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| | |-+  CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6  (Read 48017 times)
RFKFan68
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« Reply #75 on: July 24, 2018, 02:44:25 pm »

Rooting for Carolyn Boudreaux and Lucy McBath.

All four of the Dem runoff candidates seem pretty good. What's your take in terms of who's stronger for the GE?
Carolyn Bourdeaux is a robust fundraiser and has extensive experience in public policy. David Kim is a self funding political novice, which is fine, I just don’t think he conveys well why he’s running. His first time ever voting was for himself in the primary. LOL.

I like Kevin Abel, but Lucy McBath brings millions of dollars of tv, radio, and field from Everytown, Moms Demand Action, and every other gun safety advocacy group in the country. So I’m going with her so I can see how Dems do in this district with loads of money but minus the National attention. I was worried McBath would be a one issue candidate but I’ve seen her begin to pivot to healthcare in the closing weeks of the campaign.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #76 on: July 24, 2018, 06:01:33 pm »

Polls have closed.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #77 on: July 24, 2018, 06:54:17 pm »

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Governor
Republican Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Brian Kemp
45,283   62.5%   

Casey Cagle
27,147   37.5   
72,430 votes, 3% reporting (92 of 2,634 precincts)
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #78 on: July 24, 2018, 06:56:23 pm »

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Secretary of State
Republican Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Brad Raffensperger
46,249   61.8%   

David Belle Isle
28,627   38.2   
74,876 votes, 5% reporting (119 of 2,634 precincts)
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RFKFan68
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« Reply #79 on: July 24, 2018, 06:56:48 pm »

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Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #80 on: July 24, 2018, 06:58:30 pm »

Early vote from GA-07

Kim-61.7%
Bourdeaux-38.3%

Is there any major differences between the candidates for GA7 and GA6? They seem rather similar.
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136or142
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« Reply #81 on: July 24, 2018, 07:52:46 pm »

Looks like both will be very close.
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« Reply #82 on: July 24, 2018, 08:47:03 pm »

Both are basically 50/50



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Sinema-Hobbs-Hoffman-Trump Voter
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« Reply #83 on: July 24, 2018, 08:47:48 pm »

Both are very close indeed.

McBath only ahead by 31 votes and Bourdeaux by 44 votes.
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Bennet or Bust
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« Reply #84 on: July 24, 2018, 08:52:18 pm »

Pulling hard for Abel. Hopefully he can make it through; looking very close right now.
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Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #85 on: July 24, 2018, 08:53:30 pm »

This is still close, this looks like it will really come down to the last percent of votes. But seriously, is there even a difference?
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OneJ
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« Reply #86 on: July 24, 2018, 08:55:28 pm »

This is still close, this looks like it will really come down to the last percent of votes. But seriously, is there even a difference?

All seem like Generic Dems to me.
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Fmr. Pres. Griff
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« Reply #87 on: July 24, 2018, 08:56:26 pm »

This is still close, this looks like it will really come down to the last percent of votes. But seriously, is there even a difference?

The two less-capable candidates IMO are winning. McBath and Bourdeaux will bring more outside resources and raise more money, respectively.
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136or142
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« Reply #88 on: July 24, 2018, 09:02:36 pm »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?
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Could the 13th Mississippi Congressional District (MS-13) be competitive for the Democrats?
Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #89 on: July 24, 2018, 09:03:15 pm »

GO ABEL & KIM!
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Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #90 on: July 24, 2018, 09:03:46 pm »

All right, so I did some research, and it seems the main differences between the candidates are

-The females in the race, Mcbath and Bourdeaux were endorsed by Emily's list

- The males in the race are running as bipartisan consensus builders

Other than that, it seems the female candidates are the stronger candidates in both districts
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« Reply #91 on: July 24, 2018, 09:04:36 pm »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?

Probably an error.
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136or142
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« Reply #92 on: July 24, 2018, 09:05:40 pm »

All right, so I did some research, and it seems the main differences between the candidates are

-The females in the race, Mcbath and Bourdeaux were endorsed by Emily's list

- The males in the race are running as bipartisan consensus builders

Other than that, it seems the female candidates are the stronger candidates in both districts


Lucy McBath has been running as a one issue candidate while Kevin Abel has the support of some of the business community in the district.
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Could the 13th Mississippi Congressional District (MS-13) be competitive for the Democrats?
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #93 on: July 24, 2018, 09:11:50 pm »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?

Probably an error.

Fulton county had a big dump in the last 20 minutes, and Cobb was at just 5% reporting for a lot of the night (it's now more than half in). Anyways, there's a more important reason I'm posting.

------------------------


WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)
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« Reply #94 on: July 24, 2018, 09:15:37 pm »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?

Probably an error.

Fulton county had a big dump in the last 20 minutes, and Cobb was at just 5% reporting for a lot of the night (it's now more than half in). Anyways, there's a more important reason I'm posting.

------------------------


WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)

It is absolutely an error. Look at the GA SOS website. There's no out-of-nowhere surge in Fulton like on the NY Times website.
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« Reply #95 on: July 24, 2018, 09:15:54 pm »

I have a hard time believing that there could be so many more votes cast in GA-06 than in GA-07.
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Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #96 on: July 24, 2018, 09:16:55 pm »

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?

Probably an error.

Fulton county had a big dump in the last 20 minutes, and Cobb was at just 5% reporting for a lot of the night (it's now more than half in). Anyways, there's a more important reason I'm posting.

------------------------


WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)

Looks like the great Dwarven has made a mistake. The vote total is an error. Should have checked the SOS tallies.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #97 on: July 24, 2018, 09:18:07 pm »

Yeah, that's a error similar to what happened in IL-03. Marie Newman suddenly jumped into the lead because of a huge vote dump in Will, which turned out to be an error.

There's no way there would be more GA-06 Dem primary run-off voters than GA-GOV Republican primary run-off voters in GA-06.
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #98 on: July 24, 2018, 09:27:23 pm »

someone gonna make this wulfric call their sig as well as last time with Lazer in PA?
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Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #99 on: July 24, 2018, 09:29:08 pm »

It seems that GA-07 will go to Bourdaeux,

you can call it Wulfric
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