Abbott is bound to win, but Im surprised he has only been leading by a small percentage. Valdez is pretty bad, so I think this shows that D voters are becoming more ineleastic than before.
The best chance for Ds to get in the state gov is to focus on the AG and Lt. races TBH.
I think they lose them all. But the Democrats will only lose LG by a 53-47 margin. The GOP machine of TX will probably then realize that people like Dan Patrick are not going to be a part of the winning formula after 2018.
Im not so sure. TX has been weird in polling this cycle. Abott is really popular, even among Democrats, and Valdez is, well, bad. But the margin is always smaller than I expect. Abott should win with a margin of 60-40, but this race looks more like a 55-45 race. Could be that TX is experiencing the blue wave in a larger magnitude than thought? Im not sure.
The Lt. Gov though, is hated. Like, really hated. Many R suburbanites came out against him in the primary, and he has faced criticism a lot for his choices in gov. If he wins, it will be close, 51-49, but he has the greatest chance to lose.
Also, did they also release the senate data, cause boy, do pollsters like to rate that race, instead of MO, IN, TN, ND, MT, NV...etc.
