GA-SurveyUSA/11AliveTV: Stacey Abrams only down 2 against both Republicans (user search)
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  GA-SurveyUSA/11AliveTV: Stacey Abrams only down 2 against both Republicans (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-SurveyUSA/11AliveTV: Stacey Abrams only down 2 against both Republicans  (Read 3390 times)
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,610
United States


« on: July 21, 2018, 09:46:17 AM »

The fact that Kemp is only leading Abrams by 5% among those 65+ says it all.

I can't believe I'm saying this, but...Abrams just might pull this thing off.
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libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,610
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2018, 10:49:58 AM »

The fact that Kemp is only leading Abrams by 5% among those 65+ says it all.

I can't believe I'm saying this, but...Abrams just might pull this thing off.

Even though they are not a huge part of the electorate I’m still in awe of that number with Hispanics. I went back and according to 2014 exit polls Carter beat Deal among Hispanics by 6 points (53-47) now Abrams is leading him among that group by 50!!! (Hillary won them 67-27). That huge shift to the Dems, a couple point bump with whites, and huge turnout and a swing to the left (89 to 93ish) with black voters can get her the Governor’s mansion.
I was saying in another thread...just imagine what would happen if we got a Governor Abrams AND a Senator Beto on the same night?!
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libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,610
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2018, 01:20:18 PM »

This will be 2014 all over again. An exciting candidate polls respectably, gets hyped up, only for it to not be all that close on election day.
The difference is 2014 was a GOP Wave.  2018 is shaping up to be a Dem Wave (albeit probably not as grandiose as 2006 or 2008).  Not to mention POC turnout in the South was abysmal in 2014 compared to the turnout that's likely to materialize this year.
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