SurveyMonkey senate poll (FL, IN, ND, NV, AZ, TN, WV, MT, and more): R+1

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TN is a tossup, and there hasnt been recent polling. TN is a conservative state. I think Blackburn is up 3-5 points

[IceSpear]

Other polls, such as the respected Mason-Dixon (which is a quality pollster in the South), has shown Bredesen+3.

...3 months ago.

[Kodak]

Other polls, such as the respected Mason-Dixon (which is a quality pollster in the South), has shown Bredesen+3.

...3 months ago.

Not much has changed to affect the race since May, though. There was a string of polls in April and May that all showed Bredesen ahead, and since then the national environment has only become more D-friendly and Blackburn has done almost no campaigning or ad spending. Unless Trump's endorsement caused a 17-point swing, there is no reason Blackburn should be up by this much, even if the older polls overestimated Bredesen's strength.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The problem is Dianne Black and the GOP primary in the Gov race isnt making things any easier for Blackburn