CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - FINISHING UP CO:

Treasurer - R
Counties Reporting: 99 % PercentageVotes
Justin Everett36.94%160,271
Polly Lawrence25.08%108,799
Brian Watson37.98%164,746
433,816

That concludes this set of primaries.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Not congressional, but here's a link to the LG/AG runoff results since I can't find it anywhere else.

LG - http://data.montgomeryadvertiser.com/election-results/race/al-lieutenant-governor--gop-runoff/20180717AL1022/

AG - http://data.montgomeryadvertiser.com/election-results/race/al-attorney-general--gop-runoff/20180717AL2031/

Ag Commissioner - http://data.montgomeryadvertiser.com/election-results/race/al-agriculture-commissioner--gop-runoff/20180717AL1622/

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I can now project the race for Roby.

quoted in case you're wrong.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Martha Roby*
16,296   67.4%   
Bobby Bright
7,867   32.6   
24,163 votes, 27% reporting (100 of 371 precincts)

Stay tuned for projections in the 3 statewide contests.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

779/2174 reporting:

King, Troy                    Marshall, Steve
Vote Count   %   Vote Count   %
32,853   37.6%   54,480   62.4%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

1370/2174 reporting:

Dial, Gerald   Pate, Rick
Vote Count   %   Vote Count   %
84,230   43.7%   108,346   56.3%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

2015/2174 in:

Ainsworth, Will   Cavanaugh, Twinkle
Vote Count   %   Vote Count   %
163,957   51.9%    151,688   48.1%

That completes tonight's runoffs.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results page for tonight: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/07/24/us/elections/results-georgia-primary-runoff-elections.html

Polls close at 7 ET.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Polls have closed.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Governor
Republican Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Brian Kemp
45,283   62.5%   
Casey Cagle
27,147   37.5   
72,430 votes, 3% reporting (92 of 2,634 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Secretary of State
Republican Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Brad Raffensperger
46,249   61.8%   
David Belle Isle
28,627   38.2   
74,876 votes, 5% reporting (119 of 2,634 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Georgia 6 just jumped from around 11,000 votes to 48,000 votes.  Is that even possible?

Probably an error.

Fulton county had a big dump in the last 20 minutes, and Cobb was at just 5% reporting for a lot of the night (it's now more than half in). Anyways, there's a more important reason I'm posting.

------------------------


WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   
Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The SOS tally only has 62/114 fulton precincts in vs the NYT at 113/114. That plus the fact that the count has updated from 87% to 89% to 91% in without any 'correction' to Fulton makes me think it's more likely the SOS just isn't getting its data as fast. This has happened before, in the TX-27 special election a few weeks back the NYT got the vote from the city of corpus christi well before the SOS did.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 7
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Carolyn Bourdeaux
7,696   51.9%   
David Kim
7,131   48.1   
14,827 votes, 97% reporting (120 of 124 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

AP has continued to update the race as the rest of Cobb has come in, and now we have Abel up 53-47 with one Cobb precinct and one Fulton Precinct listed as out.

However, because I am aware of the different SOS numbers, and because I have no idea what is going on, (even Griff's idea doesn't check out, since it would mean Abel is getting like 6,000 votes out of 4 precincts), and acknowledge that either source could be right, I'm declaring the race unprojectable. I'm done with this:

DECLARED UNPROJECTABLE:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
28,018   53.3%   
Lucy McBath
24,501   46.7   
52,519 votes, 99% reporting (205 of 207 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Handel and Woodall are safe, but they are both going to get a scare. Especially Woodall.

Why do you think Woodall is more vulnerable than Handel?

One argument I could see is that Handel already experienced the most expensive house race in the country and won by 5%, while Woodall has never been seriously challenged.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

APPARENT WINNER:

Lieutenant Governor
Republican Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Geoff Duncan
277,505   50.2%   
David Shafer
275,688   49.8   
553,193 votes, 99% reporting (2,605 of 2,634 precincts)


This ends tonight's primary coverage. I'll let NYT figure out when to call GA-6.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I'm endorsing Handel for GA-6 and Bourdeaux for GA-7

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/02/us/elections/results-tennessee-primary-elections.html

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. Senate

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Phil Bredesen
40,923   96.5%   
Gary Davis
904   2.1   
John Wolfe
581   1.4   
42,408 votes, <1% reporting (1 of 1,969 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Marsha Blackburn
29,657   86.6%   
Aaron Pettigrew
4,592   13.4   
34,249 votes, <1% reporting (1 of 1,969 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Governor

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Karl Dean
45,284   83.2%   
Craig Fitzhugh
7,912   14.5   
Mezianne Payne
1,221   2.2   
54,417 votes, <1% reporting (1 of 1,969 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 1
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Phil Roe*
20,215   74.6%   
Todd McKinley
4,296   15.9   
James Brooks
1,350   5.0   
Mickie Lou Banyas
1,239   4.6   
27,100 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 206 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 3
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Chuck Fleischmann*
8,823   82.1%   
Jeremy Massengale
1,138   10.6   
William Spurlock
541   5.0   
Harold Shevlin
243   2.3   
10,745 votes, <1% reporting (0 of 276 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 4
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Scott DesJarlais*
19,416   72.4%   
Jack Maddux
7,418   27.6   
26,834 votes, 2% reporting (4 of 240 precincts)