Your Bold 2018 Senate Predictions

[Senator Cris]

The title says all.

[libertpaulian]

Cruz wins by single digits.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Democrats take the Senate by holding all their seats, and taking Nevada + Arizona.

Nelson and McCaskill win by double digits.

[BlueDogs2020]

Manchin wins by double digits and Ojeda by single digits.
Sinema wins by double digits.

[Yellowhammer]

Scott will win by more than Trump did.
McCaskill will win by 8 or 9 points.
Bob Menendez will win by high single digits.

[MT Treasurer]

Menendez wins by a landslide.
Bill Nelson underperforms badly (wins narrowly in a D wave, but loses if Republicans even slightly outperform expectations).
Tester wins, but the race is closer than expected and he does worse than Manchin/Baldwin/Brown/etc.
Casey wins by more than Stabenow.
Heller loses by high single digits, and does worse than any of the Republicans running against D incumbents in Romney states.
Smith wins by more than Hyde-Smith.

[Rhenna]

Nelson loses.
Menendez vs Hugin is Warner vs Gillespie 2.0.
Rosendale comes within 2-3 points of Tester.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Brown won't win by double digits.

[here2view]

Nelson loses by more than 5.
McCaskill wins by high single digits.
Menendez wins by double digits.

[Zaybay]

Nelson underpreforms and wins by 3 points.
Tester overpreforms and wins by 10 points.
Heller keeps the race close, but still loses.
Sinema only wins by 5 points.
Heitkamp wins by an unexpectedly modest margin.
Braun turns out to be a mediocre candidate and loses to Donnelly.


AUSTIN PETERSEN, GOD IN FLESH, WINS THE PRIMARY AND GOES ON TO WIN THE ELECTION BY 26 POINTS AND WE ALL HAIL GRAVIS AS THE ONE TRUE POLLSTER. /s

[Zaybay]

Nelson underpreforms and wins by 3 points.
Tester overpreforms and wins by 10 points.
Heller keeps the race close, but still loses.
Sinema only wins by 5 points.
Heitkamp wins by an unexpectedly modest margin.
Braun turns out to be a mediocre candidate and loses to Donnelly.
Menendez doesnt overpreform or underpreform and it turns out no one cares about his scandal.

AUSTIN PETERSEN, GOD IN FLESH, WINS THE PRIMARY AND GOES ON TO WIN THE ELECTION BY 26 POINTS AND WE ALL HAIL GRAVIS AS THE ONE TRUE POLLSTER. /s

[Pragmatic Conservative]

-Democrats win Arizona by more then Nevada but both races are decided by more then 3 points.
-Republicans win 4/5 of WV, IN, MO, MT, and ND losing the other by under by 3 points. Republicans don't pick up any other seats.
-Nelson wins re-election by less then 3 points.
-Republicans hold Texas and Tennessee by more then 5 points.
 

[Vern]

Democrats win AZ and NV by more than 5 points.
Cruz wins by more than 15 points
Republican win FL, IN, MO and MT
TN is closer than MO

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

Raybould wins Sherman County, and wins 55-45 in Douglas and Lancaster counties.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

1) Rs win both TX and TN. TX is closer.
2) Claire McCaskill wins re-election by at least 10%, is formally coronated as Queen of the Senate Democratic Caucus.
3) IN-SEN is the closest Senate race.
4) After Ds narrowly re-take the Senate (or maybe if it is tied) at least one of Collins/Murkowski switches party to Independent and caucuses with the Democrats.
5) De Leon does not win a single county in CA against Feinstein.
6) In the week or so before election day, Republicans attempt to distract with a counter-narrative claiming that they can win WI-SEN, and release a few internal polls showing it somewhat close. But this turns out to be hot air and they get crushed.

[TarHeelDem]

-Dems defend all their seats.
-Dems win Tennessee.
-Texas isn't called until very late in the night.

[IceSpear]

1) Rs win both TX and TN.

Only on this forum would this be considered a bold prediction, lol.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

1) Rs win both TX and TN.

Only on this forum would this be considered a bold prediction, lol.

You left out the part where I said that TX is closer. That is supposed to be the "bold" part of the prediction, given that TN is generally seen as a better pickup opportunity for Democrats than Texas.

[IceSpear]

1) Rs win both TX and TN.

Only on this forum would this be considered a bold prediction, lol.

You left out the part where I said that TX is closer. That is supposed to be the "bold" part of the prediction, given that TN is generally seen as a better pickup opportunity for Democrats than Texas.

Oh, my bad.

Honestly, a lot of the "bold predictions" in this thread are more or less the same as the conventional wisdom, i.e. not bold at all.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Democrats win TN while Republicans win FL

[NewYorkExpress]

Cruz, Blackburn, Nelson, Manchin and Donnelly all lose.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

- Leah Vukmir wins by 5%
- Three congressional districts in Connecticut go R because of Malloy
- Dean Heller defeats the Harry Reid machine yet again and easily wins
- Manchin easily wins, then switches to the Republican party
- Heitkamp is losing in the polls by 5, then wins on election day by 7
- Don Young of Alaska-All loses reelection
- All republicans in Oklahoma are defeated, some to socialist democrats
- TX-13, a heavily urban & hispanic district, goes D

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cruz, Blackburn, Nelson, Manchin and Donnelly all lose.

Too bold!

[IceSpear]

- Leah Vukmir wins by 5%
- Three congressional districts in Connecticut go R because of Malloy
- Dean Heller defeats the Harry Reid machine yet again and easily wins
- Manchin easily wins, then switches to the Republican party
- Heitkamp is losing in the polls by 5, then wins on election day by 7
- Don Young of Alaska-All loses reelection
- All republicans in Oklahoma are defeated, some to socialist democrats
- TX-13, a heavily urban & hispanic district, goes D

Republicans will make up for TX-13 by winning NY-14. Ocasio Cortez is too far left for this urban cosmopolitan neoliberal district.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

- Leah Vukmir wins by 5%
- Three congressional districts in Connecticut go R because of Malloy
- Dean Heller defeats the Harry Reid machine yet again and easily wins
- Manchin easily wins, then switches to the Republican party
- Heitkamp is losing in the polls by 5, then wins on election day by 7
- Don Young of Alaska-All loses reelection
- All republicans in Oklahoma are defeated, some to socialist democrats
- TX-13, a heavily urban & hispanic district, goes D

Republicans will make up for TX-13 by winning NY-14. Ocasio Cortez is too far left for this urban cosmopolitan neoliberal district.

Actually, they will make up for it by winning Vermont-All, which is a heavily white & rural district (republican's main demographic).