2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please  (Read 143412 times)
Brittain33
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« on: June 27, 2018, 11:06:26 AM »
« edited: September 20, 2018, 07:04:18 AM by Brittain33 »
Please post:

  • Generic Congressional Ballot
  • House district polls
  • commentary

Senate and Gubernatorial polls can go into their dedicated groups.

Previous thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=282555.0
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2018, 11:07:32 AM »
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2018, 11:10:45 AM »
WOW
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2018, 11:11:06 AM »
Democrats are going to pick up almost half of the seats they need just in the Northeast.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2018, 11:21:05 AM »
The head of Monmouth Polling on the effects of going to a likely voter screen:
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2018, 11:25:46 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 27, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Democrats are going to pick up almost half of the seats they need just in the Northeast.

Which is why this House map this year is just so...interesting. PA, NY, NJ, MN, VA, FL, and CA have the bulk of competitive seats this year, and they are all safe dem states or PA and FL which are tossup states at worst.

Totally different from the senate map where almost all the key races are deep in Trump Territory.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2018, 11:31:22 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on June 27, 2018, 11:25:46 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 27, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Democrats are going to pick up almost half of the seats they need just in the Northeast.

Which is why this House map this year is just so...interesting. PA, NY, NJ, MN, VA, FL, and CA have the bulk of competitive seats this year, and they are all safe dem states or PA and FL which are tossup states at worst.

Totally different from the senate map where almost all the key races are deep in Trump Territory.

Yup and other than FL, Democrats will dominate all of the statewide races in those states.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: June 27, 2018, 11:48:02 AM »
Red wave confirmed.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #8 on: June 27, 2018, 11:48:38 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on June 27, 2018, 11:25:46 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 27, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Democrats are going to pick up almost half of the seats they need just in the Northeast.

Which is why this House map this year is just so...interesting. PA, NY, NJ, MN, VA, FL, and CA have the bulk of competitive seats this year, and they are all safe dem states or PA and FL which are tossup states at worst.

Totally different from the senate map where almost all the key races are deep in Trump Territory.

The seats needed are all remnants of the GOP stronghold known as the suburbs, but with growing diversity and a rise of new issues such as healthcare and college tuition, it seems that these seats will finally fall into Democratic hands.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #9 on: June 27, 2018, 11:51:33 AM »
Harvard/Harris-

Democrats: 45% (+1)

Republicans: 36% (-1)

http://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/Final_HHP_Jun2018_RegisteredVoters_Topline_Memo.pdf
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Doimper
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« Reply #10 on: June 27, 2018, 03:42:26 PM »
WA-03: Beutler +5
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: June 27, 2018, 04:03:22 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on June 27, 2018, 03:42:26 PM
WA-03: Beutler +5



Improvement!
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #12 on: June 27, 2018, 04:58:58 PM »
Beutler is a fake mexican.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #13 on: June 27, 2018, 05:20:01 PM »
YouGov, June 24-26, 1278 registered voters.

D: 43 (-1)
R: 38 (+1)
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: June 27, 2018, 05:35:10 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on June 27, 2018, 03:42:26 PM
WA-03: Beutler +5



All the pundits have this as safe R. lol
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Virginiá
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« Reply #15 on: June 27, 2018, 05:37:33 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on June 27, 2018, 05:35:10 PM
All the pundits have this as safe R. lol

All the high profile handicappers seem way too cautious. Either they would rather be labeled cautious than wrong, or they are just stupid. I'm leaning towards the latter for a nice, big handful of them.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: June 27, 2018, 07:42:37 PM »
Quote from: ltomlinson31 on June 27, 2018, 11:07:32 AM


Go Sherrill!
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
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« Reply #17 on: June 27, 2018, 09:24:14 PM »
Quote from: Virginia on June 27, 2018, 05:37:33 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on June 27, 2018, 05:35:10 PM
All the pundits have this as safe R. lol

All the high profile handicappers seem way too cautious. Either they would rather be labeled cautious than wrong, or they are just stupid. I'm leaning towards the latter for a nice, big handful of them.

I think these pundits are going beyond cautious territory, and into lazy territory, honestly.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #18 on: June 27, 2018, 10:25:33 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on June 27, 2018, 07:42:37 PM
Quote from: ltomlinson31 on June 27, 2018, 11:07:32 AM


Go Sherrill!

My district!!
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #19 on: June 27, 2018, 10:29:16 PM »
Does anyone know how Fmr. Rep. Steven Horsford in NV is doing? I believe 270towin has his district as lean dem.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #20 on: June 28, 2018, 09:40:38 AM »
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
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« Reply #21 on: June 28, 2018, 09:44:08 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on June 28, 2018, 09:40:38 AM

Not a big deal. Wasn't Lance DOA among the Blue Wave Cult here?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #22 on: June 28, 2018, 09:48:07 AM »
Quote from: 1-Term Donnelly on June 28, 2018, 09:44:08 AM
Quote from: ON Progressive on June 28, 2018, 09:40:38 AM

Not a big deal. Wasn't Lance DOA among the Blue Wave Cult here?
No
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ajc0918
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« Reply #23 on: June 28, 2018, 09:52:54 AM »
NJ GOP on track for a nice thrashing.
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
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« Reply #24 on: June 28, 2018, 09:58:09 AM »
Expect a total Dem collapse soon due to Conservatives being given new energy to vote this fall due to the SCOTUS vacancy. The Court is 100% a losing issue for the party.
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