Iowa is Case Country

[scutosaurus]

Introduction

The 2018 Democratic HI-01 caucuses on August 11 2018, were concluded through pretty close results between Ed Case (who won the HI-01 primary with 40 % of the vote), Doug Chin (who got 25 %) and Donna Mercado Kim (who got 18 % of the vote).

If I made a timeline about an alternate scenario in which Doug Chin won the HI-01 primary, it would not be interesting because I think that we would still have a mediocre Congressman from HI-01 if he won the HI-01 primary.

So I decided to make a timeline about what would have happened if once and future Hawai'i Congressman Ed Case, rising star of the Democratic Party, won the 2020 Iowa caucuses.

[scutosaurus]

Background, Part 1 :

After Hillary Clinton's lost the 2016 US presidential election to Donald Trump, the Democratic Party must decide which way to turn.

In 2017, first year of Donald Trump's first term as President of the United States, America faces many divisions among its people. The GOP is divided, mostly on immigration issues due to the Trump administration's zero tolerance immigration policy that would have gave access to cages for baby immigrants. The American people is also divided on the gun control issue.

[skipping the foreign policy stuff because eh]



Partly due to such increasing international insecurity and to Trump's decreasing job approval, the 2018 midterm elections were concluded through successes by the Democratic Party who acquired its dominance in the House of Representatives by gaining 68 more seats, which puts the party at 264 seats against 171 seats for the Republicans. Democrats also took control of the U.S. Senate by gaining 4 Senate seats, thus putting it at 53 seats against 47 seats for the Republicans. So Democrats control both chambers of the Congress, which is likely to complicate President Trump's political agenda.

At the end of 2018, the Trump administration improved the relations between the United States and Russia, thus reinforcing the possibility that the Russians would interfere in the 2020 election, a policy opposed by Democrats who think that it would increase the Trump regime's tyrannical and oppressive influence on the American people. In 2017, one innocent woman was killed by white supremacists or white supremacist counter-protesters (very fine people on both sides in Charlottesville, Virginia, on August 2017), which divides the country, triggers riots and contributes to the emergence of #theresistance, a movement fighting for the anti-Trump cause. And on June 2017, President Trump withdrew from the Paris Agreement dealing with, greenhouse gases emissions mitigation, adaptation and finance starting in the year 2020.

Trump's first term is also marked by an improvement of the economic situation through the decrease of unemployment rate. Job creation under Trump's presidency is according to Trump's twitter page due to tax cuts for the top one percent, support to U.S. automobile industry and decreased imports of foreign oil and gas, thus reducing the unemployment rate to 4 % in July 2018. Yet, it's one of the slowest economic growths America has ever known due to increased taxes and regulations on the American people, businesses and energy industry, to a low GDP, to low minimum wage and to an increased national debt that hits 20 trillion dollars. In 2018, Trump has used executive orders to ratify a whole lot of tariffs, an anti-free trade deal that would increase tariffs and decrease economic and trade relations between the United States and Asian countries in the Pacific region, thus making America non-competitive in Pacific and Asian markets.

[scutosaurus]

Background, Part 2 :

Meanwhile, the 2020 US presidential election race starts. On July 2017, Maryland Congressman John Delaney becomes the first Democrat to announce his candidacy for President of the United States. A year and a half later, it was Senator Kamala Harris's turn. On mid-April 2019, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders announces that he launches a second presidential bid, four years after his failed bid for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016. The next day, Democratic Senator Bob Menendez announces his candidacy for President of the United States, declaring that yesterday is over and that America must look to the future. A month later, Hawai'i Congressman Ed Case declares his candidacy for President. In total, 17 Democrats and 6 Republicans are running for President in the 2020 election cycle. This high number of candidates among Democrats makes the 2020 Democratic primary race the most wide-open contest.

But one of the most controversial candidacies among Democrats is attorney Michael Avenatti's candidacy who declared his candidacy in mid-June 2019 while declaring that Republican are « rapists, criminals and guys who have affairs with porn stars ». Michael Avenatti calls for a deportation of all Trump officials, plans to build a wall on the Trump Tower-rest of New York City borders to stop illegal immigration and seeks to renegotiate Trump's tariffs. Avenatti multiplies it's controversial comments, especially on Roy Moore's war hero status, and mocked Infowars reporter with the following words : « I DON'T LIKE 'EM PUTTIN' CHEMICALS IN THE WATER THAT TURN THE FREAKIN' FROGS GAY! » He also promises to fight Donald Trump by killing women and children of Donald Trump. Despite these controversial comments, Michael Avenatti rises in the polls for the Democratic nomination and even rises to the top of all the 17 Democratic candidates for President. This is mostly due to the American people's increasing fatigue towards politicians and political elites which, they believe, abandoned them. Michael Avenatti's rise is also due to his populist message. This anti-establishment sentiment is not only felt among Democrats: it's also felt among Republicans due to West Virginia Coal Baron Don Blankenship's candidacy. Blankenship opposes cocaine and unveiled an agenda more conservative than Donald Trump's by promoting the right to say "Chinaperson" without being called racist, contaminating drinking water, removing barriers for criminals to run for office and by making destroying the EPA one of his main priorities. This agenda helps Blankenship to become Donald Trump's main rival for the Republican nomination.

The 2020 presidential race goes on through markable or controversial declarations, presidential debates, town-halls, rallies, fundraising events and visits across the country, mostly in early voting states in the primary season. While Don Blankenship gradually reduces the gap between him and Donald Trump in the polls, Ed Case dominates the debate stages thanks to his strong debate performances, especially on his voting attendance record in the House, on Donald Trump, on economic issues, on social issues and foreign policy issues. Case's debate performances helps him to progress in the Democratic primary polls by rising from 16th place to third place behind Michael Avenatti and Bernie Sanders. Case even edges his rival and fellow Hawaiian former Hawaii's 1st Congressional District Representative Colleen Hanabusa when it comes to endorsements and becomes the favorite of the establishment.

As of January 2020, 12 of the 17 Democratic presidential candidates are still in the race. New York Businessman Andrew Yang, former Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe, former Minnesota Attorney General Lori Swanson, Maryland Congressman John Delaney and former Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco dropped out of the race due to their weak showing in the polls and their struggle to gain attraction and to raise money. Andrew Yang endorsed his fellow progressive Bernie Sanders while John Delaney endorsed Ed Case and Kathleen Blanco endorsed Colleen Hanabusa. On the Republican side, on only 3 of the 6 Republican candidates are still in the race. Prohibition activist Jack Fellure, former Arizona Senator Jeff Flake and Satanic vampire Jonathan Sharkey dropped out of the race.



The Iowa caucuses of February 2020 are getting closer and closer and all the presidential candidates are strongly and fiercely investing their efforts in this rural state in order to boost their campaigns. On the Democratic side, it's a close race between Michael Avenatti, Bernie Sanders and Ed Case while the Republican contest is announced to be a dual between Donald Trump and Don Blankenship.

[NewYorkExpress]

I'd like to point that imitation is a form of flattery, therefore you must actually like UWS's atrocious Marco Rubio TL.

Also, Ed Case is one of the least likely people in Hawaii to get elected President. This would make more sense if it Tulsi Gabbard.

[scutosaurus]

New polls

Nationwide polls

Democrats

Michael Avenatti : 33 %
Bernie Sanders : 18 %
Ed Case : 14 %
Kamala Harris : 10 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 7 %
Michael Bennet : 5 %
Cory Booker : 4 %
Steve Bullock : 3 %
Martin O'Malley : 2 %
Deval Patrick : 2 %
Tom Steyer : 1 %
Bob Menendez : 1 %

Republicans

Donald Trump : 68 %
Don Blankenship : 28 %
John Kasich : 3 %
Undecided : 1 %

Iowa polls

Democrats

Michael Avenatti : 20 %
Bernie Sanders : 19 %
Ed Case : 19 %
Michael Bennet : 9 %
Cory Booker : 9 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 5 %
Steve Bullock : 4 %
Kamala Harris : 4 %
Deval Patrick : 4 %
Martin O'Malley : 3 %
Tom Steyer : 2 %
Bob Menendez : 1 %
Undecided : 1 %

Democrats

Donald Trump : 55 %
Don Blankenship : 32 %
John Kasich : 3 %
Undecided : 10 %

New Hampshire polls

Michael Avenatti : 30 %
Bernie Sanders : 12 %
Ed Case : 11 %
Kamala Harris : 9 %
Michael Bennet : 8 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 6 %
Deval Patrick : 4 %
Martin O'Malley : 3 %
Cory Booker : 3 %
Steve Bullock : 1 %
Tom Steyer : 0 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %
Undecided : 13 %

Republicans

Donald Trump : 47 %
Don Blankenship : 44 %
John Kasich : 1 %
Undecided : 8 %

South Carolina polls

Democrats

Michael Avenatti : 36 %
Bernie Sanders : 20 %
Ed Case : 14 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 9 %
Michael Bennet : 8 %
Steve Bullock : 2 %
Martin O'Malley : 2 %
Kamala Harris : 1 %
Deval Patrick : 1 %
Cory Booker : 1 %
Tom Steyer : 0 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %
Undecided : 6 %

Nevada polls

Republicans

Don Blankenship : 40 % (home state advantage)
Donald Trump : 37 %
John Kasich : 1 %
Undecided : 22 %

[Continential]

Avenatti is young handsome and meanwhile Bernie is 76 and Case is 65

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Go on

[OBD]

um maybe change the title because last time i checked mods will mark as spam

[#CriminalizeSobriety]

um maybe change the title because last time i checked mods will mark as spam

I spoke with OP and he assured me that this timeline was written in good faith.

[scutosaurus]

Ed Case's schedule in Iowa

According to a poll released by Opinion Savvy on January 29, Ed Case is getting closer and closer to Michael Avenatti and Bernie Sanders in the voting intentions in Iowa. So Case's presidential campaign decided to intensify its efforts in Iowa in order to win that state. The Hawaii Congressman targets the Polk county (Des Moines' location), the Woodbury county (which seat is Sioux City), the Linn county (where Grand Rapids is located), the Scott county (Davenport's county) and all the rural counties neighboring these urban counties.

Since agriculture is Iowa's main economic activity, Case promises, on campaign trail, to boost America's agriculture by cutting Trump's tariffs, to help them to innovate and to manufacture more tractors and seeds in order to create jobs, improve agricultural technologies, ensure Iowa's and America's subsistence. This agenda is reiterated in an ad titled « Prosperity and subsistence » and that airs in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.

« Prosperity and subsistence » advertisement narration :

In this time of economic stagnation, the American people, including farmers, are struggling to recover and to prosper. Many farmers lost their jobs and rising tariffs raised the cost of buying agricultural products, which hurts agricultural businesses. We need to reverse this situation. Ed Case has a plan to help farmers.





As President, Ed Case will cut Donald Trump's harmful tariffs, including on tractor and seed companies, to help them to innovate and to manufacture more tractors and seeds, which will boost job creation, improve agricultural technologies, ensure Iowa's and America's subsistence, reduce the food prices through the reduction of inflation and reduce Americans' dependence on food stamps, which will reinforce their purchasing power and give them more access to food. That's how we're going to make sure that the American people will live better lives by finding good-paying jobs, fulfilling their food needs and accomplishing their agricultural activities.

Ed Case for prosperity and subsistence!



I'm Ed Case and I approve this message.

In an effort to attract Iowa's radical centrist voters, Case's campaign broadcasts an ad that describes the Hawaii Congressman's plan to defend America from terrorism. The ad titled « Fight for Liberty » airs in Iowa and South Carolina.

« Fight for liberty » advertisement narration :





Fighting terrorism internally, at our borders, and overseas is necessary to ensure international security and to save innocent lives. In the Middle East, ISIS is persecuting Christians and Muslims who are not sharing their views and even beheaded many of them.



It's in violation of freedom of religion, an important wall defending justice, freedom, democracy as well as gender equity and an important element of the First Amendment to the United States Constitution. If we take military action in the Middle East, we will not destroy terrorism and reinforce security as well as innocent lives but also save Middle East Christians from persecution, which will save freedom of religion, freedom of speech, freedom of the press, the right to peaceably assemble and the right to petition.

If you want freedom to be maintained and your values to be defended here and abroad, I'm asking for your support.



I'm Ed Case and I approve this message.


Case's foreign policy speech in Grand Rapids, Iowa :

Secure Our Homeland
We must provide for our common defense against the reality of terrorism and international uncertainty.

Continue terrorism prevention efforts both internally, at our borders and overseas
Maintain a strong military and take care of our troops both in the field and at home
Strengthen our intelligence capabilities and continue needed reforms
Support our allies and friends especially in the Asia-Pacific
Lead Our World
We must work within our global community toward worldwide peace and prosperity.

Continue policy of constructive engagement with rest of world especially Asia
Work to fulfill the promise of the United Nations
Work with other countries to address problem states such as North Korea and Iran
Continue international nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament efforts

*Note: Ed Case got lazy here so he read off his campaign website from HI-01 instead of writing a speech



In the days preceding the Iowa caucuses, Case receives endorsements from the Des Moines Register and Iowa Governor Fred Hubbell, which could help him winning Iowa. In addition, Virginia Senator Mark Warner announced his endorsement to Congressman Case and campaigns for him in Iowa.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

[Captain Chaos]

Iowa better not be Avenatti country.

[Orwell]

Iowa better not be Avenatti country.

I tried that and it got taken down

[Politician]

[scutosaurus]

The Washington Post
Iowa caucuses

Political Geography: Tales from the campaign trail


                       The North
                         Bernie Sanders focused on the northern corner of Iowa, a progressive stronghold. But he's not alone in this region since Steve Bullock is also competing there and Iowa caucus loser Martin O'Malley (2016) is hoping not to repeat his failure.
↓↘

 The East
                                                                                                                  
                     Michael Avenatti hopes to make gains in the North in order to split Bernie Sanders'  support   among progressives. He focused on eastern Iowa where he hopes to do well among mainstream voters.

                                                                                                          ↙↓

                                                                                                                                                                    ↖↑↗                                                        
                                                  

Border towns, businessmen and agricultural counties
Ed Case focused mostly on center, western and eastern Iowa, heavily radical centrist areas with active business communities, agricultural industries and progressives.

Nowhere men
Due to their poor showing in the Iowa polls, candidates such as Tom Steyer, Kamala Harris and Bob Menendez decided to skip Iowa to focus more on New Hampshire, a friendlier state where much less populist voters will be voting unlike Iowa.

Next up : the Iowa caucuses

[scutosaurus]

IOWA CAUCUSES, 2020
PART 1

CNN America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs



« Good evening ladies and gentlemen, I'm Denver Riggleman in the CNN Election center and I have Corey Stewart and my military buddies accompanying me. Welcome to the coverage of the 2020 Iowa caucuses that are announcing very hot (like Bigfoot). Will Iowa maintain Michael Avenatti's momentum or will it undermine it and give other candidates a new boost. Iowans are gathering across the state for the leadoff contest at the presidential contest.

Riggleman: « It's 8 pm. Based on the entrance polls, it looks like it's a three-man race on the Republican side : Michael Avenatti, Bernie Sanders and Ed Case. Bernie Sanders in the lead thanks to massive support among progressives in Iowa's northern counties. »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (1 % reported) - 51 delegates

Bernie Sanders : 30 %
Michael Avenatti : 27 %
Ed Case : 19 %
Michael Bennet : 11 %
Cory Booker : 5 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 4 %
Steve Bullock : 3 %
Kamala Harris : 2 %
Deval Patrick : 1 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Tom Steyer : 1 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %

Riggleman: « On the Republican side, look how close it's getting right now : 55 % of the vote for
incumbent Donald Trump and 44 % for Don Blankenship. John Kasich is now distant third with only 1 % of the vote. Donald Trump's lead in Iowa is due to his dominance in Iowa's center counties, including in Des Moines while Don Blankenship seems to do well in counties with more ruralpersons. »

Iowa Republican caucuses (1 % reported) - 30 delegates

Donald Trump : 55 %
Don Blankenship : 44 %
John Kasich : 1 %

Riggleman: « It's 8 : 30 pm. Michael Avenatti is catching Bernie Sanders as he's leading right now in the Woodburry county (home to Sioux City and according to bfro.net 3 sightings of Bigfoot). But Ed Case is making progress as he takes the lead in the Polk county (Des Moines' location) as well as all the neighboring counties, including the Jasper county (Newton's location) and the Story county (Ames' location). His last minute appeal to radical centrist and rural voters seems to be effective. »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (25 % reported) - 51 delegates

Bernie Sanders : 27 %
Michael Avenatti : 27 %
Ed Case : 22 %
Michael Bennet : 11 %
Cory Booker : 5 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 2 %
Steve Bullock : 2 %
Kamala Harris : 1 %
Deval Patrick : 1 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Tom Steyer : 1 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %

Riggleman : « Don Blankenship is now trailing Donald Trump by only five percentage point as he takes the lead among Woodburypersons and in-the-north-of-Des-Moinespersons. »

Iowa Republican caucuses (25 % reported) - 30 delegates

Donald Trump : 52 %
Don Blankenship : 47 %
John Kasich : 1 %

Riggleman : « It's 9 pm. Ed Case and Michael Avenatti are battling for the second place. The Hawaii's 1st Congressional District Congressman is making progress in eastern Iowa as he wins the Johnson county (Iowa City's location), the Linn county (Cedar Rapids' location), the Bigfoot-laden Scott county (Davenport's home) and the Muscatine county. »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (50 % reported) - 51 delegates

Bernie Sanders : 26 %
Michael Avenatti : 25 %
Ed Case : 25 %
Michael Bennet : 10 %
Cory Booker : 4 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 2 %
Steve Bullock : 2 %
Kamala Harris : 1 %
Deval Patrick : 1 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Tom Steyer : 1 %
Bob Menendez : 1 %
Undecided : 1 %

Riggleman : « President Trump increases his lead as he dominates in Iowa's southern counties. »

Iowa Republican caucuses (50 % reported) - 30 delegates

Donald Trump : 53 %
Don Blankenship : 46 %
John Kasich : 1 %

[scutosaurus]

IOWA CAUCUSES, 2020
PART 2

Riggleman : « It's 9 : 30 pm. Ed Case rises to the top. The Hawai'i Congressman takes the lead with 27 % of the vote, edging Bernie Sanders and Michael Avenatti as he wins the wonderful Dubuque county (home to Dubuque and 9 Bigfoot sightings). Case also wins most of the counties around the Woodbury county, Sioux City's county, such as the Ida county, the Cherokee county, the Sioux county and the O'Brien county.»

Iowa Democratic caucuses (75 % reported) - 51 delegates

Ed Case : 27 %
Bernie Sanders : 25 %
Michael Avenatti : 24 %
Michael Bennet : 10 %
Steve Bullock : 4 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 3 %
Cory Booker : 2 %
Kamala Harris : 2 %
Deval Patrick : 1 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Tom Steyer : 1 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %

Riggleman : « Uh. Corey, you seem to have something important to tell us? »

Stewart : « Yeah. Bernie Sanders' presidential campaign announced that Colorado Senator Michael Bennet died after his poor showing in the Iowa caucuses. Now we have to see to which candidate Michael Bennet's withdrawal will benifit. »


Riggleman : « President Trump and Don Blankenship are nearly in a dead heat as they are sharing supremacy in Iowa's eastern and the western counties. »

Iowa Republican caucuses (75 % reported) - 30 delegates

Donald Trump : 51 %
Don Blankenship : 48 %
John Kasich : 1 %

Riggleman : « It's 10 pm and CNN projects that Ed Case, the Democratic Hawaii's 1st Congressional District Representative, will win the Iowa caucuses. This is a major win for Ed Case he has done remarkably well. We never thought he could win this state, we expected him to finish a distant third, but he finished at the top due to his last minute efforts among radical centrists, farmers and mainstream voters. So Ed Case wins the Iowa Democratic caucuses with 28 % of the vote, beating Bernie Sanders who got 27 % of the vote. »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (100 % reported) - 51 delegates

Ed Case : 28 % ✔
Bernie Sanders : 27 %
Michael Avenatti : 22 %
Michael Bennet : 9 %
Steve Bullock : 4 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 2 %
Cory Booker : 2 %
Kamala Harris : 2 %
Deval Patrick : 2 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Tom Steyer : 1 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %

ED CASE WINS THE IOWA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUSES

Riggleman : « So Case's surprising victory in Iowa risks of hurting Michael Avenatti badly since Avenatti came only third behind Sanders and Case. »

Stewart : « And that's also a major failure for Senator Sanders who counted on the progressive vote to obtain victory in Iowa, but it did not work for him.

Riggleman : « Now CNN can project that incumbent President Donald Trump narrowly wins the Iowa caucuses with 51 % of the vote over Don Blankenship's 48 % four years after a narrow defeat in favor of Ted Cruz whose victory in the 2016 Iowa caucuses really didn't help him at all. Now, Donald Trump won the Iowa Republican caucuses, but it's close and the race is only at the begining. »

Iowa Republican caucuses (100 % reported) - 30 delegates

Donald Trump : 51 % ✔
Don Blankenship : 48 %
John Kasich : 1 %

DONALD TRUMP WINS THE IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUSES

Riggleman : « Now CNN can report the delegate allocation to all the presidential candidates after the results of the Iowa caucuses : »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (100 % reported) - 51 delegates

Ed Case : 28 % ✔ - 16 delegates
Bernie Sanders : 27 % - 13 delegates
Michael Avenatti : 22 % - 11 delegates
Michael Bennet : 9 % - 5 delegates
Steve Bullock : 4 % - 2 delegates
Colleen Hanabusa : 2 % - 1 delegate
Cory Booker : 2 % - 1 delegate
Kamala Harris : 2 % - 1 delegate
Deval Patrick : 2 % - 1 delegate
Martin O'Malley : 1 % - 0 delegate
Tom Steyer : 1 % - 0 delegate
Bob Menendez : 0 % - 0 delegate

Iowa Republican caucuses (100 % reported) - 30 delegates

Donald Trump : 51 % ✔ - 16 delegates
Don Blankenship : 48 % -14 delegates
John Kasich : 1 % - 0 delegate

Stewart : « In addition, Steve Bullock announced that he withdraws from the race. It's the same for John Kasich on the Republican side. »

Riggleman : « Even Senator Cory Booker dropped out of the race after disapointing results so he can fully focus on his re-election bid to the Senate. Tom Steyer too ended his campaign. »

STEVE BULLOCK DROPS OUT OF THE RACE

TOM STEYER DROPS OUT OF THE RACE

CORY BOOKER DROPS OUT OF THE RACE

JOHN KASICH DROPS OUT OF THE RACE
Riggleman : « Thank you ladies and gentlemen for following the coverage of the Iowa caucuses. We'll see you next week for the coverage of the New Hampshire primary. Have a good night. Now, let me tell you about this time I was hunting in the woods for a nice sexy Bigfoot with my buddy Chris... »

[scutosaurus]

New polls

Ed Case's victory in the Iowa caucuses boosted him in the polls and raised from third place to second place, thus considerably threatening Michael Avenatti's path to the nomination. So Case is likely to be the main targets of all the other candidates from the establishment such as Colleen Hanabusa, Martin O'Malley and Kamala Harris. If Case is to win the nomination, he will have to eliminate all the other establishment candidates as soon as possible. New Hampshire should be the state deciding who will be the favorite of the establishment. Case has to finish at least second in New Hampshire to keep his chances alive.

Nationwide polls

Democrats

Michael Avenatti : 30 %
Ed Case : 24 %
Bernie Sanders : 23 %
Kamala Harris : 8 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 4 %
Michael Bennet : 4 %
Martin O'Malley : 3 %
Deval Patrick : 2 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %
Undecided : 2 %

Republicans

Donald Trump : 55 %
Don Blankenship : 31 %
Undecided : 14 %

New Hampshire polls

Michael Avenatti : 30 %
Ed Case : 15 %
Bernie Sanders : 12 %
Kamala Harris : 11 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 10 %
Martin O'Malley : 6 %
Michael Bennet : 4 %
Deval Patrick : 3 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %
Undecided : 9 %

Republicans

Don Blankenship : 49 %
Donald Trump : 48 %
Undecided : 3 %

South Carolina polls

Democrats

Michael Avenatti : 34 %
Bernie Sanders : 21 %
Ed Case : 19 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 10 %
Michael Bennet : 8 %
Kamala Harris : 2 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Deval Patrick : 1 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %
Undecided : 4 %

Republicans

Donald Trump : 55 %
Don Blankenship : 44 %
Undecided : 1 %

Nevada polls

Democrats

Michael Avenatti : 24 %
Ed Case : 21 %
Bernie Sanders : 18 %
Michael Bennet : 14 %
Colleen Hanabusa : 5 %
Kamala Harris : 5 %
Deval Patrick : 3 %
Martin O'Malley : 2 %
Bob Menendez : 0 %
Undecided : 6 %

Republicans

Don Blankenship : 47 %
Donald Trump : 43 %
Undecided : 10 %

[scutosaurus]

On the campaign trail

Ed Case's endorsements are multiplying

After his victory in the Iowa Democratic caucuses, Ed Case received many endorsements, notably from two former rivals for the Democratic nomination : Terry McAuliffe, former Virginia Governor, and Steve Bullock, Montana Governor. He's also endorsed by South Carolina Governor James Smith, wich could help Congressman Case in the South Carolina primary in two and a half weeks. Missouri Senator "Air" Claire McCaskill also announced her endorsement to Ed Case. The Hawai'i's 1st Congressional District Congressman is even endorsed by Congressman Joe Cunningham, one of the most radical centrist Representatives from South Carolina.

Michael Avenatti blasts Bernie Sanders for « killing » Michael Bennet

On the campaign trail in New Hampshire, Michael Avenatti slammed Bernie Sanders by accusing him of orchestrating dirty tricks during the Iowa caucuses :

Michael Avenatti : Yesterday, during the Iowa caucuses, not before or after, Bernie Sanders said that my friend Senator Michael Bennet died and dropped out of the race, so many people voted for Bernie instead of Michael. But you know what, Michael Bennet is still in the race. And Bernie Sanders killed him.

So Bernie Sanders lied about Michael Bennet during the Iowa caucuses after killing him in order to win more votes, hoping that it would help him winning the Iowa caucuses. But it did not work for him because despite of Bernie's, I mean Murderin' Bernie's dirty tricks, Ed Case won this state and topped Serial Killin' Bernie. So remember how we henceforth should call Bernie Sanders, whose full name is not in fact Bernard, but Bernest.

Crowd : Serial Killin' Bernie! Serial Killin' Bernie! (chant)

Michael Avenatti : So that Crypt Keeper-looking Communist helds the Communist Manifesto high, puts it down and then he starts murdering his opponents. We will bring change in Washington, believe me, and the American people will no longer feel betrayed by career politicians.

CNN fires Denver Riggleman over impromptu speech about Bigfoot sex

CNN has fired election night reporter and former Virginia house candidate Denver Riggleman , after Riggleman concluded his Iowa caucuses coverage by telling a story about the Mating Habits of Bigfoot and his frequent hunts for the elusive Bigfoot .

« Denver Riggleman's behavior is inappropriate and will not be tolerated at CNN, and we will find a suitable replacement shortly, » CNN president Jeff Zucker said at a Bloomberg Politics breakfast in Manchester, New Hampshire.

[Pedocon Theory is not a theory]

I love this TL. Easily the most riveting thing I've read in a while. How do you think his inevitable win in the Hawaii caucuses will factor into the big picture?

[GlobeSoc]

When I highlight Deval Patrick's name, it DOESN'T TURN BLUE

[scutosaurus]

I love this TL. Easily the most riveting thing I've read in a while. How do you think his inevitable win in the Hawaii caucuses will factor into the big picture?

The Hawaii caucuses come rather late in the game, but they'll almost certainly provide a boost to Ed Case's delegate count - unless, of course, Colleen Hanabusa stays in the race to split the vote.

[scutosaurus]

Fifth Republican presidential debate

Date : February 4, 2020

Place : Durham, New Hampshire

Host : CNN

Moderators : Anderson Cooper and Corey Stewart

Podium order :

                               

Trump          Blankenship

Question from Anderson Cooper : Three days ago, Congressman Ed Case surprisingly won the Iowa Democratic caucuses and is making progress in the polls. Now he raised in second place in Democratic national polls and in the New Hampshire primary polls, thus becoming Michael Avenatti's main rival for the Republican nomination. So let me ask you the following question : assuming that Ed Case becomes the Democratic nominee, what will be the main argument you would use against him if you're the Republican nominee? President Trump you go first.


Donald Trump : Anderson, first of all, thank you for inviting me to this great debate, even though CNN is fake news, hates Trump. Anyway, Boring Ed Case is a total loser, who's lost more elections than anyone can even count , and he'll lose again, this time he'll lose big league. He's weak on crime, he's weak on borders, he's weak on drugs, you see folks, this is what happens when you vote for a guy from a little island out in the middle of the Pacific Ocean. A total liberal, Boring Ed is what I call him. A total loser, he loses like a dog every single time.

Anderson Cooper : Mr. Blankenship?

Don Blankenship : First of all, Mr. President, I don't think attacking Case on his record is enough. He could use the same attacks against you. You didn't build the wall, so you're weak on borders. You didn't stop the Chinapeople from trafficking cocaine into the country, so you're weak on drugs. And now your swamp people are running false negative ads against me calling me a racist because I say a Chinaperson and despicable because I was convicted of a crime. You won't end the drug epidemic, so folks you've got to vote for me. I am the only candidate who will beat Heroin Donald.

But let's come back to your question Anderson. Meth Ed Case is just another Hawaiiperson, he's just part of the swamp. He won't end the drug epidemic, he won't protect the unborn, he won't create jobs for Americapeople. Ed will not put America ahead. He'll put Chinapeople and Africapeople ahead, and that's not good for America. The politicians want you to believe that just because they blew up twenty-nine people in my mine and sent me to prison I won't put America ahead. I will always work for America if I'm your President.

Donald, you're just like Meth Ed Case, so one of my goals as the Presidential nominee will be to lead this party. How can you lead us to victory?

That's why I should be the nominee because I will end the drug epidemic and stop our country's abuse by Africapeople and Chinapeople, which will help us defeat any liberal swamp person Democrat.

Who won the debate?

Don Blankenship : 82 %
Donald Trump : 18 %

[scutosaurus]

Ed Case's schedule in New Hampshire

February 2, 2020

Native Hawaiian policy speech - University of New Hampshire, Manchester, New Hampshire



Aloha! ʻO ka poʻe Hawaiʻi ka hapakui o ka moʻomeheuʻAmelika. Pono mākou e kū me nā poʻe Hawaiʻi ma ko lākou hakakāʻana e mālama i ko lākou pono a me ka moʻomeheu, e like me kākou e kū ai me nā poʻeʻAmelika.

Ua hele mua koʻu mau kūpuna i ke Hawai'i 124 mau makahiki i hala. ʻOiaiʻaʻole mākou he Hawaiʻi Hawaiʻi,ʻo ka moʻolelo o ko mākouʻohana ma ia kūlana nui, ua hāʻawi iā mākou i kahi hiʻohiʻona kūikawā i loko o ka aloha aloha. ʻO ke aloha aloha ka maluhia a me ke aloha, ka mea e pono ai kā mākou e hoʻolale aku i kēlā poʻeʻeha i loko o ko lākou ola.

Ma keʻano he Pelekikena, e kākoʻo wau i nā papahana e hoʻokumu mua i nā poʻe Hawaiʻi i ka'āina a lākou e kapa nei he home. Ua pilikia nā kānaka i ka hoʻomohala nui, nā kula haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa, a me ka hōʻeha o Donald Trump i ke ola kino. Ua lukuʻia kaʻuhane o ko mākou home ma ka mālamaʻoleʻana i ka nohona.

Inā wau i kohoʻia, e pau kēia. ʻAʻole wau e lawe mai iā Wakinekona i kaʻuhane o Hawaiʻi. E lawe au i kaʻuhane o Hawaiʻi i Wakinekona.

ʻO nā poʻe Hawaiʻi he poʻeʻAmelika e like me kākou a pau ma New Hampshire, eʻimi ana i kā lākou moeʻAmelika. Ma ke kākoʻoʻana i nā kulekele hoʻonaʻauao kūikawā o Hawaiʻi, nā hana palekana o ka hoʻokele'āina, a me ka hoʻomaluʻana i ka pilina Hawaiʻi, eʻike au i ka hikiʻana i kēlā me kēia'ōiwi Hawaiʻi ke moe.

Mahalo iāʻoe, New Hampshire! Hoʻomaikaʻi ke Akua iā Hawaiʻi a hoʻomaikaʻi ke Akua i ka United States of America!

February 3, 2020

After learning that Kamala Harris would drop out of the race if she doesn't finish at least third in New Hampshire, Case's presidential campaign decided to produce negative ads against Bob Menendez, who is currently polling at 0%, in order to drown him in the Granite State. So the Hawaii's 1st Congressional District Congressman's campaign orchestrated ad filmings during the day.

In the same day, Case makes debate preparations because he's certain that he will be one of the main targets during the next debate in Goffstown, NH, since he won the Iowa caucuses.

February 4, 2020

Congressman Case's presidential campaign broadcasted an ad attacking Senator Menendez on his corruption trial in 2017. At that time Menendez was tried for corruption, but a jury deadlock in his trial resulted in a mistrial. The ad titled « Lack of judgement and leadership » airs in New Hampshire.

« Lack of judgement and leadership » advertisement narration :

Bob Menendez has a real lack of judgment. Back in 2017, this was put on display, when Menendez was formally put on trial - for corruption.



Judge's quote during the trial:  « Mr. Menendez, you face charges of conspiracy, bribery, and honest services fraud. »

These charges could bring decades in prison!




If Bob Menendez is elected president, it will send a message to America that corruption is ok.

We need to cut corruption for all the American people and politicians in order to make them follow the rules and to reinforce our country's purchasing power. We have to encourage restrictions on lobbying in order to make us pay-to-play politics independent and to develop a new political culture with a part of the old. We need to promote free trade to make us competitive in the world economy through lower tarifs. We must fund entitlement programs and put Social Security in a lockbox.

We have to fight for the rights of Native Hawaiians, which will help us protecting our environment and to fight bigotry more effectively.

That's what Ed Case will do as President of the United States.



So the choice for this election is clear : lack of judgement and risky ideas or proven leadership.



I'm Ed Case and I approve this message.

[Dr. MB]

Glad to see Ed championing the issues that matter most to New Hampshirites!