AZ/TX/FL-CBS Battleground Tracker: Sinema+8 (+20 v Arpaio), Cruz+10, Scott+5 (user search)
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  AZ/TX/FL-CBS Battleground Tracker: Sinema+8 (+20 v Arpaio), Cruz+10, Scott+5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ/TX/FL-CBS Battleground Tracker: Sinema+8 (+20 v Arpaio), Cruz+10, Scott+5  (Read 2668 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« on: June 24, 2018, 10:46:35 AM »

I'm kinda skeptical about the FL number but otherwise, these seem pretty believable.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: June 24, 2018, 11:17:33 AM »

Trump approval is also not 52/48 in Florida if it's 50/50 in Texas.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #2 on: June 24, 2018, 03:53:41 PM »

I don’t buy Trump approval being +4 in FL, unless either suddenly FL has turned from a light red to a decently red state or Trump approval is well above water nationwide.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #3 on: June 24, 2018, 05:19:51 PM »

Translation: “I’m skeptical of the number that is bad for my preferred candidate, but everything else seems good!”

1) Beto is my preferred candidate and I’m saying Cruz+10 is believable
2) It’s perfectly reasonable to be skeptical of a poll with Trump approval at +4 in FL
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