WI-Emerson Polling: Evers+7

[Zaybay]

Wow, seems that the Marist poll that everyone was referring to as wrong, oversampling Ds, etc. has been collaborated by another polling firm. Could it be that Walker, is, gasp, not safe?! Nah, this poll is wrong too.

[Zaybay]

Lets go son! I think Evers is more likely to be coattailed over than Cordray.

Because Brown is the type of candidate who can outrun the Dem nominee since he has more crossover appeal due to retail politics and his opposition to free trade, I agree. With that said, why are we taking a poll by Emerson seriously? Because it's favorable to Democrats?

Because of correlation. The Marist poll, which is better quality than this one, had the race at a double digit difference. It was a bit unbelievable, and many wanted other polls to show the same difference. And, well, here it is.

[Zaybay]

The generic ballot was D+10, which, on it's own, would make WI-01 super competitive AND probably flips the state senate, D+10 seats in the assembly.

Are the Dem candidates in the SW Wisconsin seat and in Vukmir’s seat strong? Also am kinda concerned about Caleb Frostman holding on in a higher turnout envionment

Not sure, but I just read that Democrats do not have anyone running AD-01, which Frostman will probably dominate in his reelection campaign.

Ugh... yeah, but there is an "independent" running who looks pretty DSA - apparently she reached out to the Dems at the last minute (like, a day before filing) and "they didn't get back to her in time" so she decided to run as an indy.

Everyone looks like a dumbass there.

Oh no! Thats key to winning the state senate. Is the D party officially backing her and giving her money?

Then again, it may help to be Indie, and have no D next to her. But, yeah, this is a colossal mistake.

[Zaybay]

RCP somehow still considers WI to be a "tossup" and AZ/GA to be "lean GOP", when evidence clearly suggests otherwise ...

It actually used to be lean R for WI, but they moved it to tossup after the Marist poll.