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  NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
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Author Topic: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27  (Read 1224 times)
Senator ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« on: July 18, 2018, 09:09:31 am »

Gillibrand 57
Farley 30

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2555
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President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2018, 09:11:28 am »

#Gillibrandunder60
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2018, 09:15:57 am »

Not bad. But given how well-known Gillibrand is, and, generally, how blue is New York (and how unknown is Farley) - probably could be even better.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2018, 09:17:39 am »

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JG
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« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2018, 09:29:24 am »

Not bad. But given how well-known Gillibrand is, and, generally, how blue is New York (and how unknown is Farley) - probably could be even better.

Gillibrand had similar numbers around the same time in 2012.
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Ses
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« Reply #5 on: July 21, 2018, 10:18:23 am »

Tossup
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Corporate Buddhism is the Future
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« Reply #6 on: July 21, 2018, 11:46:01 am »

Tilt R, ethnic whites love Farley and a mixture of the upballot AOC effect and Charlie Baker's mega-coattails will sink Gillibrand's reelection bid.
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PA is Lean D
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« Reply #7 on: July 21, 2018, 12:10:13 pm »

AOC will sink Gillibrand!

Likely R
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Suburban Cincinnati Soccer Moms for Beshear
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2018, 03:38:59 pm »
« Edited: July 23, 2018, 03:42:53 pm by Zyzz »

Tilt R, ethnic whites love Farley and a mixture of the upballot AOC effect and Charlie Baker's mega-coattails will sink Gillibrand's reelection bid.

Deb Fisher's mega coattails will also doom McCaskill in MO. Mitt Romney's smashing win in Utah also makes me have to change both AZ, NM and NV to Safe R. Even California is looking like tilt R, due to Mitt's victory spilling over state borders.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #9 on: July 27, 2018, 11:23:21 am »

New Poll: New York Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2018-07-16

Summary: D: 57%, R: 30%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #10 on: July 28, 2018, 06:34:47 pm »

Should've nominated strong candidate Wendy Long.
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« Reply #11 on: July 28, 2018, 06:38:15 pm »

Why are they polling this race?
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« Reply #12 on: July 28, 2018, 06:39:34 pm »

Should've nominated strong candidate Wendy Long.

What about rising star and unbeatable titan Rob Astorino?
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« Reply #13 on: July 28, 2018, 10:06:36 pm »

Should've nominated strong candidate Wendy Long.

What about rising star and unbeatable titan Rob Astorino?

Now now, both are shark chum in the shadow of Rick Lazio...
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MAGA Coal Miners for Beshear
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« Reply #14 on: July 29, 2018, 01:34:51 am »

#FarleyMentum
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RoboWop
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« Reply #15 on: July 30, 2018, 04:43:44 pm »

Why are they polling this race?

I'm not sure I've actually written this before. But this is at least the thousandth time I've thought it in response to a comment here, and it bears saying:

POLLING IS USEFUL FOR REASONS OTHER THAN OBSESSIVE NATIONAL PUNDITRY. STOP COMPLAINING ABOUT POLLS EXISTING.
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« Reply #16 on: July 30, 2018, 05:12:34 pm »

Why are they polling this race?

I'm not sure I've actually written this before. But this is at least the thousandth time I've thought it in response to a comment here, and it bears saying:

POLLING IS USEFUL FOR REASONS OTHER THAN OBSESSIVE NATIONAL PUNDITRY. STOP COMPLAINING ABOUT POLLS EXISTING.

I agree with this. I've actually had some legitimate questions of my own about how Gillibrand's recent posturing and policy flip-flops might have even a minor effect on her performance as compared to 2012. Will she break 70% this time? And will there be any kind of Republican trend in upstate New York?
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