The Bagel23/X Marks the Spot Cellar of Exquisitely Aged Content

[NewYorkExpress]

I don't think it'll reach a Cat 5, and I imagine it'll weaken back to a Cat 3 before landfall, much like Katrina, Ivan etc.

Needless to say Michael didn't weaken.

From the perspective of a Tallahassee resident, Hurricane Michael was a joke. It was no joke in Mexico Beach, but it was a joke here. I'm glad I didn't drive seven hours home in the end. The storm did very minimal damage to Tallahassee overall. My parents and family very much made matters more stressful for me in the buildup to the storm than what I actually experienced, which felt like the equivalent of a Cat 1 or 2 overall.

I'm happy to hear you're okay. I can't wait until we start fighting again...

[Hammy]

I don't think it'll reach a Cat 5, and I imagine it'll weaken back to a Cat 3 before landfall, much like Katrina, Ivan etc.

Needless to say Michael didn't weaken.

From the perspective of a Tallahassee resident, Hurricane Michael was a joke. It was no joke in Mexico Beach, but it was a joke here. I'm glad I didn't drive seven hours home in the end. The storm did very minimal damage to Tallahassee overall. My parents and family very much made matters more stressful for me in the buildup to the storm than what I actually experienced, which felt like the equivalent of a Cat 1 or 2 overall.

How's the tree damage there? Tallahassee doesn't get many storms even close to this strong and from what I've read the area has a lot of older growth forest as a result.

[Politician]

I like how the D hacks have seamlessly transitioned from "Kavanaugh will help the Democrats" to "Kavanaugh will have no effect" to "Kavanaugh will hurt the Democrats but only temporarily."

[Joe Republic]

Donald Trump ending his campaign for the Reform Party nomination in 2000:

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[Atlas Force]

We can toss in Scott Wallace. That poll was brutal this late, when the "wave" is supposedly getting stronger.

[Politician]

I honestly think Van Drew might lose his primary. That's not concern trolling.

[IceSpear]

I can't wait for the Atlas hot takes when she [Heitkamp] wins lol.

[Pericles]

I can't wait for the Atlas hot takes when she [Heitkamp] wins lol.

You can't post that here before the results. Heitkamp is the underdog but it is at the very least possible that she does win.

[YE]

I can't wait for the Atlas hot takes when she [Heitkamp] wins lol.

You can't post that here before the results. Heitkamp is the underdog but it is at the very least possible that she does win.

Heitkamp is done. Keep it real.

[Pericles]

I can't wait for the Atlas hot takes when she [Heitkamp] wins lol.

You can't post that here before the results. Heitkamp is the underdog but it is at the very least possible that she does win.

Heitkamp is done. Keep it real.

Even if it's probable that she loses the election hasn't happened yet so it's foolish to act as if she has already lost and there is 0% chance if her winning because that isn't the case.

[libertpaulian]

I can't wait for the Atlas hot takes when she [Heitkamp] wins lol.

Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's Megacoattails are NO match for Heidi Heitkamp's retail politics!

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

cvparty
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,185
United States

   
Re: Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread
« Reply #1276 on: December 12, 2017, 08:23:13 pm »   

don’t get your hopes up guys

[Mechavada]

Kevin Stitt Drew Edmondson has won the race to be the next governor of Oklahoma. Of course, he'll need to dispense with the token opposition first.

Yeah I hate to say it but the polls don't look that great AND since the Kavanaugh hearing there's been a lot of pushback from GOP voters.  Though, Edmondson has been hitting Stitt pretty hard on his connection with Fallin, which could help him pull off an upset.

But yeah, right now it's probably Advantage Stitt.

[wesmoorenerd]

LOL, Donnelly +23 among Indies. The Marist Crap Show continues.

Ya'll can gloat about that Poll BUT FOX NEWS will have apparently IN-SEN Poll as well @6pm.

[Atlas Force]

Franken and Conyers will not resign.  Thus two more Democrat lifelines to Moore.  How many more will come before the 12th.

Franken says I will change and commit no more sexual assaults.  Trump can say I have have already changed.  Bill Clinton says "change". Who? Me?

Why does the spell feature change Franken to Frankenstein. Clairvoyance?

[Politician]

Face it, Sherrod Brown needs to figure out what his next career move is come January 3rd 2019 because he will be out of a job by then.

[Badger]

Franken and Conyers will not resign.  Thus two more Democrat lifelines to Moore.  How many more will come before the 12th.

Franken says I will change and commit no more sexual assaults.  Trump can say I have have already changed.  Bill Clinton says "change". Who? Me?

Why does the spell feature change Franken to Frankenstein. Clairvoyance?

This is downright adorable.

[Atlas Force]

BRD Polling - https://docs.google.com/document/d/1rlBtiNl6sz02e1WvEy5vNTMm9AtfeyCLe7jvcYyq9RY/edit


Lamb - 47
Saccone - 46
Undecided - 6

Undecideds lean Lamb 50-46 when pushed.

Trump approval above water 50-44
Casey approval below water 38-45 (yikes)
Toomey approval above water 41-34

Looking at the crosstabs, Lamb is in trouble. Trump is above water in this district. All it would take is for him to make a few visits and Saccone got this in the bag.

Oh god. A third person in the Limo-Lear circle jerk.

Btw, very impressive numbera for Casey.

Numbers aren't circle jerks. Trump being at 50 means that all he has to do is reinforce that a vote for Saccone is a vote for him, and presto, Lamb will have to run in the new district and wait his turn.

[Xing]

In the “what race do we have all wrong” thread, I said Nevada.

In the thread about the wave turning into a ripple I was called a joke for calling this Lean R.

I’ll say it again. Nevada is going to the Republicans.

[ON Progressive]

In the “what race do we have all wrong” thread, I said Nevada.

In the thread about the wave turning into a ripple I was called a joke for calling this Lean R.

I’ll say it again. Nevada is going to the Republicans.

This thread will be filled with posts about NV-Sen sooner rather than later lmao.

[Politician]

I say yes if he has great debate performances. The guy is a rising star and MI polls are notoriously bad the last few cycles.  Dems have to be up +5 in the polls for me to actually think they are leading and the latest poll has Debbie +9 with the two debates next week. Also he could do better than expected among African Americans.

[IceSpear]

In the “what race do we have all wrong” thread, I said Nevada.

In the thread about the wave turning into a ripple I was called a joke for calling this Lean R.

I’ll say it again. Nevada is going to the Republicans.

This thread will be filled with posts about NV-Sen sooner rather than later lmao.

I have a lot of bookmarked NV-Sen stupidity to feed into the cellar in a few days.

[Atlas Force]

He was supposed to lose in 2016.

And 2014.

Anyway, if the Democrats underperform in 2018 or focus more on the Sun Belt and the suburbs, this is exactly the kind of district where a Republican incumbent would win reelection.

Blum has really proven to be strong, I think he's favored to win reelection. And if Demcorats go the more Sun Belt/suburban route, that probably helps Blum. I think in the near future, IA-01 becomes more R than IA-03.

[Politician]

I'm making one prediction. 

IL will be Tilt R once Pritzker wins the nom.

[_]

I'm making one prediction. 

IL will be Tilt R once Pritzker wins the nom.

That aged amazingly, especially since I voted for Pritzker.