty42]

If the cycle of American politics continues over the long haul, it’s likely that the parties will have diametrically realigned by 2100-2150. For this reason, I think it’s very possible that both parties will win all 50 states + DC at least once in the next 100 years or so.

[TML]

If the cycle of American politics continues over the long haul, it’s likely that the parties will have diametrically realigned by 2100-2150. For this reason, I think it’s very possible that both parties will win all 50 states + DC at least once in the next 100 years or so.

I'm not sure about the last part playing out.

At this point, even in a 99.999...% scenario (which would occur by applying the largest PV margin in history - 26.2% in 1920 - to the results of the 2016 election), the most extreme electoral outcomes I can think of are as follows:

Democratic maximum: 537-1 (NE-3 stays Republican)
Republican maximum: 535-3 (DC stays Democratic)

[twenty42]

If the cycle of American politics continues over the long haul, it’s likely that the parties will have diametrically realigned by 2100-2150. For this reason, I think it’s very possible that both parties will win all 50 states + DC at least once in the next 100 years or so.

I'm not sure about the last part playing out.

At this point, even in a 99.999...% scenario (which would occur by applying the largest PV margin in history - 26.2% in 1920 - to the results of the 2016 election), the most extreme electoral outcomes I can think of are as follows:

Democratic maximum: 537-1 (NE-3 stays Republican)
Republican maximum: 535-3 (DC stays Democratic)

I think it will be the parties themselves that change, with Republicans becoming the liberal social justice party and Democrats becoming the conservatives. This happens over 100-150 year cycles are inevitably. This is what will ultimately generate electoral college parity.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Possibly never.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's an anti gun rights state and it will be that way

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

It's an anti gun rights state and it will be that way

That is a legitimately insane answer.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's an anti gun rights state and it will be that way

That is a legitimately insane answer.

DC conceal weapons case was struck down by SCOTUS. Giving rights to own guns back to gun owners

[ConservativeCommunist]

It won't, unless there is a MAJOR realignment. even if the GOP started winning blacks somehow, they'd probably still lose Government workers which would still keep them from winning DC.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

It's an anti gun rights state and it will be that way

That is a legitimately insane answer.

DC conceal weapons case was struck down by SCOTUS. Giving rights to own guns back to gun owners

That's not wrong, it's just totally unrelated to the thread.