Carter-Rodino ticket in 1976?
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  Carter-Rodino ticket in 1976?
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Author Topic: Carter-Rodino ticket in 1976?  (Read 477 times)
David T
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« on: July 27, 2018, 11:35:31 AM »

"In 1976, Jimmy Carter considered Mr. Rodino as a running mate. ''Tippy [Tip O'Neill] called me all excited, saying I was at the top of the list,'' Mr. Rodino said. ''I said, 'No, I'm not. I like what I'm doing and you need me where I am, as chairman of Judiciary.' Tippy was surprised. So was Carter.'" https://www.nytimes.com/1989/01/27/nyregion/after-40-years-making-the-law-rodino-now-teaches-it.html

Suppose there is a Carter-Rodino ticket? Some Republicans might charge that Rodino's chairmanship of the Judiciary Committee in the impeachment of Nixon was tainted by political ambition; but I doubt that many swing voters would take that seriously. All in all, I think that the only likely effect of the choice in 1976 would be that Carter might carry NJ, which he lost rather narrowly in OTL. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_New_Jersey,_1976

The real effect comes in 1984: Mondale is a lot less likely to run for president (or to win the nomination if he does run) if he had never been elected VP. The nomination of Gary Hart therefore seems a lot more likely. (Rodino is probably too old to run for POTUS in 1984.)

(One other consequence would presumably be that NJ-10--which as of 1976 was basically Newark plus East Orange--would get an African American Representative twelve years earlier than in OTL. But who? In 1972 East Orange Mayor William S. Hart challenged Rodino and did respectably--he got 36.78% of the vote to Rodino's 57.42%. https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=236178 But Hart would be unlikely to run in 1976, having been indicted for bribery, though acquitted in late July. https://www.nytimes.com/1976/07/23/archives/new-jersey-briefs-hart-is-acquitted-of-bribe-charge-picatinny-funds.html Another possibility is Donald Payne, who challenged Rodino in 1980 and 1986 and ultimately succeeded him in 1988. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_M._Payne)
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mianfei
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2019, 04:45:11 AM »
« Edited: October 27, 2019, 08:21:08 AM by mianfei »

Looking at Rodino – a liberal Italian-Catholic – makes me think he would have left Carter’s ticket more unbalanced than with Mondale.

Texas and Ohio – two significant electoral-vote-rich states – would potentially have been lost by Carter with Rodino instead of Mondale, so might Mississippi and even neighbour Alabama. Even with gains in the Northeast, the loss of TX and OH would have been costly to say the least and we might have seen a repeat of 1960 and 1968, with Illinois deciding the election yet again.

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morgankingsley
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2019, 09:52:24 PM »

He would probably not contribute anything of worth
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