KS-Remington: Kelly +1 vs Kobach, down 10 vs. Colyer
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  KS-Remington: Kelly +1 vs Kobach, down 10 vs. Colyer		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: KS-Remington: Kelly +1 vs Kobach, down 10 vs. Colyer  (Read 2438 times)
ON Progressive
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« on: July 23, 2018, 06:53:46 PM »
Laura Kelly (D) 36
Kris Kobach (R) 35
Orman (I) 12

Jeff Colyer (R) 38
Laura Kelly (D) 28
Orman (I) 10

http://amp.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article215375450.html
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Jeppe
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2018, 07:21:19 PM »
Give me Governor Kelly, please.

Actually, give me two Governor Kelly’s. One in New Hampshire, and one in Kansas!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2018, 07:29:11 PM »
As expected, Orman will probably screw over the Dems here.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2018, 07:42:18 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on July 23, 2018, 07:29:11 PM
As expected, Orman will probably screw over the Dems here.

I remember people on this site saying Orman would take more votes from Rs (LOL).
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2018, 07:49:51 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on July 23, 2018, 07:42:18 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on July 23, 2018, 07:29:11 PM
As expected, Orman will probably screw over the Dems here.

I remember people on this site saying Orman would take more votes from Rs (LOL).

Lol. I guess it's to be expected from people who think John Kasich running as an independent would eat into Trump's base and ensure a Dem victory.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2018, 11:18:17 PM »
Whatever happened to the other Democratic dude?
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Jeppe
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« Reply #6 on: July 24, 2018, 05:26:44 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on July 23, 2018, 11:18:17 PM
Whatever happened to the other Democratic dude?

Carl Brewer could win, I guess, but most people agree that Kelly is a clear favourite.
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brand_allen
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« Reply #7 on: July 24, 2018, 10:42:16 AM »
Trump's favorability rating is 44/47% in Kansas? If this is accurate, you'd expect his national favorability average (per RCP) to be worse than 42/54%, no?
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Former Kentuckian
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« Reply #8 on: July 24, 2018, 10:43:02 AM »
Orman is such a pain in the butt
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #9 on: July 24, 2018, 11:03:22 AM »
C'mon Donald, endorse that Kobach.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: July 24, 2018, 03:38:55 PM »
Didn't even test Svaty and Brewer, both of whom are far better candidates. Polling companies should not try to guess the result of the primary with these sorts of polls, instead they should poll all possible matchups.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #11 on: July 24, 2018, 03:40:08 PM »
Quote from: Lincoln Assemblyman Dwarven Dragon on July 24, 2018, 03:38:55 PM
Didn't even test Svaty and Brewer, both of whom are far better candidates. Polling companies should not try to guess the result of the primary with these sorts of polls, instead they should poll all possible matchups.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #12 on: July 24, 2018, 04:02:55 PM »
Quote from: Lincoln Assemblyman Dwarven Dragon on July 24, 2018, 03:38:55 PM
Didn't even test Svaty and Brewer, both of whom are far better candidates. Polling companies should not try to guess the result of the primary with these sorts of polls, instead they should poll all possible matchups.
Wrong. Kelly and Svaty are probably about even with strengths and weaknesses, but both are definitely stronger than Brewer.

Orman definitely has a window if Kobach gets the nomination, but I'm surprised he only does 2% better in this poll. This confirms what I've been thinking for a while - the race is Lean/Likely R with Colyer, Toss-up with Kobach.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: July 24, 2018, 04:04:45 PM »
It's not a tossup race, its a tilt GOP race
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #14 on: July 24, 2018, 04:06:42 PM »
New Poll: Kansas Governor by Remington Research Group on 2018-07-20

Summary: D: 28%, R: 38%, U: 24%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Canis
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« Reply #15 on: July 24, 2018, 07:18:22 PM »

any reason why the Coyler matchup was chosen instead of the kobach one because this poll has Kobach leading in the primary
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #16 on: July 24, 2018, 07:53:24 PM »
Quote from: Sensible-Senator-Canis on July 24, 2018, 07:18:22 PM

any reason why the Coyler matchup was chosen instead of the kobach one because this poll has Kobach leading in the primary
Yes. Those were two separate polls, this was from Remington, but the poll quoted in the article was a Kobach internal and should be disregarded. Recent public polls have had Colyer up in the primary, and being on the ground, I think it is clear that Colyer is the favorite and has had the momentum for the last few weeks. I think any other Kansans on here would agree with that assessment.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #17 on: July 25, 2018, 10:27:06 PM »
Quote from: Sensible-Senator-Canis on July 24, 2018, 07:18:22 PM

any reason why the Coyler matchup was chosen instead of the kobach one because this poll has Kobach leading in the primary

Because it's more favorable towards the GOP.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #18 on: July 26, 2018, 02:48:21 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on July 25, 2018, 10:27:06 PM
Quote from: Sensible-Senator-Canis on July 24, 2018, 07:18:22 PM

any reason why the Coyler matchup was chosen instead of the kobach one because this poll has Kobach leading in the primary

Because it's more favorable towards the GOP.

Quote from: tmthforu94 on July 24, 2018, 07:53:24 PM
Quote from: Sensible-Senator-Canis on July 24, 2018, 07:18:22 PM

any reason why the Coyler matchup was chosen instead of the kobach one because this poll has Kobach leading in the primary
Yes. Those were two separate polls, this was from Remington, but the poll quoted in the article was a Kobach internal and should be disregarded. Recent public polls have had Colyer up in the primary, and being on the ground, I think it is clear that Colyer is the favorite and has had the momentum for the last few weeks. I think any other Kansans on here would agree with that assessment.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: July 26, 2018, 07:18:04 PM »
I saw Kelly +1 and got excited. Too bad.
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