buritobr
YaBB God
Posts: 3,657
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« on: June 18, 2018, 09:16:34 PM » |
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There were few exceptions, like 1948, 1980 and 2016.
But usually, the candidate who leads the polls for more time wins. This is obvious for landslides like the ones in 1956, 1964, 1972, 1984. But even in close races, the candidate who spent more days leading the polls used to win. In 1968, Nixon was ahead in the polls during all the campaign days. In 1976, Carter led the polls during almost all the campaign. Since 1998, there were polls about Bush vs Gore in 2000. Polls showed Bush leading during almost all the period between 1998 and November 2000. Only in the days following the Democratic National Convention, Gore was better than Bush in the polls. In 2004, Kerry led the polls during few days in the summer, but Bush was ahead during most of the time in the campaign. In 2012, Romney did better in the polls only few days after the first debate.
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