Civiqs: Cruz +2 (user search)
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  Civiqs: Cruz +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Civiqs: Cruz +2  (Read 4838 times)
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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Posts: 10,176
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« on: July 10, 2018, 10:38:36 AM »

interesting cruz gets 14% of blacks. can anyone explain (call me crazy, but I don't think Candace is doing it)

They are lots of black conservatives in Texas.....lots of Latino conservatives in Texas as well......
They are not all on the Democratic Party's constituency.

The Black vote is most Democratic in the Deep South and Northern Cities; in the Outer South and the Midwest, it tends to be more 80/20 rather than 90/10 or 95/5.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,176
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 10, 2018, 04:18:19 PM »

The Black vote is most Democratic in the Deep South and Northern Cities; in the Outer South and the Midwest, it tends to be more 80/20 rather than 90/10 or 95/5.

What actual evidence is there that the black vote is 80/20 or so in the Outer South/Midwest?

Take a look at the exit polls from 2004 & 2016 (Obama got a lot of Black Republicans, plus he turned out a lot of infrequent Black voters so it's a bit hard to use 2008 and 2012 data):

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/OH/P/00/epolls.0.html
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/PA/P/00/epolls.0.html
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/TX/P/00/epolls.0.html
https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/texas/president
https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/indiana/president

... okay I was wrong. Maybe it's more accurate to say 85/15 or 85/10/5.
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