Will Heidi Heitkamp win reelection?
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  Will Heidi Heitkamp win reelection?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Your choose
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Total Voters: 95

Author Topic: Will Heidi Heitkamp win reelection?  (Read 2244 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #25 on: July 19, 2018, 12:52:25 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 16, 2018, 06:13:52 PM
People will keep underestimating her like always, so I’d say yes. ND voters vote based on personality and charisma, and why would a strong incumbent like Heitkamp lose in a D wave year? Lean D for now.
i think it honestly has something to do with being a woman
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #26 on: July 19, 2018, 01:07:01 PM »
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on July 19, 2018, 12:52:25 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 16, 2018, 06:13:52 PM
People will keep underestimating her like always, so I’d say yes. ND voters vote based on personality and charisma, and why would a strong incumbent like Heitkamp lose in a D wave year? Lean D for now.
i think it honestly has something to do with being a woman

I've noticed a trend of Atlas severely underestimating female candidates. I wonder why an overwhelmingly white male board might underestimate female candidates? 🤔🤔🤔
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Mycool
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« Reply #27 on: July 19, 2018, 02:25:41 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on July 19, 2018, 01:07:01 PM
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on July 19, 2018, 12:52:25 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 16, 2018, 06:13:52 PM
People will keep underestimating her like always, so I’d say yes. ND voters vote based on personality and charisma, and why would a strong incumbent like Heitkamp lose in a D wave year? Lean D for now.
i think it honestly has something to do with being a woman

I've noticed a trend of Atlas severely underestimating female candidates. I wonder why an overwhelmingly white male board might underestimate female candidates? 🤔🤔🤔
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #28 on: July 19, 2018, 02:38:12 PM »
Too early to tell, but the fundamentals are good for her and she’s getting outside help, too. Will be very competitive, but I lean towards yes
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IceSpear
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« Reply #29 on: July 19, 2018, 04:14:08 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 19, 2018, 01:40:29 PM
Quote from: ON Progressive on July 19, 2018, 01:07:01 PM
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on July 19, 2018, 12:52:25 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 16, 2018, 06:13:52 PM
People will keep underestimating her like always, so I’d say yes. ND voters vote based on personality and charisma, and why would a strong incumbent like Heitkamp lose in a D wave year? Lean D for now.
i think it honestly has something to do with being a woman

I've noticed a trend of Atlas severely underestimating female candidates. I wonder why an overwhelmingly white male board might underestimate female candidates? 🤔🤔🤔

imo Jacky Rosen and Heidi Heitkamp would lose even in a massive D tsunami imo

imo Blackburn would lose even in a Hillary midterm R tsunami against Unbeatable Titan Phil Bredesen imo
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Fargobison
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« Reply #30 on: July 19, 2018, 10:28:24 PM »
She would lose if the election was held today, she has a tougher opponent in Cramer if she does win it will be by a razor thin margin.
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cinyc
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« Reply #31 on: July 19, 2018, 10:46:31 PM »
« Edited: July 19, 2018, 10:49:46 PM by cinyc »
Heitkamp barely won in 2012. I wouldn't be surprised if she loses this time, but nothing is guaranteed this far out. Toss-up/slight lean R at this time.

Here's an interactive map of the 2012 ND precinct vote in non-Atlas Colors.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #32 on: July 20, 2018, 01:15:41 AM »
Quote from: cinyc on July 19, 2018, 10:46:31 PM
Heitkamp barely won in 2012. I wouldn't be surprised if she loses this time, but nothing is guaranteed this far out. Toss-up/slight lean R at this time.

Here's an interactive map of the 2012 ND precinct vote in non-Atlas Colors.
wow, thats really cool, nice job!
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Hammy
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« Reply #33 on: July 20, 2018, 01:43:15 AM »
No. North Dakota and Indiana are the two Dem seats that I feel have a high likelihood of flipping.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #34 on: July 20, 2018, 03:07:10 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 16, 2018, 06:13:52 PM
People will keep underestimating her like always, so I’d say yes. ND voters vote based on personality and charisma, and why would a strong incumbent like Heitkamp lose in a D wave year? Lean D for now.
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cp
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« Reply #35 on: July 20, 2018, 03:09:47 AM »
She's a proven formidable campaigner, charming as hell, a good fit for the ND electorate, experienced/incumbent, well-funded, and tied in the polls 3 months out ...

I mean, of course it's possible she could lose, but her position is as enviable as it could be right now and there's far more reason to believe the overall environment will improve for her than the opposite.

I'd wager she wins 52 -48
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