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July 19, 2019, 11:32:24 am
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  Gravis Marketing - TX-Sen: Cruz Leads 51-42 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Gravis Marketing - TX-Sen: Cruz Leads 51-42  (Read 1233 times)
Arkansas Yankee
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« on: July 09, 2018, 02:41:03 pm »

Only a single-digit lead for Cruz from Sad-vis? Wow!
Stop worrying about Cruz.  He leads by 9 in an alleged Democrat waive year.  Looks pretty good to me. He will win by double digits.

You folks say Manchin is in good shape at +7 in a Democrat year.  But you say Cruz is weak at +9. Give me a break.

You need to start worrying about Nelson.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2018, 07:42:19 pm »

Looking at the Civiqs poll and Gravis, Ive started to notice terrible problems in this Gravis's methodology(what else is new).

Looking at how things are broken down by race

Gravis:D/R
Whites-40/54
AA- 66/33
Latinos-31/59
Asians-63/36

Civiqs: D/R
Whites-29/65
AA-78/14
Latinos-70/25
Asians not shown

The fact that Gravis shows Latinos as lean R, African Americans as a 2/3s group, and Whites as almost even makes me lose hope that this poll really is good.
Civiqs however has pretty believable demographic numbers, though I wish that they showed Asians.

Good analysis of Gravis poll.  The poll is sort of odd.

Civiqs seems an outlier.  But maybe it is on to a revolution.

Before I judge any more polls I want to see how Ohio 12 plays out in August.

The Marist and YoUGove polls in Florida at about the same date with such different results is disturbing.

Are there realignments going on that are hard to poll?

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