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June 18, 2019, 11:43:05 pm
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  NY-Quinnipiac: Cuomo +36 in primary, +20 in general with third parties
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Author Topic: NY-Quinnipiac: Cuomo +36 in primary, +20 in general with third parties  (Read 829 times)
superbudgie1582
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« on: July 18, 2018, 09:17:18 am »

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2555

Governor democrat primary:

Cuomo - 59%
Nixon - 23%

AG democratic primary:

Eve - 3%
James - 26%
Maloney - 14%
Teachout - 12%

General with third parties:

Cuomo - 43%
Molinaro - 23%
Nixon - 13%
Miner - 3%
Hawkins - 3%
Sharpe - 4%

General two way match up:

Cuomo - 57%
Molinaro - 31%
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President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2018, 09:26:42 am »

Cuomo at the same GE number than Gillibrand. His primary lead is also pretty stable. Nice!
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2018, 09:29:32 am »

Gotta love when helping to give the GOP control of a state legislative chamber is rewarded by Democratic primary voters. /s
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2018, 09:46:43 am »

Maloney 2nd in the AG polls is good, but he seems to be way too far from the frontrunner. I hope he can blast the airwaves with ads using his warchest and edge her out, but seems like the chances for this are very slim. At least he's stronger than Teachout, though.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2018, 09:59:27 am »

It seems Cuomo is just indestructible.
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AverroŽs
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« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2018, 10:31:38 am »

Those general election numbers are hilarious. Cuomo is unpopular but the majority that dislikes him is scattered across groups that despise each other.

It's striking to have a contest where something close to 60% of voters are interested in voting for a candidate other than the incumbent, but the GOP is such a mess and so unappealing to most voters that they can barely attract half of that.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2018, 10:41:18 am »

It seems Cuomo is just indestructible.

I mean having $31 mil in the bank can do that.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #7 on: July 18, 2018, 10:53:03 am »

Those general election numbers are hilarious. Cuomo is unpopular but the majority that dislikes him is scattered across groups that despise each other.

It's striking to have a contest where something close to 60% of voters are interested in voting for a candidate other than the incumbent, but the GOP is such a mess and so unappealing to most voters that they can barely attract half of that.

The guy has a 49-43 approval rating and a 49-38 favorability rating.

Unpopular is not the word I'd use.
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Pyro
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« Reply #8 on: July 18, 2018, 11:05:09 am »

That is one disappointing poll.
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AverroŽs
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« Reply #9 on: July 18, 2018, 11:40:09 am »

Those general election numbers are hilarious. Cuomo is unpopular but the majority that dislikes him is scattered across groups that despise each other.

It's striking to have a contest where something close to 60% of voters are interested in voting for a candidate other than the incumbent, but the GOP is such a mess and so unappealing to most voters that they can barely attract half of that.

The guy has a 49-43 approval rating and a 49-38 favorability rating.

Unpopular is not the word I'd use.

...

49-43 is not a good approval rating for a Democratic governor in New York State, especially for an incumbent who takes only 43% against the candidates who will actually be on the ballot.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #10 on: July 18, 2018, 12:31:51 pm »

Those general election numbers are hilarious. Cuomo is unpopular but the majority that dislikes him is scattered across groups that despise each other.

It's striking to have a contest where something close to 60% of voters are interested in voting for a candidate other than the incumbent, but the GOP is such a mess and so unappealing to most voters that they can barely attract half of that.

The guy has a 49-43 approval rating and a 49-38 favorability rating.

Unpopular is not the word I'd use.

...

49-43 is not a good approval rating for a Democratic governor in New York State, especially for an incumbent who takes only 43% against the candidates who will actually be on the ballot.

If you want to believe he's unpopular because of that, it's your problem. Also, Nixon will have to decide if she stays on the ballot if she loses the primary. The two-way race has Cuomo at 57%.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #11 on: July 18, 2018, 01:10:08 pm »
« Edited: July 19, 2018, 11:25:49 am by Brittain33 »

Those general election numbers are hilarious. Cuomo is unpopular but the majority that dislikes him is scattered across groups that despise each other.

It's striking to have a contest where something close to 60% of voters are interested in voting for a candidate other than the incumbent, but the GOP is such a mess and so unappealing to most voters that they can barely attract half of that.

The guy has a 49-43 approval rating and a 49-38 favorability rating.

Unpopular is not the word I'd use.

...

49-43 is not a good approval rating for a Democratic governor in New York State, especially for an incumbent who takes only 43% against the candidates who will actually be on the ballot.

If you want to believe he's unpopular because of that, it's your problem. Also, Nixon will have to decide if she stays on the ballot if she loses the primary. The two-way race has Cuomo at 57%.

/deleted

"You must be great at parties"

*proceeds to insult user who disagrees with him*
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #12 on: July 18, 2018, 01:19:19 pm »

Those general election numbers are hilarious. Cuomo is unpopular but the majority that dislikes him is scattered across groups that despise each other.

It's striking to have a contest where something close to 60% of voters are interested in voting for a candidate other than the incumbent, but the GOP is such a mess and so unappealing to most voters that they can barely attract half of that.

The guy has a 49-43 approval rating and a 49-38 favorability rating.

Unpopular is not the word I'd use.

...

49-43 is not a good approval rating for a Democratic governor in New York State, especially for an incumbent who takes only 43% against the candidates who will actually be on the ballot.

Lol, I don't like Cuomo but it's an objectively pretty good approval rating. Even in blood red or ocean blue states, many disapprove of the executive from the same party. Gubernatorial politics aren't nearly as polarized as Presidential ones in that regard. Just take a look at this:

https://ballotpedia.org/Gubernatorial_approval_ratings

Cuomo is more popular than Tom Wolf and Jerry Brown.
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AverroŽs
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« Reply #13 on: July 18, 2018, 01:31:54 pm »
« Edited: July 18, 2018, 01:51:29 pm by AverroŽs »

Lol, I don't like Cuomo but it's an objectively pretty good approval rating. Even in blood red or ocean blue states, many disapprove of the executive from the same party. Gubernatorial politics aren't nearly as polarized as Presidential ones in that regard. Just take a look at this:

https://ballotpedia.org/Gubernatorial_approval_ratings

Cuomo is more popular than Tom Wolf and Jerry Brown.

It's really not a great number. The context of the Buffalo Billion scandal, the COR and Kaloyeros convictions, and internal Democratic wrangling over the State Senate, among other things, is important here.

It is a decent approval rating compared to Paterson, Spitzer, or third-term Pataki, but those are not helpful comparisons. And Pennsylvania and California are states with different political cultures, although I'd also take issue with describing Jerry Brown as popular - my impression was that he'd spent much of his final year in office pissing various groups off and taking flak for California's housing crisis.

e: See here for Quinnipiac's trends. 43% is as high as his disapproval rating from this firm has ever been, and 49% is only slightly higher than his lowest ever approval. His favorability numbers are much worse than they were throughout his first term. Siena's numbers, to the extent that they aren't total garbage, tend to be consistent with this. These are much worse than his numbers were during his first re-election contest in 2014.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #14 on: July 27, 2018, 11:19:40 am »

New Poll: New York Governor by Quinnipiac University on 2018-07-16

Summary: D: 43%, R: 23%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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