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  MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
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Author Topic: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9  (Read 1833 times)
Gass3268
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« on: June 28, 2018, 05:58:40 pm »

Jim Newberger: 37%
Amy Klobuchar: 57%
Undecided: 6%

Karin Housley: 39%
Tina Smith: 48%
Undecided: 13%

From a poll commissioned by Outstate.us (Libertarian website)
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2018, 05:59:14 pm »

MN is safe
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#Kavanaugh For Prison
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« Reply #2 on: June 28, 2018, 05:59:23 pm »

*Smith+9
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: June 28, 2018, 06:00:05 pm »


Fixed
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Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: June 28, 2018, 06:23:10 pm »

But muh weak Lean D MN special race :0 /s. Klobuchar is safe and Smith is strong Likely D.
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Sensitive Soccer Moms Against Impeachment
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« Reply #5 on: June 28, 2018, 06:25:07 pm »

Obviously a Lean D race, definitely flips before MT or WI
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #6 on: June 29, 2018, 02:22:05 am »

#KlobucharUnder60
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: June 29, 2018, 10:07:03 am »

New Poll: Minnesota Senator by BK Strategies on 2018-06-25

Summary: D: 57%, R: 37%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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PA is Lean D
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« Reply #8 on: June 29, 2018, 11:53:58 am »


Are you going to put the Marist polls and Pennsylvania Senate poll in as well?
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RoboWop
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« Reply #9 on: June 29, 2018, 04:56:33 pm »

Safe & Likely, with the special being far more variable as we don't know much about either candidate yet.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #10 on: June 29, 2018, 05:35:47 pm »

Safe & Likely, with the special being far more variable as we don't know much about either candidate yet.

I actually think that the special election is closer to Safe at this point, though Smith will obviously underperform Klobuchar by quite a bit. Will Klobuchar manage to crack 60%?
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Former Kentuckian
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« Reply #11 on: June 29, 2018, 07:52:28 pm »

Safe & Likely, with the special being far more variable as we don't know much about either candidate yet.

I actually think that the special election is closer to Safe at this point, though Smith will obviously underperform Klobuchar by quite a bit. Will Klobuchar manage to crack 60%?

Probably. She won 65% in her 2012 election and she consistently has among the highest approval ratings in the Senate. Newberger will be the Republican nominee this year and he's an absolute joke who can't stop saying dumb stuff. She'll destroy him.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #12 on: June 29, 2018, 07:57:43 pm »

New Poll: Minnesota Senator (Special) by BK Strategies on 2018-06-25

Summary: D: 48%, R: 39%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: June 29, 2018, 11:35:39 pm »


Are you going to put the Marist polls and Pennsylvania Senate poll in as well?

Not for now.

I'm only focusing on states which have no polls entered so far. The polls will only start getting interesting and meanigful in early October anyway.

And because there are no more elections in Austria this year, I will have some time to follow the US-midterms more closely starting in September or October. I can enter some polls then.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #14 on: June 30, 2018, 04:01:11 am »

Both are safe Democratic. I think that Smith will underperform Klobuchar by less than 10%.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #15 on: June 30, 2018, 08:40:08 am »

The website is a Republican site, so they’re probably underestimating Dem support. The very little known website is basically fully funded by Stewart Mills, Rick Nolan’s Republican opponent in 2014 and 2016.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #16 on: July 01, 2018, 04:05:21 pm »

Double digit swing against Klobuchar from 2012. Only a matter of time before Minnesota is titanium R.
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Sentor MAINEiac4434 of Lincoln
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« Reply #17 on: July 09, 2018, 04:37:28 pm »

Barring a scandal, Tina Smith is, has always been and will remain completely safe.
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