FL - NBC/Marist: Nelson +4 (user search)
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  FL - NBC/Marist: Nelson +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL - NBC/Marist: Nelson +4  (Read 2568 times)
Skye
yeah_93
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« on: June 26, 2018, 02:20:08 PM »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.

It's not like this is a red state to begin with. Nelson is a relatively popular Democratic incumbent in a purple state running for reelection in the middle of a blue wave. He should by cruising to reelection but Scott is a strong challenger which is why the race has stayed competitive.
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Skye
yeah_93
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Posts: 4,580
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« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2018, 02:38:23 PM »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.

It's not like this is a red state to begin with. Nelson is a relatively popular Democratic incumbent in a purple state running for reelection in the middle of a blue wave. He should by cruising to reelection but Scott is a strong challenger which is why the race has stayed competitive.

Scott has never gotten more than 48.9% of the vote in an election. He has also never gotten more than 48% in any poll. In fact, if you remove internals (since FL Chamber polls are essentially that) he has never gotten more than 46% in a poll. He's not super strong, he just has money to blow.



So that proves he's not a strong opponent for Nelson?

Whatever the reason may be - his fortune being poured into the race, his positive approvals - he's giving Nelson the fight of his life.

I'm not saying Scott will win. In fact, I've stated several times that I believe Nelson will pull through in the end. But that doesn't mean this isn't a strong challenge.
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