CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 10:26:58 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 40 41 42 43 44 [45] 46 47 48 49 50 ... 97
Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6  (Read 121642 times)
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,643
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1100 on: August 14, 2018, 10:17:57 PM »
Quote from: 136or142 on August 14, 2018, 10:10:21 PM
Quote from: Lincoln Assemblyman Dwarven Dragon on August 14, 2018, 10:08:19 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 14, 2018, 10:06:32 PM
Does Walz carry his congressional district in the governor's race, what is yall's guess? Mine is yes.

Yes, though I'm still skeptical Dems will hold the district on the house level.

The district is actually trending more Democratic though as it becomes more and more urban.
Went from 50-48 Obama to 53-38 Trump, so no.

That said, Dems are probably still slight favourites here. Hagdorn is a joke and Walz should have coattails.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1101 on: August 14, 2018, 10:18:13 PM »
Well, I can barely believe it myself, but Pawlenty is done:

Governor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Jeff Johnson
123,008   52.4%   
Tim Pawlenty
103,772   44.2   
Matt Kruse
7,792   3.3   
234,572 votes, 71% reporting (2,904 of 4,112 precincts)

That completes Minnesota.

The night is basically over, only WI-7 D remains uncalled by me.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,521
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1102 on: August 14, 2018, 10:18:26 PM »
Anybody have comparative numbers for State House and State Senate Primary GOP and DEM numbers from Wisconsin?Huh
Logged
OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,833
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1103 on: August 14, 2018, 10:19:01 PM »
Dems have now overtaken GOP in MN-08.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1104 on: August 14, 2018, 10:19:57 PM »
Quote from: OneJ on August 14, 2018, 10:19:01 PM
Dems have now overtaken GOP in MN-08.

Oh my...
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1105 on: August 14, 2018, 10:20:31 PM »
Quote from: OneJ on August 14, 2018, 10:19:01 PM
Dems have now overtaken GOP in MN-08.

Still a lot of St. Louis County out too.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1106 on: August 14, 2018, 10:20:57 PM »
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,521
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1107 on: August 14, 2018, 10:21:23 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on August 14, 2018, 10:17:46 PM
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on August 14, 2018, 10:15:57 PM
GOP wins Green Bay (Brown) by a couple of points (51.4-48.6). Trump carried it by 11.

And Dems win Kenosha (56.5-43.5); Trump won it by less than a point.

Kenosha, here we come!!!
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1108 on: August 14, 2018, 10:21:51 PM »
↑ Is that shading >60% D in Columbus and Sauk counties?!?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1109 on: August 14, 2018, 10:21:57 PM »
Currently, the MN-08 Dem primary map appears to be Radinovich wins Trump Counties and loses Clinton Counties.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1110 on: August 14, 2018, 10:23:22 PM »
The WI GOP Senate primary map really shows how much the Milwaukee metro dominates Republican primary results. Nicholson did even better than Trump (in terms of counties won anyway) yet is still going to get thumped.
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1111 on: August 14, 2018, 10:23:40 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on August 14, 2018, 10:17:46 PM
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on August 14, 2018, 10:15:57 PM
GOP wins Green Bay (Brown) by a couple of points (51.4-48.6). Trump carried it by 11.

And Dems win Kenosha (56.5-43.5); Trump won it by less than a point.

I hope Weezer approves.
Logged
Yellowhammer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,695
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1112 on: August 14, 2018, 10:24:00 PM »
Quote from: 136or142 on August 14, 2018, 10:10:21 PM
Quote from: Lincoln Assemblyman Dwarven Dragon on August 14, 2018, 10:08:19 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 14, 2018, 10:06:32 PM
Does Walz carry his congressional district in the governor's race, what is yall's guess? Mine is yes.

Yes, though I'm still skeptical Dems will hold the district on the house level.

The district is actually trending more Democratic though as it becomes more and more urban.
It went from voting 3 points to the right of Minnesota in 2012 to voting 8 points to the right of Minnesota in 2016. It is not trending Democratic.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1113 on: August 14, 2018, 10:24:06 PM »

I've had that seat at Likely D the entire cycle. I accept my accolades.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1114 on: August 14, 2018, 10:24:24 PM »
I am actually very surprised that Paul Nehlen is doing worse than he did in 2016 when he tried to primary incumbent Paul Ryan.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1115 on: August 14, 2018, 10:25:07 PM »
Quote from: Arch on August 14, 2018, 10:21:51 PM
↑ Is that shading >60% D in Columbus and Sauk counties?!?

Yep (60.4% and 62.5%, respectively)
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,047
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1116 on: August 14, 2018, 10:25:11 PM »

Dems were outvoted in Milwaukee?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,760


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1117 on: August 14, 2018, 10:26:12 PM »
Fun fact: WI-07 and WI-08 under current borders voted slightly to the left of the national average in 2008.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1118 on: August 14, 2018, 10:26:13 PM »
That's Ozaukee.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1119 on: August 14, 2018, 10:26:46 PM »

Milwaukee is to the south of that; that's Ozaukee.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,047
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1120 on: August 14, 2018, 10:27:00 PM »

Yes it is!

Oof my mistake
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1121 on: August 14, 2018, 10:27:24 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on August 14, 2018, 10:26:12 PM
Fun fact: WI-07 and WI-08 under current borders voted slightly to the left of the national average in 2008.

It's arguable that Obama got more of a home state (region) effect in Wisconsin than he did in Illinois.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1122 on: August 14, 2018, 10:27:35 PM »

No, Milwaukee isn't even on the map yet since it's still counting. The counties surrounding Milwaukee are always Republican.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1123 on: August 14, 2018, 10:28:14 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on August 14, 2018, 10:24:24 PM
I am actually very surprised that Paul Nehlen is doing worse than he did in 2016 when he tried to primary incumbent Paul Ryan.

Yes, very happy to see that result as well
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,047
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1124 on: August 14, 2018, 10:30:45 PM »
Democrats are almost 100K votes had of the GOP
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 40 41 42 43 44 [45] 46 47 48 49 50 ... 97  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.065 seconds with 11 queries.