TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,990
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« on: June 25, 2018, 06:29:49 AM » |
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« edited: June 25, 2018, 06:34:14 AM by TheDeadFlagBlues »
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Reminder for noobs: Quinnipiac poll of Ohio Senate, 6/27/10: Lee Fisher (D) - 42% Rob Portman (R) - 40%
PPP poll of Ohio Senate, 6/26/10: Lee Fisher (D) - 40% Rob Portman (R) - 38%
Rick Scott is a well-known and somewhat popular figure in Florida so it shouldn't come as a surprise that, as of the present moment, FL-Sen appears to be a battleground but there's a case to be made that this state of affairs will evaporate after Labor Day once people start paying attention. In the end, Rick Scott has many liabilities, Bill Nelson is a popular incumbent and we're still in a Blue Wave environment.
Many of you are too young to remember the 2010 midterms or didn't follow politics at the time. I remember the polling breaking hard against Democrats when the campaigns kicked off in earnest. If you're a Republican, you shouldn't be optimistic about the midterms, even if there's plenty of reasons to be optimistic about Trump's odds of being re-elected.
edit: Florida sample is 43 R/39 D/15 I. This doesn't invalidate the poll, possible midterm electorate will look like this, but it's worth mentioning.
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