2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please

[BudgieForce]

2 independents are running in ME-2 but we already knew that.

[Ebsy]

Maine is going to have ranked choice voting, so it doesn't really matter.

[Doimper]

https://twitter.com/JamesThompsonKS/status/1025568460456243200

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/JamesThompsonKS/status/1025568460456243200

I cant believe that its possible for the Democrats to have a majority delegation in KS in the year 2019.

Also, Thompson is a personal favorite of mine this cycle, so I wish him the best.

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/JamesThompsonKS/status/1025568460456243200

Since the image is not displaying:

KS-04
Estes (GOP): 42
Thompson (Dem): 38

[junior chįmp]

I cant believe that its possible for the Democrats to have a majority delegation in KS in the year 2019.

Also, Thompson is a personal favorite of mine this cycle, so I wish him the best.

Praise be unto ayatollah Brownback

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/JamesThompsonKS/status/1025568460456243200

Since the image is not displaying:

KS-04
Estes (GOP): 42
Thompson (Dem): 38

If only it weren't from Change Research.

[Kodak]

Don't forget there's still a non-zero chance Ron Estes gets primaried by Ron Estes.

[Pericles]

Those poll results were a letdown, Estes is very likely winning if he's up 4 in a Thompson internal. However Democrats could gain KS-02 and KS-03 if things go their way.

[136or142]

Don't forget there's still a non-zero chance Ron Estes gets primaried by Ron Estes.

Ron M Estes is the real Ron Estes! (At least that's what his web site says.)

[Politician]

https://twitter.com/JamesThompsonKS/status/1025568460456243200

I cant believe that its possible for the Democrats to have a majority delegation in KS in the year 2019.

Also, Thompson is a personal favorite of mine this cycle, so I wish him the best.

Karma for the Republicans creating a 10-3 delegation in NC or a 12-4 delegation in OH; they have to see a red state be majority Democrats.

[VPH]

The 4th could be a dark horse race to follow. Thompson's no longer running in a special election, sure, and Estes has a lot more money now, but Thompson is nonetheless running a stellar campaign. He's just opened an office in the rural Western portion of the district (Pratt County) and has a relatively large pool of volunteers.

[wesmoorenerd]

The 4th could be a dark horse race to follow. Thompson's no longer running in a special election, sure, and Estes has a lot more money now, but Thompson is nonetheless running a stellar campaign. He's just opened an office in the rural Western portion of the district (Pratt County) and has a relatively large pool of volunteers.

Is the Dem in KS-01 remotely competitive then?

[Chief Justice Keef]

Those poll results were a letdown, Estes is very likely winning if he's up 4 in a Thompson internal. However Democrats could gain KS-02 and KS-03 if things go their way.

There's still three months left for Thompson to make up the difference.

[smoltchanov]

The 4th could be a dark horse race to follow. Thompson's no longer running in a special election, sure, and Estes has a lot more money now, but Thompson is nonetheless running a stellar campaign. He's just opened an office in the rural Western portion of the district (Pratt County) and has a relatively large pool of volunteers.

Is the Dem in KS-01 remotely competitive then?

Unlikely....

[136or142]

The 4th could be a dark horse race to follow. Thompson's no longer running in a special election, sure, and Estes has a lot more money now, but Thompson is nonetheless running a stellar campaign. He's just opened an office in the rural Western portion of the district (Pratt County) and has a relatively large pool of volunteers.

Is the Dem in KS-01 remotely competitive then?

Alan La Police is the Democrat running in the Kansas first district, he ran in the district as an independent in 2016.

[smoltchanov]

The 4th could be a dark horse race to follow. Thompson's no longer running in a special election, sure, and Estes has a lot more money now, but Thompson is nonetheless running a stellar campaign. He's just opened an office in the rural Western portion of the district (Pratt County) and has a relatively large pool of volunteers.

Is the Dem in KS-01 remotely competitive then?

Alan La Police is the Democrat running in the Kansas first district, he ran in the district as an independent in 2016.

And - as Republican in 2014 primary....

[VPH]

LaPolice is a better-than-average candidate for the 1st District, but he's no Richard Ojeda or Scott Kleeb. Has raised over $100K, but it's not competitve.

[Greedo punched first]

ME-02 poll: Golden +2

[Ebsy]

DCCC poll of CA-10: All tied up

Denham (GOP): 48
Harder (Dem): 48

Harder winning independents 53-35, Latinos 70-26.

[Gass3268]

DCCC poll of CA-10: All tied up

Denham (GOP): 48
Harder (Dem): 48

Harder winning independents 53-35, Latinos 70-26.

I struggle to see how this is a tie with those crosstab numbers.

[Devout Centrist]

DCCC poll of CA-10: All tied up

Denham (GOP): 48
Harder (Dem): 48

Harder winning independents 53-35, Latinos 70-26.

I struggle to see how this is a tie with those crosstab numbers.

Better to be conservative at this point. With numbers like these, Harder is going to win. Denham has already taken to running positive ads about himself, and Harder's current name rec is rather low.

Looking pretty good thus far!

[Politician]

DCCC poll of CA-10: All tied up

Denham (GOP): 48
Harder (Dem): 48

Harder winning independents 53-35, Latinos 70-26.

Lean D.

[Ebsy]

Democratic internal of Alaska's At Large Congressional District:

Don Young (GOP): 40
Alyse Galvin (Dem): 36

Trump Favorability:
Favorable:  45
Unfavorable: 53

[GeorgiaModerate]

Democratic internal of Alaska's At Large Congressional District:

Don Young (GOP): 40
Alyse Galvin (Dem): 36

Trump Favorability:
Favorable:  45
Unfavorable: 53

Isn't Galvin technically an Independent?