Renacci closing Gap in OH Senate Race (R) (Brown +4)
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  Renacci closing Gap in OH Senate Race (R) (Brown +4)
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Author Topic: Renacci closing Gap in OH Senate Race (R) (Brown +4)  (Read 1334 times)
terp40hitch
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« on: July 16, 2018, 02:29:01 PM »
« edited: July 16, 2018, 02:30:16 PM by Brittain33 »

http://www.wethepeopleconvention.org/ohio-2018-general-election-poll-results/

Rep. Jim Renacci in new polls in Ohio are showing a statistical tie between him and Senator Brown. This is the second poll in two weeks that show this race moving to become a tossup. The other poll is https://www.axios.com/2018-midterms-senate-races-voter-assumptions-poll-513a1291-9e61-4ffb-b4da-fae0a2b1373a.html which shows it as a tossup with likely voters
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2018, 02:30:34 PM »

Tea Party organization press release with bonus decimals.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2018, 02:31:47 PM »

A Tea Party poll with a blatant Republican bias (like calling other polls from credible outlets fake just because Brown is ahead more in them) and zero track record still can't find Brown behind? LMAO. Likely D.
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Doimper
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2018, 02:32:02 PM »

There is no such thing as a "statistical tie".
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2018, 02:33:01 PM »

This sounds about right, Brown was never going to win by 12 points or whatever, he will win by 6-7.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: July 16, 2018, 02:34:09 PM »

Not a credible poll.
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #6 on: July 16, 2018, 02:35:48 PM »

This sounds about right, Brown was never going to win by 12 points or whatever, he will win by 6-7.
I work with the campaign (So I may be a little bias), I think it will be around Brown +3 to +5 near the end. Most polls so far showing Brown up by +10 are because how little Renacci is known around the state so I do think by election day it will become much tighter.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: July 16, 2018, 02:36:42 PM »

Why didn't you put the name of the poll in the title?

"TEA PARTY POLL" Haha

Also the company that they claimed commissioned the poll, TRZ Communication, has nothing on their website about polling.

I could be wrong, but until evidence proves otherwise this feels like a fake poll.
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #8 on: July 16, 2018, 02:39:08 PM »

Why didn't you put the name of the poll in the title?

"TEA PARTY POLL" Haha

Also the company that they claimed commissioned the poll, TRZ Communication, has nothing on their website about polling.

I could be wrong, but until evidence proves otherwise this feels like a fake poll.
It may not be credible but I do see a trend with the polls in recent weeks showing it going into single digits, the two polls I put up were the most recent but it has become much tighter in recent weeks since Renacci and Republican PACs started putting tv ads on the air.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: July 16, 2018, 02:42:04 PM »

Why didn't you put the name of the poll in the title?

"TEA PARTY POLL" Haha

Also the company that they claimed commissioned the poll, TRZ Communication, has nothing on their website about polling.

I could be wrong, but until evidence proves otherwise this feels like a fake poll.
It may not be credible but I do see a trend with the polls in recent weeks showing it going into single digits, the two polls I put up were the most recent but it has become much tighter in recent weeks since Renacci and Republican PACs started putting tv ads on the air.

So the other poll is from D- Survey Monkey?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #10 on: July 16, 2018, 03:59:50 PM »

This sounds about right, Brown was never going to win by 12 points or whatever, he will win by 6-7.

But hasn't every Ohio Senate race of the last 15 years turned into a blowout at the end?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: July 16, 2018, 04:01:36 PM »

This sounds about right, Brown was never going to win by 12 points or whatever, he will win by 6-7.

But hasn't every Ohio Senate race of the last 15 years turned into a blowout at the end?

Not Brown's own race in 2012.

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=39&year=2012&f=0&off=3&elect=0&class=1
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #12 on: July 16, 2018, 04:14:08 PM »

lol. survey monkey and tea party sh**t polls do not have any right to exist safe d
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: July 16, 2018, 04:31:58 PM »

Brown won by six and will win by six again
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #14 on: July 16, 2018, 04:34:58 PM »

Why didn't you put the name of the poll in the title?

"TEA PARTY POLL" Haha

Also the company that they claimed commissioned the poll, TRZ Communication, has nothing on their website about polling.

I could be wrong, but until evidence proves otherwise this feels like a fake poll.
It may not be credible but I do see a trend with the polls in recent weeks showing it going into single digits, the two polls I put up were the most recent but it has become much tighter in recent weeks since Renacci and Republican PACs started putting tv ads on the air.

Do you have evidence of this besides this poll and the Survey Monkey poll?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #15 on: July 16, 2018, 04:37:26 PM »
« Edited: July 16, 2018, 05:06:00 PM by PittsburghSteel »

L O L

Tea party + survey monkey poll = throw it into the incinerator.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: July 16, 2018, 04:40:00 PM »

They have a Gov poll showing DeWine leading Cordray
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #17 on: July 16, 2018, 04:48:11 PM »

They have a Gov poll showing DeWine leading Cordray
Which is probably very true though
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #18 on: July 16, 2018, 05:21:04 PM »

DeWine is stronger than Cordray and Brown is stronger than Renacci. But, Brown was leading Mandel by a ridiculous amount in 2012,  and ended up winning by only six.
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: July 16, 2018, 07:19:51 PM »

tee hee
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #20 on: July 16, 2018, 07:34:38 PM »

Sure, Jan
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UncleSam
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« Reply #21 on: July 17, 2018, 04:01:21 AM »

There is no such thing as a "statistical tie".
...yes there is? It’s when statistically you cannot say with a sufficient degree of confidence that either candidate is leading.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #22 on: July 17, 2018, 04:48:15 AM »

We went the same thing with Josh Mandal. Brown was leading in 2012, by a ridiculous amount and won by only 6
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