Rate Colorado in 2020

[Mr. Illini]

And, how far gone do you believe it is for GOP generally?

[Yellowhammer]

Strong Lean D.
As Gardner's 2014 senate win suggests, Colorado probably isn't at the point of no return for the GOP (yet.) I could see Trump pulling out a narrow win, but it isn't very likely.

It would be easier to flip than Virginia, but still a tall order.

[5280]

I think CO is completely done voting GOP in presidential elections for a while due to influx of Democrats from other states. Its gone the way of California. Nevada has a better chance of going GOP.

[Skunk]

If Colorado is voting for the GOP, the Democrats are f**ked.

[Peanut]

Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean. Trump could flip it if he suddenly becomes George Washington, but it's a veeeery slim chance.

[Consciously Unconscious]

Likely D.  While it's certainly within Trump's absolute ceiling, it's very unlikely that he wins it.

[pbrower2a]

And, how far gone do you believe it is for GOP generally?

Likely D, practically a mirror image of West Virginia in its voting pattern.   Fast-growing Hispanic electorate, lots of transplanted Californians among non-Hispanics (so I don't double-count I make that distinction), well-educated white population... it all bodes ill for Republicans as long as Republicans play on contempt for learning.

Mexican-Americans respect formal education about as much as do Asian groups even if they do not have the formal education themselves. They do not want their children to grow up as a permanent underclass.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D

[TDAS04]

Very likely D.

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Safe D

[MT Treasurer]

Somewhere between Likely and Safe D, I went with Safe D though. It’s obviously not as safe as MA/CA/MD/etc., but I’m struggling to come up with a scenario where Trump actually wins the state and doesn’t *just* lose it by 5 poins or less. Sure, it’s more likely to flip than Virginia, but that’s such a low bar it’s meaningless. Clinton was a poor fit for the state and still won it easily, and Trump hasn’t gotten more popular in CO since the election.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Likely D. Sessions attacks on marijuana legalization and the excessive tariffs will destroy trump in this state in 2020.

[Bojack Horseman]

Likely D. I'd say Colorado for the Democrats is about where West Virginia was toward the Republicans in 2004.

[gerritcole]

Safe D - Udall ran a poor campaign in 2014 and was also hurt by the national environment

[tosk]

lean to likely depending on the candidate I think. I think Warren would place it at likely and someone like McAullife would put it lean IMO

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Safe D- Merkley, Castro, Klobuchar
Likely D- Brown, Sanders, Warren, Biden, Booker
Lean D- Gillibrand, Harris, Warner, McAuliffe

[President Johnson]

Safe D- Merkley, Castro, Klobuchar
Likely D- Brown, Sanders, Warren, Biden, Booker
Lean D- Gillibrand, Harris, Warner, McAuliffe

Harris would be likely D at least. I'd also add Bullock to safe D, he's a very good fit for the state.

[Podgy the Bear]

Likely D. I'd say Colorado for the Democrats is about where West Virginia was toward the Republicans in 2004.

I will take a growing Colorado over a dying West Virginia any day.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Likely D.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Likely D.

[IceSpear]

Likely D.  While it's certainly within Trump's absolute ceiling, it's very unlikely that he wins it.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Safe D- Merkley, Castro, Klobuchar
Likely D- Brown, Sanders, Warren, Biden, Booker
Lean D- Gillibrand, Harris, Warner, McAuliffe

Harris would be likely D at least. I'd also add Bullock to safe D, he's a very good fit for the state.

Yeah I forgot about him, he would be an amazing fit.

[Greatblueheron]

Likely D.

[ON Progressive]

I didn't know whether to put it as Likely D or Lean D, so I went with the cautious option.

I don't buy that it's becoming a Democratic version of early 2000s WV like a lot of people are saying in this thread. WV trended 13.1% Republican between 1996 and 2000 and 3.6% Republican between 2000 and 2004. Also, both years had pretty big swings for Bush in the state.

Colorado actually narrowly swung R in 2016 (albeit trended D because the swing was less than the nationwide GOP swing).

In any case, I find it hard to see Trump winning a state like Colorado. As long as the Republicans keep losing Arapahoe by double digits and Jefferson by mid-to-high single digits, it is very difficult to see a win for them here.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Safe D. Gardner flailing for his life is the only reason Republicans shouldn't triage this state.