Calling it Now - Trump wins Re-election (user search)
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  Calling it Now - Trump wins Re-election (search mode)
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Author Topic: Calling it Now - Trump wins Re-election  (Read 6176 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: June 20, 2018, 02:31:58 PM »
If the GOP keeps their majorities in 2018, they will continue to be dogged by Trump, by not properly investigating him.  It may be a silver lining if that happens, because acquittal of Trump during impeachment, from a Pelosi House, would raise Trump's approval.

Trump's not winning reelection, he would have to duplicate his numbers in WI, PA, and MI
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2018, 06:46:41 PM »
Trump won due to ethics of Clinton. He is dragged by ethics this time. But, Mike Pence is a skilled as well, and he helps Trump. It's a 45% chance Trump is reelected.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: June 21, 2018, 04:27:01 PM »
Trump wil win NV and that's it, and the other blue states, he's not gonna win. Leaving Dems at 273 instead of 279
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: June 21, 2018, 06:59:26 PM »
Trump is campaigning in MN, he doesn't have faith in WI, of he's in MN
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2018, 09:38:25 AM »
With a nominee like Merkley or Sanders, it will be tougher to win Va again, the Dems need to nominate a centrist nominee. They can afford to lose only NV. CO, WI and OH or Va are tipping points
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: June 25, 2018, 02:34:47 PM »
Trump loses the EC by at least 273, and has lost ground in MI, PA, and WI and Gillespie lost VA, solidly, he has a 45% chance of winning given the ethics.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: June 25, 2018, 03:50:24 PM »
51% agree with Trump on the economy now, vs. 42% on the tax cuts approval. That bolds well for the GOP congressional midterms. But, the EC is still stacked against Trump.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: June 25, 2018, 04:25:35 PM »
2018 may or may not flip the House, given that TX state Crt decision that nulified more Latino gerrymandering. OH12 will tell us if the House flips, because OH and FL are big Trump states. On 8/7, and O'Connor is behind. But, if he pulls it off, I would be bold and say House flips
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2018, 11:36:43 PM »
No, he wont he would gain NV, and lose CO, WI and Va a narrow loss
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #9 on: June 27, 2018, 11:33:37 AM »
Trump's only path to reelection is WI, with Walker, Va, and NV, and that's not likely due to Walker probably not going to win
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #10 on: June 27, 2018, 06:01:46 PM »
Dems don't have a nominee yet, and calling a race, before the nominee is chosen, isn't right.  Trump's path is WI and NV and NH
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #11 on: June 30, 2018, 08:45:40 AM »
Quote from: Party Like It's 2006 on June 30, 2018, 06:19:40 AM
Quote from: PR on June 27, 2018, 12:57:55 PM



Trump still being strong in Ohio and Florida is a tough thing to conclude in the current political environment based on polling and special election results.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #12 on: March 19, 2021, 07:04:13 PM »
Why would a pollster want Trump Reelected even Rs after Insurrectionists didn't want Trump

Hannity has signed affidavits that said Erie, PA was stolen, but they are fake
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,746
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #13 on: March 20, 2021, 10:03:46 PM »
When does Rs realized since the Great Recession outside of the Hillary loss Females have flipped D, they voted R during Reagan and Bush eras due to fact income inequality was small, now the income divide is great
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