NBC Marist Polls (MI, MN, WI): Whitmer +9, Waltz +9/Swanson +11, Evers +13
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 12:19:03 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  NBC Marist Polls (MI, MN, WI): Whitmer +9, Waltz +9/Swanson +11, Evers +13
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4
Author Topic: NBC Marist Polls (MI, MN, WI): Whitmer +9, Waltz +9/Swanson +11, Evers +13  (Read 5248 times)
junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: July 26, 2018, 04:40:26 PM »

Don’t show this poll to hemorrhofoid!

His response will probably be along the lines of ''The polls said Hillary and Feingold would win too''
Logged
scutosaurus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,665
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: July 26, 2018, 04:42:23 PM »

But Charlie Cook and Larry Sabato told me that Wississippi was Lean R!
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,394


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: July 26, 2018, 04:43:08 PM »

But Charlie Cook and Larry Sabato told me that Wississippi was Lean R!

Yeah, no idea why they have it at lean R.  That's just irresponsible.  Doesn't someone also have AZ as likely R?  Similarly ridiculous.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,776
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: July 26, 2018, 04:46:33 PM »

They think Walker is unbeatable; eventhough Cook PVI has WI as +2 Democrat
Logged
Skunk
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,456
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.03, S: -9.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: July 26, 2018, 04:54:17 PM »

But Charlie Cook and Larry Sabato told me that Wississippi was Lean R!

Yeah, no idea why they have it at lean R.  That's just irresponsible.  Doesn't someone also have AZ as likely R?  Similarly ridiculous.
I'm pretty sure Cook and/or Sabato said they're waiting on the primaries before moving them (which IMO is still dumb, but whatever).
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: July 26, 2018, 05:14:14 PM »

We have polls showing Democrats competitive or leading in Arizona, Georgia, Kansas and Oklahoma and yet it is hard for some to believe they might be up big in Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota?
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: July 26, 2018, 05:16:12 PM »

We have polls showing Democrats competitive or leading in Arizona, Georgia, Kansas and Oklahoma and yet it is hard for some to believe they might be up big in Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota?
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,803


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: July 26, 2018, 05:25:43 PM »

Watch Whitmer, Swanson and Roys all lose. #misogynisticmidwest
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: July 26, 2018, 05:36:16 PM »

RCP has moved WI guber to Tossup:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/governor/2018_elections_governor_map.html
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,776
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: July 26, 2018, 05:37:02 PM »

We have polls showing Democrats competitive or leading in Arizona, Georgia, Kansas and Oklahoma and yet it is hard for some to believe they might be up big in Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota?

The Gubernatorial elections: FL, AZ, TN, and OH probably matters more than OK and KS and AK.
Logged
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: July 26, 2018, 05:39:12 PM »

If Scott Walker loses.....
Logged
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,700
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: July 26, 2018, 05:40:40 PM »





Pre-Nolan scandal too. Walz has to lead now.
Logged
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,050
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: July 26, 2018, 05:42:33 PM »

1. This set of polls (including the senatorial results) are pretty devastating for the GOP (and NBC/Marist is a top tier pollster).

2. It’s still fascinating how Thanedar, who is by the far the worst debater of the three and has no government experience, is beating El-Sayed (and almost in striking distance of Whitmer, although I think most other recent polls show Whitmer with a more commanding lead). He would be by far the worst candidate in the general, and almost certainly the worst governor of the three Democratic candidates; Michigan Democrats, please don’t mess this up!
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: July 26, 2018, 05:45:35 PM »

1. This set of polls (including the senatorial results) are pretty devastating for the GOP (and NBC/Marist is a top tier pollster).

2. It’s still fascinating how Thanedar, who is by the far the worst debater of the three and has no government experience, is beating El-Sayed (and almost in striking distance of Whitmer, although I think most other recent polls show Whitmer with a more commanding lead). He would be by far the worst candidate in the general, and almost certainly the worst governor of the three Democratic candidates; Michigan Democrats, please don’t mess this up!

I think the Thanedar thing is mostly due to his "progressive" views, and the fact that he has basically blanketed the airwaves. He has been consistently falling in polling though, and the Sanders endorsement of Abdul should erode Thanedar's base of support. Hopefully.
Logged
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,700
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: July 26, 2018, 05:47:22 PM »

Watch Whitmer, Swanson and Roys all lose. #misogynisticmidwest

Yes, case in point being how MN, WI, and MI have never elected a woman to the Senate.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,776
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: July 26, 2018, 05:47:27 PM »

1. This set of polls (including the senatorial results) are pretty devastating for the GOP (and NBC/Marist is a top tier pollster).

2. It’s still fascinating how Thanedar, who is by the far the worst debater of the three and has no government experience, is beating El-Sayed (and almost in striking distance of Whitmer, although I think most other recent polls show Whitmer with a more commanding lead). He would be by far the worst candidate in the general, and almost certainly the worst governor of the three Democratic candidates; Michigan Democrats, please don’t mess this up!

www.electionprojection.com has projected the Dems to control the House, their Senate numbers and gubernatorial numbers are off, though
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: July 26, 2018, 05:48:43 PM »

Charles Franklin (Marquette Poll) says Marist’a education numbers aren’t that different from his weighted sample:

Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: July 26, 2018, 05:51:07 PM »

They might be overestimating the Dems numbers. I don't really think Walker could be that far behind.
Logged
Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,030


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: July 26, 2018, 05:55:00 PM »

Catastrophically D-friendly all around, though I can actually buy Dems winning MN and Michigan (moreso Minnesota). There must be a tabulation error or some other error on the Wisconsin numbers. Great if true, but c’mon guys. This doesn’t jive with how Walker has a magnetic attraction to the key WOW suburbs that even Trump doesn’t have.

Rooting hard for Whitmer. She’s the most electable.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: July 26, 2018, 05:56:24 PM »

The MI/MN numbers look reasonable. WI is obviously jaw dropping. I trust Marquette way more though, so it'll be interesting to see what they say in their next poll.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: July 26, 2018, 05:58:52 PM »

The MI/MN numbers look reasonable. WI is obviously jaw dropping. I trust Marquette way more though, so it'll be interesting to see what they say in their next poll.
The guy who does Marquette says the numbers in the poll are reasonable, so I think these are close to what the numbers are.

This isnt Gravis, this is a top tier pollster, I dont think they would make a large mistake.
Logged
Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,030


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: July 26, 2018, 06:00:08 PM »

The MI/MN numbers look reasonable. WI is obviously jaw dropping. I trust Marquette way more though, so it'll be interesting to see what they say in their next poll.
Yep, I can only hope it’s a tabulation error, and not hackery. It’s not in the pollster’s best interests to give Dems false hope. Remember the 2012 recall and Feingold. We must never forget those two.
Logged
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,700
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: July 26, 2018, 06:08:16 PM »

Catastrophically D-friendly all around, though I can actually buy Dems winning MN and Michigan (moreso Minnesota). There must be a tabulation error or some other error on the Wisconsin numbers. Great if true, but c’mon guys. This doesn’t jive with how Walker has a magnetic attraction to the key WOW suburbs that even Trump doesn’t have.

Rooting hard for Whitmer. She’s the most electable.

Romney landslided in the Milwaukee suburbs and way outperformed Trump too.
Logged
Thunder98
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,570
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: July 26, 2018, 06:11:21 PM »

They think Walker is unbeatable; eventhough Cook PVI has WI as +2 Democrat

Cook PVI has WI as "EVEN"
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #49 on: July 26, 2018, 06:16:37 PM »

They think Walker is unbeatable; eventhough Cook PVI has WI as +2 Democrat

Cook PVI has WI as "EVEN"
I dont see how they got that number. If PVI is calculated via 2012 and 2016 presidential numbers, as they state, the PVI should be D+3.5, since Trump won by 1(rounding), and Obama won by 8(rounding).
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.055 seconds with 12 queries.