What were Trump's best highly educated counties?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2024, 04:51:55 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  What were Trump's best highly educated counties?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: What were Trump's best highly educated counties?  (Read 4179 times)
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,068


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 06, 2018, 12:21:16 PM »

What highly educated counties (say at least 40% college graduates) did Trump win or at least do well in?
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,014
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 06, 2018, 12:48:37 PM »

Of the 25 most educated counties in the US (bachelor's degree or higher), Trump won the following:

9. Douglas, CO (56.5%): 54.8% GOP, 36.7% DEM
10. Hamilton, IN (56.3%): 56.8% GOP, 37.2% DEM
11. Williamson, TN (56.1%): 65.1% GOP, 29.6% DEM
20. Morris, NJ (53.0%): 50.4% GOP, 46.0% DEM
21. Johnson, KS (52.8%): 47.9% GOP, 45.2% DEM
24. Delaware, OH (52.2%): 55.6% GOP, 39.5% DEM

http://www.decisionsciencenews.com/2016/04/15/educated-counties-us/
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 06, 2018, 12:54:39 PM »
« Edited: July 06, 2018, 12:58:33 PM by MT Treasurer »

He also did relatively well in Ozaukee, WI and Waukesha, WI. Sure, he underperformed Romney by quite a bit, but most of the D swing can be attributed to high third party support.
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,014
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 06, 2018, 01:11:00 PM »

For comparison, he fared a little better in the nation's 25 wealthiest (by median household income) counties:

4. Hunterdon, NJ ($113,684): 54.6% GOP, 40.8% DEM
7. Douglas, CO ($109,292): 54.8% GOP, 36.7% DEM
9. Morris, NJ ($106,985): 50.4% GOP, 46.0% DEM
10. Williamson, TN ($106,054): 65.1% GOP, 29.6% DEM
15. Delaware, OH ($101,693): 55.6% GOP, 39.5% DEM
16. Forsyth, GA ($100,909): 71.7% GOP, 24.1% DEM
18. Calvert, MD ($98,732): 56.8% GOP, 38.4% DEM
20. Stafford, VA ($97,484): 51.8% GOP, 42.7% DEM
21. Putnam, NY ($96,992): 57.1% GOP, 39.3% DEM
24. Rockwall, TX ($95,731): 71.8% GOP, 24.4% DEM

He also almost won Anne Arundel, MD ($96,483), but he lost by about 2,000 votes.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,173
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 09, 2018, 12:38:34 AM »

Utah, UT for sure.
Logged
TheElectoralBoobyPrize
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,525


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2018, 11:42:20 PM »

Shelby County, AL is the best-educated county in AL....41% having a bachelor's degree or higher. Trump won 72% there. He also won the next best-educated county (39% with a bachelor's degree or higher)...Madison...with 55%.
Logged
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 19, 2018, 04:43:11 PM »

Shelby County, AL is the best-educated county in AL....41% having a bachelor's degree or higher. Trump won 72% there. He also won the next best-educated county (39% with a bachelor's degree or higher)...Madison...with 55%.
Good answer. Perhaps Rankin, MS is similar? Livingston, MI (adjacent to and "further out" than Oakland) is wealthy and well-educated, and voted 62-33 Trump.
Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,068


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 19, 2018, 05:43:37 PM »

Only 33% of Livingston County residents have college degrees.  It may have the highest median HH income of any county in Michigan, but that's because it's a far-out homogeneous exurb with virtually nothing but SFHs.
Logged
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 20, 2018, 01:32:37 PM »

Only 33% of Livingston County residents have college degrees.  It may have the highest median HH income of any county in Michigan, but that's because it's a far-out homogeneous exurb with virtually nothing but SFHs.
And about 40% of households have 3 or more vehicles.
Logged
Ohioguy29
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 532


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 21, 2018, 01:06:33 AM »

U.S. census bureau says that 41% of people 25+ in Warren County, Ohio have a bachelor degree or higher. Trump won there by almost 40 points (65.6%/28.5%.) That's a bit closer than normal due to third party voting, but there wasn't any real Democratic swing (and Clinton actually got a lower percentage of the vote than Obama did.)
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2018, 08:06:12 AM »

10. Hamilton, IN (56.3%): 56.8% GOP, 37.2% DEM

McMansions and roundabouts. Trump country through and through.
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,014
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 25, 2018, 08:32:59 AM »

10. Hamilton, IN (56.3%): 56.8% GOP, 37.2% DEM

McMansions and roundabouts. Trump country through and through.

LOL, you wouldn't know that by listening to Atlas' obsession with Trends™, though.  Plenty of educated and wealthy places voted for Trump QUITE comfortably.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 25, 2018, 08:45:05 AM »

10. Hamilton, IN (56.3%): 56.8% GOP, 37.2% DEM

McMansions and roundabouts. Trump country through and through.

LOL, you wouldn't know that by listening to Atlas' obsession with Trends™, though.  Plenty of educated and wealthy places voted for Trump QUITE comfortably.

Look no further than the Indianapolis Halo. They looooove Trump. (There are grumblings, though. Stay tuned...)
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 25, 2018, 04:55:48 PM »

10. Hamilton, IN (56.3%): 56.8% GOP, 37.2% DEM

McMansions and roundabouts. Trump country through and through.

LOL, you wouldn't know that by listening to Atlas' obsession with Trends™, though.  Plenty of educated and wealthy places voted for Trump QUITE comfortably.

No, the surroundings would be Trump country, not the county that massively swung D, lol.

Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 25, 2018, 07:27:57 PM »

10. Hamilton, IN (56.3%): 56.8% GOP, 37.2% DEM

McMansions and roundabouts. Trump country through and through.

LOL, you wouldn't know that by listening to Atlas' obsession with Trends™, though.  Plenty of educated and wealthy places voted for Trump QUITE comfortably.

No, the surroundings would be Trump country, not the county that massively swung D, lol.



Shotguns and pickup trucks will always out-Trump McMansions and roundabouts.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 25, 2018, 08:06:15 PM »

10. Hamilton, IN (56.3%): 56.8% GOP, 37.2% DEM

McMansions and roundabouts. Trump country through and through.

LOL, you wouldn't know that by listening to Atlas' obsession with Trends™, though.  Plenty of educated and wealthy places voted for Trump QUITE comfortably.

No, the surroundings would be Trump country, not the county that massively swung D, lol.



Shotguns and pickup trucks will always out-Trump McMansions and roundabouts.

No! They're Democrats at heart! Wink
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 25, 2018, 08:20:41 PM »

10. Hamilton, IN (56.3%): 56.8% GOP, 37.2% DEM

McMansions and roundabouts. Trump country through and through.

LOL, you wouldn't know that by listening to Atlas' obsession with Trends™, though.  Plenty of educated and wealthy places voted for Trump QUITE comfortably.

No, the surroundings would be Trump country, not the county that massively swung D, lol.



Shotguns and pickup trucks will always out-Trump McMansions and roundabouts.

No! They're Democrats at heart! Wink

1976 called, wants to know what's your 2-0, good buddy?
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,014
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 31, 2018, 02:40:40 PM »

10. Hamilton, IN (56.3%): 56.8% GOP, 37.2% DEM

McMansions and roundabouts. Trump country through and through.

LOL, you wouldn't know that by listening to Atlas' obsession with Trends™, though.  Plenty of educated and wealthy places voted for Trump QUITE comfortably.

No, the surroundings would be Trump country, not the county that massively swung D, lol.



Don't know why I'm indulging this, but I never said the phrase "Trump Country," and I didn't say anything about any swings.  I said plenty of educated and wealthy places voted for Trump "quite comfortably," which the suburbs of Indianapolis did.  Didn't say by more than they voted for Romney.
Logged
All Along The Watchtower
Progressive Realist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,475
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 01, 2018, 12:44:24 AM »

You mean "least-bad."
Logged
mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 01, 2018, 09:09:36 AM »


Well, apparently Trump won 42% of college graduates and 52% of non college graduates, so the gap isn't that huge actually. And since college graduates turn out more than non college graduates your average Trump voter might actually be more educated than your average American. Let that sink in lol.

It seems like wealthy and educated counties have always been more Democratic than actual wealthy and educated people. Romney won 54% of voters earning more than $100k and 48% of college graduates, yet Obama probably won more than half of the wealthiest counties and the vast majority of the most educated counties. Maybe inequality plays a role in these places?

What's even more baffling is the swing in the wealthiest towns. Sure, wealthy counties trended against Trump but Trump usually lost only 5-10% there. There are a lot of places with a median household income of over $200k where Trump lost more than 20% compared to Romney. Darien (loads of Wall Street bankers) went from 65% Romney to 41% Trump. Atherton (wealthiest town in the US) went from 52% Romney to 26% Trump. This while Trump didn't lose out that much with voters earning more than $250k compared to Romney (55% vs 48%). The wealthiest towns obviously are disproportionally located near big cities, so I guess the people working there are much likely to be either professionals in liberal-leaning sectors or people working in very globalized sectors. Your lawyer making $250k probably was a loyal Democrat anyway. The banker making more than $250k probably was a Romney-Clinton voter. But I imagine a wealthy small business owner or a wealthy physician in a mid-sized city was much less appalled by Trump's anti-globalism because they wouldn't really be hurt by it.
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,014
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 01, 2018, 10:56:30 AM »


Well, apparently Trump won 42% of college graduates and 52% of non college graduates, so the gap isn't that huge actually. And since college graduates turn out more than non college graduates your average Trump voter might actually be more educated than your average American. Let that sink in lol.

It seems like wealthy and educated counties have always been more Democratic than actual wealthy and educated people. Romney won 54% of voters earning more than $100k and 48% of college graduates, yet Obama probably won more than half of the wealthiest counties and the vast majority of the most educated counties. Maybe inequality plays a role in these places?

What's even more baffling is the swing in the wealthiest towns. Sure, wealthy counties trended against Trump but Trump usually lost only 5-10% there. There are a lot of places with a median household income of over $200k where Trump lost more than 20% compared to Romney. Darien (loads of Wall Street bankers) went from 65% Romney to 41% Trump. Atherton (wealthiest town in the US) went from 52% Romney to 26% Trump. This while Trump didn't lose out that much with voters earning more than $250k compared to Romney (55% vs 48%). The wealthiest towns obviously are disproportionally located near big cities, so I guess the people working there are much likely to be either professionals in liberal-leaning sectors or people working in very globalized sectors. Your lawyer making $250k probably was a loyal Democrat anyway. The banker making more than $250k probably was a Romney-Clinton voter. But I imagine a wealthy small business owner or a wealthy physician in a mid-sized city was much less appalled by Trump's anti-globalism because they wouldn't really be hurt by it.

One factor is upper middle class people in wealthy (read: often expensive) counties probably don't FEEL upper middle class at all.  But it's easier to just say wealthy county voted Democrat, poor county voted Republican, rich people are becoming Democrats and poor people are becoming Republicans because 1) it's simple, and we like simple stories and 2) it strokes red avatars' egos that being a part of their party, like, says something about who you are or blah blah blah, LOL.
Logged
mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 01, 2018, 11:23:13 AM »


Well, apparently Trump won 42% of college graduates and 52% of non college graduates, so the gap isn't that huge actually. And since college graduates turn out more than non college graduates your average Trump voter might actually be more educated than your average American. Let that sink in lol.

It seems like wealthy and educated counties have always been more Democratic than actual wealthy and educated people. Romney won 54% of voters earning more than $100k and 48% of college graduates, yet Obama probably won more than half of the wealthiest counties and the vast majority of the most educated counties. Maybe inequality plays a role in these places?

What's even more baffling is the swing in the wealthiest towns. Sure, wealthy counties trended against Trump but Trump usually lost only 5-10% there. There are a lot of places with a median household income of over $200k where Trump lost more than 20% compared to Romney. Darien (loads of Wall Street bankers) went from 65% Romney to 41% Trump. Atherton (wealthiest town in the US) went from 52% Romney to 26% Trump. This while Trump didn't lose out that much with voters earning more than $250k compared to Romney (55% vs 48%). The wealthiest towns obviously are disproportionally located near big cities, so I guess the people working there are much likely to be either professionals in liberal-leaning sectors or people working in very globalized sectors. Your lawyer making $250k probably was a loyal Democrat anyway. The banker making more than $250k probably was a Romney-Clinton voter. But I imagine a wealthy small business owner or a wealthy physician in a mid-sized city was much less appalled by Trump's anti-globalism because they wouldn't really be hurt by it.

One factor is upper middle class people in wealthy (read: often expensive) counties probably don't FEEL upper middle class at all.  But it's easier to just say wealthy county voted Democrat, poor county voted Republican, rich people are becoming Democrats and poor people are becoming Republicans because 1) it's simple, and we like simple stories and 2) it strokes red avatars' egos that being a part of their party, like, says something about who you are or blah blah blah, LOL.

That's true btw. Especially in big cities you have people who make a decent amount of money, but aren't actually wealthy because of high student debt and high rents. But still, that doesn't explain why 90% of really wealthy Romney voters supported Trump while Trump lost more than a third of Romney voters in extremely wealthy towns. I'm specifically talking about really wealthy towns (look at Bloomberg's top 100 wealthiest towns for example), not counties like Fairfax or Hunterdon. I still think it has to do with the fact that these people in extremely wealthy towns mainly work in finance or atleast are heavily connected with the rest of the world in a way a physician or wealthy small business owner in Alabama or Kansas isn't.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 02, 2018, 04:01:44 AM »

^That exit poll was so flawless and beautiful I literally orgasmed on the spot.
Logged
mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 02, 2018, 07:30:52 AM »

^That exit poll was so flawless and beautiful I literally orgasmed on the spot.

I partially orgasmed when I saw the NJ gubernatioral election exit polls. NJ cucks massively voted for Hillary clone Phil Murphy but it's good to know that half of people making more than $200k (and 49% of white female college graduates!) rejected feminism and open borders and proudly joined the deplorable army Smiley.
Logged
mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 02, 2018, 08:18:16 AM »

^That exit poll was so flawless and beautiful I literally orgasmed on the spot.

I partially orgasmed when I saw the NJ gubernatioral election exit polls. NJ cucks massively voted for Hillary clone Phil Murphy but it's good to know that half of people making more than $200k (and 49% of white female college graduates!) rejected feminism and open borders and proudly joined the deplorable army Smiley.

I'm sorry man, don't feel too bad. ED and inability to finish are common among RINOs

Yes. I guess the climax will come when we win Darien against Bernie in 2020. Or 2024 Cry.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.067 seconds with 14 queries.