Minutes to Midnight

[Politician]

#DelaneyOver1

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Your infobox lists Hillary Clinton when it should say Elizabeth Warren

[Edgeofnight]

TRUMP BEATS BACK CHALLENGER IN GRAND FASHION
Insurgent Senator pledges to stay in the race until the convention.

Donald Trump -- 82.00%
Jeff Flake-- 17.77%

Others -- .23%

These are not legally binding caucuses, but where held by the parties in question at various points during the year. The Libertarian and Green"primaries" where done by mail in ballot, while the Constitution Party used an in person strawpoll and the SAM primary was done by an online vote with one in person voting site.

Libertarian Party:

Uncommitted -- 1,398/ 18.73%
Bill Weld -- 1,232/16.51%
Austin Petersen -- 963/12.90%
Peter Schiff -- 829/11.11%
John McAfee -- 693/9.28%
Aubrey Dunn Jr. -- 562/7.53%
Mary Ruwart -- 535/7.17%
Adam Kokesh -- 411/5.51%
Arvin Vohra -- 408/5.47%
Vermin Supreme -- 220/2.95%
Zoltan Istvan -- 137/1.84%
Others -- 76/1.02%

Green Party:
Jill Stein -- 396/45.94%
Jesse Ventura --211/24.48%
William Kreml -- 120/13.92%
Ralph Chapman -- 72/8.35%
Uncommitted -- 58/6.73%
Other -- 5/.58%

Constitution Party:
Uncommitted -- 104/26.87%
Don Blankenship -- 102/26.36%
Darrel Castle -- 70/18.09%
Jeff Boss -- 47/12.14%
Jack Fellure -- 32/8.27%
Scott Copeland -- 15/3.88%
Jim Clymer -- 10/2.58%
Others -- 7/1.81%

Serve America Movement/SAM:
Evan McMullin (write-in) -- 46/34.07%
John Kasich (write-in) -- 28/20.74%
John Kingston -- 25/18.52%
Jeff Flake (Write-in) -- 15/11.11%
Laurence Kotlikoff -- 13/9.63%
Greg Orman (Write-in) -- 6/4.44%
Stephine Miner (Write-in) -- 2/1.48%

As a minor/major retcon depending on how you view it, Andrew Gillum is now the Governor of Florida, not Gwen Graham. He picks Graham as his running mate for the general election. I will not retcon his choice of LT. Gov even if he doesn't pick Graham.

This isn't relevant but I made it a while ago, and so I'm just gonna post it now.

[Edgeofnight]

Since I forgot it in the last two posts, Current Delegate Count:

2020 Democratic Presidential Primaries, Delegate Count*:
2,382 Needed for the nomination
Sen. Bernie Sanders -- 20 Delegates
Sen. Elizabeth Warren -- 12 Delegates
Fmr. Vice Pres. Joe Biden -- 11 Delegates
4,008 Remaining Delegates

2020 Republican Presidential Primaries, Delegate Count:
1,237 Delegates Needed
Pres. Donald Trump -- 25
Fmr. Sen. Jeff Flake -- 5
2,472 remaining Delegates

2020 Libertarian Presidential Primaries, Delegate Count:
464 Delegates Needed
Uncommitted -- 2 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Bill Weld -- 2 Delegates
Mr. Austin Petersen -- 1 Delegate
Mr. Peter Schiff -- 1 Delegate
Mr. John McAfee -- 1 Delegate
Fmr. NM Land Comm. Aubrey Dunn, Jr. -- 1 Delegate
Mrs. Mary Ruwart -- 1 Delegate
Mr. Adam Kokesh -- 1 Delegate
918 Delegates Remaining

2020 Green Presidential Primaries, Delegate Count:
202 Delegates Needed
Mrs. Jill Stein -- 2 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Jesse Ventura -- 1 Delegate
Mr. William Kreml -- 1 Delegate
397 Delegates Remaining

2020 Constitution Party Primaries, Delegate Count
171 Delegates Needed
Uncommitted -- 2 Delegates
Mr. Don Blankenship -- 2 Delegates
Mr. Scott Bradley -- 1 Delegate
Mr. Jeff Boss -- 1 Delegate
Mr. Jack Fullure -- 1 Delegate
333 Delegates Remaining

2020 Serve America Movement Primaries, Delegate Count
218 Delegates Needed
Evan McMullin (undeclared) -- 1 Delegate
John Kasich (undeclared) -- 1 Delegate
John Kingston -- 1 Delegate
Jeff Flake (undeclared) -- 1 Delegate

*Count does not include Superdelegates, who can not vote on the first ballot.

[America Needs R'hllor]

Go Gillibrand, Flake, Weld, Ventura (for the lelz), Blankenship (for the chaos) and McMullin!

[alancia]

I predict a D E L A N E Y surge for New Hampshire

[Edgeofnight]

Your infobox lists Hillary Clinton when it should say Elizabeth Warren

It has been fixed, thanks!

[Edgeofnight]

February 5th, 2020

Jeff Flake’s performance spells trouble for President.

While the insurgent Senator failed to break 20% of the vote, his 18% should still have the president concerned about his ability to reach out to voters within his own party. In what is shaping up to be a competitive General Election, every vote may very well count.

February 5th, 2020

Bernie Sanders now the slight favorite for the Democratic nomination.

The Vermont Senator has cemented his status as a front runner with his victory in the Iowa Caucuses. Now, Pundits and Predictit agree he’s the favorite for the Democratic Nomination.

February 7th, 2020

Hassan backs Gillibrand before New Hampshire Primary

The Governor-turned-Senator of New Hampshire has thrown her weight behind the New York Senator, praising her record on women’s issues and her leadership in the Senate.

February 8th, 2020

Susan Collins endorses Flake, campaigns in New Hampshire

The moderate, retiring Maine Senator has backed Trump’s primary challenger, saying that her party desperately needs a new leader.

February 10th, 2020

Warren Campaign making last stand in New Hampshire

If the Massachusetts Senator fails to win the Granite State, sources say she will end her presidential campaign.

February 10th, 2020

New Hampshire polling: Flake taking one-quarter of the vote and Democrats in dead heat.

 

New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary:
Elizabeth Warren  -- 21%
Bernie Sanders -- 20%
Kirsten Gillibrand -- 18%
Joe Biden --15%
Sherrod Brown -- 6%  
Kamala Harris -- 5%
Cory Booker -- 4%
Undecided/Other -- 11%

New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary:
Donald Trump -- 63%
Jeff Flake -- 25%
Undecided/Others -- 12%

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Go Liz!

[KaiserDave]

This is amazing! Though I'm looking forward to more news about the President's legal jeopardy.

[morgankingsley]

I want jeff flake to win the presidency. I know it won't happen but still

[Continential]

Go Gillibrand!

[Edgeofnight]

FLAKE HUMBLES PRESIDENT WITH STRONG SHOWING IN NEW HAMPSHIRE.
President Trump wins by a much narrower than expected margin.

SANDERS WINS AGAIN
Warren withdraws, endorses Senator Sanders.

Bernie Sanders -- 25.56%
Elizabeth Warren  -- 23.98%
Kirsten Gillibrand -- 18.86%
Joe Biden --16.25%
Cory Booker -- 5.23%
Sherrod Brown -- 4.98%   
Kamala Harris --3.36%

Current Delegate Count:

2020 Democratic Presidential Primaries, Delegate Count*:
2,382 Needed for the nomination
Sen. Bernie Sanders -- 27 Delegates
Sen. Elizabeth Warren -- 19 Delegates
Fmr. Vice Pres. Joe Biden -- 16 Delegates
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand -- 5 Delegates
3,984 Remaining Delegates


2020 Republican Presidential Primaries, Delegate Count:
1,237 Delegates Needed
Pres. Donald Trump -- 40
Fmr. Sen. Jeff Flake -- 13
2,449 remaining Delegates

*Count does not include Superdelegates, who can not vote on the first ballot.

[Edgeofnight]

Not going to be doing boxes for Nevada or South Carolina. I want to get the primaries done (ideally the whole TL) before My classes start next Thursday, and I still want to do boxes for the overall primaries.

The boxes themselves can take 5-15 minutes to do, which normally isn't a problem, but it also needs imgur to be up and working, which, at least these past two days, has been pretty spotty.

Generally speaking, I am anywhere between 1 and 3 updates ahead of what I've posted. I'm trying to do one update a day until I finish. So right now, I'm putting the finishing touches on the Super Tuesday updates. When I was done with the updates for Nevada and South Carolina, imgur was still down. I decided to just move on. When I finish this timeline, I might come back to them. For now, I'm going to move forward.

[America Needs R'hllor]

Noo not Bernie Go Gillibrand!

[Edgeofnight]

Will be posting a new update later today.

[Sirius_]

We already have enough Berine stuff.

[Grassroots]

Biden comeback please.

[Edgeofnight]

February 12th, 2020

Sherrod Brown ends campaign after poor performance in New Hampshire: “My Wife was right.” Declines interest in the Vice Presidential Nomination.

The Ohio Senator has ended his campaign for the presidency after a “disappointing” result in New Hampshire. He did not endorse any other candidates, but pledged to support whoever the nominee was.

February 13th, 2020

Pundits React to Jeff Flake: It isn’t good for the President.

As with Iowa, Flake’s “better than expected” performance in the New Hampshire primary has shook up the political scene, even more so, as the Arizona Senator captured over 1/3rd of the Primary vote.

February 15th, 2020

South Carolina to be the “proving ground” for the Booker, Biden, and Harris Campaigns.

The three candidates have preformed poorly in the early contests, and souces say that each one is hedging the future of their campaigns on a strong performance in the Palmetto State.

February 17th, 2020

Oversight Chair: President Will Testify again, this time on campaign finance.

Cummings has confirmed that he is not quite done with Trump yet. He has called on the President to testify over Campaign Finance laws that he may have broken in regards to a financial transaction between his former personal lawyer and Porn star Stormy Daniels

February 20th, 2020

Lindsey Graham endorses and Campaigns for Jeff Flake ahead of South Carolina Primary.

The South Carolina Senator was a chief Trump critic on the campaign trail back in 2016.

February 22nd, 2020

SANDERS WINS THIRD CONSECUTIVE CONTEST IN NEVADA.
Bernie Sanders Cements status as Frontrunner.

Sen. Bernie Sanders --  32.11%
Sen. Kamala Harris -- 29.62%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Joe Biden -- 21.01%
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand -- 8.23%
Sen. Cory Booker -- 7.02%
Other -- 2.01%[/color]

February 22nd, 2020

FLAKE STUMBLES IN SOUTH CAROLINA
State's delegate laws give Trump big boost.

Pres. Donald Trump -- 69.82%/50 Delegates
Sen. Jeff Flake -- 30.11%/ 0 Delegates

[Edgeofnight]

There will likely be another update tonight covering South Carolina. If I keep to the current plan, there will be four-five more updates covering the primaries, meaning, believe it or not, we are past the halfway point in the Timeline.

[adamevans]

Please make Sherrod Brown the Vice Presidential nominee.

[Edgeofnight]

BIDEN FINDS SECOND WIND IN SOUTH CAROLINA
Harris overtakes Booker to place second. Booker to end Presidential Campaign.

Fmr. Vice Pres. Joe Biden -- 31.12%
Sen. Kamala Harris -- 29.62%
Sen. Cory Booker -- 26.76%
Sen. Bernie Sanders -- 7.23%
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand -- 5.27%

TRUMP PREVAILS AGAIN IN NEVADA
How long can Jeff Flake lose for?

Pres. Donald Trump -- 67.83%
Fmr. Sen Jeff Flake -- 32.17%

2020 Democratic Presidential Primaries, Delegate Count:
2,382 Needed for the nomination
Fmr. Vice Pres. Joe Biden -- 44 Delegates
Sen. Bernie Sanders -- 41 Delegates
Sen. Kamala Harris -- 31 Delegates
Sen. Elizabeth Warren -- 19 Delegates
Sen. Cory Booker --15 Delegates
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand -- 5 Delegates

2020 Republican Presidential Primaries, Delegate Count:
1,237 Delegates Needed
Pres. Donald Trump -- 110
Fmr. Sen. Jeff Flake -- 23

2020 Polling:
Trump vs Generic Democrat:
Generic Democrat -- 56%
Donald Trump* -- 35%
Undecided/Others -- 9%

Trump vs Biden
Joe Biden -- 54%
Donald Trump* -- 36%
Undecided/Others -- 10%

Trump vs Sanders
Bernie Sanders -- 54%
Donald Trump* -- 31%
Undecided/Others -- 15%

Trump vs Harris
Kamala Harris -- 55%
Donald Trump* -- 30%
Undecided/Others -- 15%

House Generic Ballot:
Democrats -- 55%
Republicans -- 32%
Undecided/Others -- 13%

Arizona Senate Election*:
Marco Lopez -- 49%
Matt Salmon -- 43%
Undecided/Others -- 8%

Colorado Senate Election*:
Cristana Duran -- 51%
Cory Gardner* --  42%

Texas Senate Election*:
Dan Patrick -- 47%
Beto O'Rourke -- 45%
Undecided/Other -- 18%

Trump Approval Rating:
Disapprove -- 56.2%
Approve -- 38.9%
Unsure -- 4.9%

*Candidates chosen by those leading the most recent Primary poll

For Reference sake, here is a list of all the Retiring Senators and why they are retiring (according to them).

Alexander (R-TN) : Retiring to spend more time at home.
Collins (R-ME) : Retiring due to intense partisanship in Washington.
Cornyn (R-TX) : Retiring to work in the Private Sector.
Ernst (R-IA): Retiring to Work in the Private Sector.
Graham (R-SC) : Retiring due to "home sickness."
Inhofe (R-OK) : Retiring due to a health scare.
Kyl (R-AZ) : Retiring to return to private life.
Markey (D-MA) : Retiring because of old age.
Risch (R-ID) : Retiring due to health concerns.
Roberts (R-KS) : Retiring to spend more time with family.
Warner (D-VA) : Retiring to return to private sector and spend more time with family.

[KaiserDave]

Oh boy, what about obstruction cases?

[Edgeofnight]

Oh boy, what about obstruction cases?

Democrats are taking things as a "one step at a time" manner.  Basically, they are trying to force Trump in front of them as many times as they can for a variety of different reasons. One, it increases the amount of bad press around the President, and two it increases the odds that he screws something up. Democrats also don't want to overshoot without a comfortable senate majority. They still need to keep Manchin and McCaskill and now Bredesen on board with their approach.

[KaiserDave]

Oh boy, what about obstruction cases?

Democrats are taking things as a "one step at a time" manner.  Basically, they are trying to force Trump in front of them as many times as they can for a variety of different reasons. One, it increases the amount of bad press around the President, and two it increases the odds that he screws something up. Democrats also don't want to overshoot without a comfortable senate majority. They still need to keep Manchin and McCaskill and now Bredesen on board with their approach.

I see, but 2020 is a favorable map correct? And how is Sen. Warner doing as Chairman of Senate Intelligence Committee? Did they ever release their findings?