CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6
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  CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6  (Read 117408 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #75 on: July 24, 2018, 06:56:23 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Secretary of State
Republican Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Brad Raffensperger
46,249   61.8%   

David Belle Isle
28,627   38.2   
74,876 votes, 5% reporting (119 of 2,634 precincts)
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #76 on: July 24, 2018, 06:56:48 PM »

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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #77 on: July 24, 2018, 06:58:30 PM »

Early vote from GA-07

Kim-61.7%
Bourdeaux-38.3%

Is there any major differences between the candidates for GA7 and GA6? They seem rather similar.
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #78 on: July 24, 2018, 07:52:46 PM »

Looks like both will be very close.
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RFKFan68
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« Reply #79 on: July 24, 2018, 08:47:03 PM »

Both are basically 50/50



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ON Progressive
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #80 on: July 24, 2018, 08:47:48 PM »

Both are very close indeed.

McBath only ahead by 31 votes and Bourdeaux by 44 votes.
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scutosaurus
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« Reply #81 on: July 24, 2018, 08:52:18 PM »

Pulling hard for Abel. Hopefully he can make it through; looking very close right now.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #82 on: July 24, 2018, 08:53:30 PM »

This is still close, this looks like it will really come down to the last percent of votes. But seriously, is there even a difference?
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OneJ
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« Reply #83 on: July 24, 2018, 08:55:28 PM »

This is still close, this looks like it will really come down to the last percent of votes. But seriously, is there even a difference?

All seem like Generic Dems to me.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #84 on: July 24, 2018, 08:56:26 PM »

This is still close, this looks like it will really come down to the last percent of votes. But seriously, is there even a difference?

The two less-capable candidates IMO are winning. McBath and Bourdeaux will bring more outside resources and raise more money, respectively.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #85 on: July 24, 2018, 09:02:36 PM »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #86 on: July 24, 2018, 09:03:15 PM »

GO ABEL & KIM!
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #87 on: July 24, 2018, 09:03:46 PM »

All right, so I did some research, and it seems the main differences between the candidates are

-The females in the race, Mcbath and Bourdeaux were endorsed by Emily's list

- The males in the race are running as bipartisan consensus builders

Other than that, it seems the female candidates are the stronger candidates in both districts
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #88 on: July 24, 2018, 09:04:36 PM »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?

Probably an error.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #89 on: July 24, 2018, 09:05:40 PM »

All right, so I did some research, and it seems the main differences between the candidates are

-The females in the race, Mcbath and Bourdeaux were endorsed by Emily's list

- The males in the race are running as bipartisan consensus builders

Other than that, it seems the female candidates are the stronger candidates in both districts


Lucy McBath has been running as a one issue candidate while Kevin Abel has the support of some of the business community in the district.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #90 on: July 24, 2018, 09:11:50 PM »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?

Probably an error.

Fulton county had a big dump in the last 20 minutes, and Cobb was at just 5% reporting for a lot of the night (it's now more than half in). Anyways, there's a more important reason I'm posting.

------------------------


WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #91 on: July 24, 2018, 09:15:37 PM »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?

Probably an error.

Fulton county had a big dump in the last 20 minutes, and Cobb was at just 5% reporting for a lot of the night (it's now more than half in). Anyways, there's a more important reason I'm posting.

------------------------


WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)

It is absolutely an error. Look at the GA SOS website. There's no out-of-nowhere surge in Fulton like on the NY Times website.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #92 on: July 24, 2018, 09:15:54 PM »

I have a hard time believing that there could be so many more votes cast in GA-06 than in GA-07.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #93 on: July 24, 2018, 09:16:55 PM »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?

Probably an error.

Fulton county had a big dump in the last 20 minutes, and Cobb was at just 5% reporting for a lot of the night (it's now more than half in). Anyways, there's a more important reason I'm posting.

------------------------


WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)

Looks like the great Dwarven has made a mistake. The vote total is an error. Should have checked the SOS tallies.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #94 on: July 24, 2018, 09:18:07 PM »

Yeah, that's a error similar to what happened in IL-03. Marie Newman suddenly jumped into the lead because of a huge vote dump in Will, which turned out to be an error.

There's no way there would be more GA-06 Dem primary run-off voters than GA-GOV Republican primary run-off voters in GA-06.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #95 on: July 24, 2018, 09:27:23 PM »

someone gonna make this wulfric call their sig as well as last time with Lazer in PA?
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #96 on: July 24, 2018, 09:29:08 PM »

It seems that GA-07 will go to Bourdaeux,

you can call it Wulfric
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #97 on: July 24, 2018, 09:30:13 PM »

Good to see that candidate from nowhere David Kim lost.

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #98 on: July 24, 2018, 09:30:31 PM »

The SOS tally only has 62/114 fulton precincts in vs the NYT at 113/114. That plus the fact that the count has updated from 87% to 89% to 91% in without any 'correction' to Fulton makes me think it's more likely the SOS just isn't getting its data as fast. This has happened before, in the TX-27 special election a few weeks back the NYT got the vote from the city of corpus christi well before the SOS did.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #99 on: July 24, 2018, 09:31:29 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 7
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Carolyn Bourdeaux
7,696   51.9%
   
David Kim
7,131   48.1   
14,827 votes, 97% reporting (120 of 124 precincts)
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