OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42%

[mds32]

Oregon Governor
Buehler (R) 43%
Brown (D) 42%


http://cloutpolitical.com/poll-or-governor-race-in-statistical-tie-with-gop-challenger-buehler-holding-slight-edge/

[Skye]

Never heard of this pollster. If I have, I really don't remember about them.

[IceSpear]

Never heard of this pollster. If I have, I really don't remember about them.

It's a Republican poll that only had Brown ahead by 1 point in 2016.

[tmthforu94]

Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president.

[MT Treasurer]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=237683.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OKAY, still Leaning D

[IceSpear]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=237683.0

LOL, good times. Funny how many people actually took it seriously.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is the result of the tax hike bill, voters want her to veto. Same thing in CT, Ned Lamont is threatening to raise taxes.

[Calthrina950]

Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president.

From what little I know about her, Brown seems to be a very lackluster and uninspiring Governor (to say nothing of her liberalism), while Buehler seems like a decent, moderate Republican. But unfortunately, she will win because of the environment, as you said.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president.

Why would she be toast if Cruz were president?  Isn't it the same dynamic, basically, her being from the opposite party as the president makes her safer?  Or do you think a Cruz midterm would turn out significantly better for the GOP than a Trump midterm?

[Senator Incitatus]

Never heard of this pollster. If I have, I really don't remember about them.

It's a Republican poll that only had Brown ahead by 1 point in 2016.

Brown +2 in their final poll of the race. And that was closer than most other polls.

This poll doesn't move the needle for me, but I wish we'd get more on Oregon. Maybe this will bring some attention.

[Panda Express]

I hate to say it, but the Republican has a huge name advantage here. Ferris Bueller's Day Off is a classic movie beloved by everyone. “Brown” by contrast is a boring name and evokes no good memories.

[Sir Mohamed]

[Xing]

LOL, not gonna happen, much as Atlas wants Oregon to be competitive. I believe that this pollster also has Clinton beating Sanders by 15 in the primary, if my memory serves me correctly. Polls in Oregon often overestimate Republicans as well, since polls had Romney only slightly behind Obama in 2012.

[Canis]

Buehler isn't just moderate hes straight up liberal he supports single payer! anyway clout is a terrible polster but this race is slowly inching to tossup Buehler is running a great campaign from what my friends in oregon have told me Brown not so much.

[YE]

Buehler isn't just moderate hes straight up liberal he supports single payer! anyway clout is a terrible polster but this race is slowly inching to tossup Buehler is running a great campaign from what my friends in oregon have told me Brown not so much.

Wait what? Maybe I should support him...

[Senator Incitatus]

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[Canis]

But yeah hes really liberal he supports expanding medicaid https://knutebuehler.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/Knute-for-Governor-Health-care-BIG.pdf hes pro choice and for a carbon tax
https://www.oregonbusiness.com/article/item/18206-buehler-buehler-buehler
He also has a huge education plan that looks really good.
https://s3.amazonaws.com/arc-wordpress-client-uploads/wweek/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/28130353/18-BUE-Education-FINAL.pdf
Hes also a huge supporter of Women's right to choose and access Birth control check out this ad
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ng_0F5DxyKI

[South Dakota Democrat]

But yeah hes really liberal he supports expanding medicaid https://knutebuehler.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/Knute-for-Governor-Health-care-BIG.pdf hes pro choice and for a carbon tax
https://www.oregonbusiness.com/article/item/18206-buehler-buehler-buehler
He also has a huge education plan that looks really good.
https://s3.amazonaws.com/arc-wordpress-client-uploads/wweek/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/28130353/18-BUE-Education-FINAL.pdf
Hes also a huge supporter of Women's right to choose and access Birth control check out this ad
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ng_0F5DxyKI

Why's he a Republican, then?  Tax cuts and deregulation, I'm guessing?

[Gass3268]

Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president.

Environment would not be dissimilar if Cruz was President.

[OSR stands with Israel]

LOL, not gonna happen, much as Atlas wants Oregon to be competitive. I believe that this pollster also has Clinton beating Sanders by 15 in the primary, if my memory serves me correctly. Polls in Oregon often overestimate Republicans as well, since polls had Romney only slightly behind Obama in 2012.

polls in OR overestimate dems too

[Politician]

Junk poll. No surprise mds added it of course.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

This race honestly is close and the Oregonians on here likely know it, Kate Brown hasn't been running many ads yet though, while Knute Buehler has been airing them every hour (and half!) on all of the news stations and so on, I think Kate Brown wins by 2ish points in the end.

[Skunk]

This race is competitive but, this pollster is pretty trash. As MT Treasurer pointed out they're the same masterminds that had Trump up 2 in Oregon, lol.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president.

Environment would not be dissimilar if Cruz was President.